GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · NEW YORK CITY FC 72% · Value: Over 2.5 68%
CONF 76 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 19 · SUN, 16 AUG · 22:00 LOCAL
NEW YORK CITY FC
7TH · 27 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D W W
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
PHILADELPHIA UNION
D D W W W
· 12TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 4' B. Traoré (P) ⚽ 45+2' Luighi Hanri (P)
GOALS
⚽ 48' D. Jean-Jacques ⚽ 69' B. Damiani ⚽ 75' B. Damiani
B. Damiani
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
B. Damiani
Philadelphia Union · 90 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 12% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.17
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.31
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
16
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
71%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
8
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Penalty
    B. Traoré
    NEW
  2. 16'
    Card · Yellow Card
    N. Harriel
    PHI
  3. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luighi Hanri
    NEW
  4. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Lukić
    PHI
  5. 45'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Luighi Hanri
    NEW
  6. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    D. Jean-Jacques · assist Cavan Sullivan
    PHI
  7. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Iloski
    PHI
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    J. Shore · assist Máximo Carrizo
    NEW
  9. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Keaton Parks · assist K. O'Toole
    NEW
  10. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    J. Lukić · assist J. Bueno
    PHI
  11. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Luighi Hanri · assist Talles Magno
    NEW
  12. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    B. Traoré · assist M. Jones
    NEW
  13. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    B. Damiani · assist Cavan Sullivan
    PHI
  14. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    I. Vassilev · assist Q. Sullivan
    PHI
  15. 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    B. Damiani · assist Q. Sullivan
    PHI
  16. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Maxwell Murray · assist Raul Gustavo
    NEW
  17. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    T. Gray
    NEW
  18. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Cavan Sullivan · assist A. Bedoya
    PHI
  19. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    K. Wagner
    PHI
  20. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Jones
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 7.1
PHILADELPHIA UNION AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
2.3
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
4.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
6.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
335.0
PASSES
320.0
71.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
20.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK CITY FC 6 shots
Luighi Hanri
2/3
B. Traoré
1/1
Keaton Parks
0/1
J. Shore
0/1
PHILADELPHIA UNION 6 shots
Cavan Sullivan
0/3
B. Damiani
2/2
D. Jean-Jacques
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.17 – 2.31
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 4' 45' 48' 69' 75' H 2.17 A 2.31 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-4-2
4-3-3
4-4-2
49
M. FREESE
2
NICO CAVA
6
J. SANDS
23
MAXWELL M
24
T. GRAY
 6.9
8
A. PEREA
 7.2
55
KEATON PA
 6.7
32
J. SHORE
 7.6
9
B. TRAORé
 7.2
20
LUIGHI HA
26
A. OJEDA
 7.2
18
A. BLAKE
27
K. WAGNER
26
N. HARRIE
44
NEIL PIER
 7.3
39
F. WESTFI
19
I. VASSIL
4
J. LUKIć
 7.2
21
D. JEAN-J
 7.2
6
CAVAN SU
10
M. ILOSKI
 8.6
9
B. DAMIAN
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
11
Talles Magno
F
15
Kevin Pierre
M
75
El Hadij Sam...
M
29
Máximo Carri...
M
22
K. O'To...
D
34
Raul Gustavo
D
35
M. Ilenič
D
30
T. Romero
G
88
M. Jones
F
COACH: Pascal Jansen
SUBSTITUTES · PHILADELPHIA UNION
14
Jeremy Rafan...
M
16
B. Bender
M
8
J. Bueno
M
33
Q. Sullivan
M
28
A. Anello
F
11
A. Bedoya
M
5
J. Sery Lars...
D
76
A. Rick
G
23
E. Alladoh
F
COACH: Ryan Richter
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Demianchuk
—
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
PHI MANAGER
Ryan Richter
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NEW WINS
0
DRAWS
6
PHI WINS
40%
60%
12 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Mar 2026
Philadelphia Union
1 – 2
New York City FC
W
24 Nov 2025
Philadelphia Union
0 – 1
New York City FC
W
04 Oct 2025
Philadelphia Union
1 – 0
New York City FC
L
12 Apr 2025
New York City FC
1 – 0
Philadelphia Union
W
18 Sep 2024
New York City FC
1 – 5
Philadelphia Union
L
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W W
PHILADELPHIA UNION LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
NEW YORK CITY FC #7
Lost · already at 27 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
PHILADELPHIA UNION #12
Won · already at 21 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Jones
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · K. Wagner
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Cavan Sullivan
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · T. Gray
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Maxwell Murray
  • 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal · B. Damiani
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · I. Vassilev
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · B. Damiani
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · B. Traoré
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Luighi Hanri
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · J. Lukić
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Keaton Parks
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · J. Shore
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Iloski
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · D. Jean-Jacques
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Luighi Hanri
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Lukić
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luighi Hanri
  • 16'
    Card · Yellow Card · N. Harriel
  • 4'
    Goal · Penalty · B. Traoré
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
2.62
38.2% implied
↑ best 2.75
DRAW
3.58
27.9% implied
↑ best 3.70
PHILADELPHIA UNI WIN
2.47
40.5% implied
↑ best 2.55

Market favors Philadelphia Union. AI projects NEW YORK CITY FC 72% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEW YORK CITY FC 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.56 3.65 2.46 +32.9%
888Sport 2.50 3.60 2.38 +32.0%
Bet365 2.75 3.40 2.50 +35.6%
Betano 2.70 3.60 2.47 +35.0%
Betfair 2.63 3.60 2.50 +34.0%
BetVictor 2.63 3.60 2.45 +34.0%
Dafabet 2.65 3.65 2.55 +34.3%
Marathonbet 2.61 3.58 2.44 +33.7%
Pinnacle 2.73 3.70 2.52 +35.4%
SBO 2.58 3.43 2.43 +33.2%
Unibet 2.55 3.50 2.55 +32.8%
William Hill 2.50 3.60 2.38 +32.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.45
2.5 O 1.64 U 2.23
3.5 O 2.57 U 1.47
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.51 9 bks
NO
2.40 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.61
Away -0.5 1.50
Away -0.75 1.34
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.