GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 9 · WED, 22 APR · 23:30 LOCAL
NEW YORK CITY FC
7TH · 27 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L D W
FT
4 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
FC CINCINNATI
D W D W L
· 6TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 20' N. Fernández Mercau ⚽ 35' N. Fernández Mercau ⚽ 53' A. Ojeda ⚽ 79' Talles Magno
GOALS
⚽ 32' K. Denkey ⚽ 65' K. Denkey ⚽ 90' A. Chirila ⚽ 90' Evander (P)
N. Fernández Mercau
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
N. Fernández Mercau
New York City FC · 84 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 36% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.56
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.49
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
12
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    N. Fernández Mercau
    NEW
  2. 23'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    T. Hadebe · assist A. Powell
    FC
  3. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Denkey · assist E. Echenique
    FC
  4. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    N. Fernández Mercau · assist Maxi Moralez
    NEW
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    FC
  6. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gilberto Flores
    FC
  7. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Ojeda · assist A. O'Neill
    NEW
  8. 59'
    Var · Goal cancelled
    Evander
    FC
  9. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gilberto Flores · assist B. Anunga
    FC
  10. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    E. Echenique · assist G. Valenzuela
    FC
  11. 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Denkey · assist G. Valenzuela
    FC
  12. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    K. Smith
    FC
  13. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    H. Wolf · assist Keaton Parks
    NEW
  14. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Maxi Moralez · assist Talles Magno
    NEW
  15. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Talles Magno · assist A. Ojeda
    NEW
  16. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tom Barlow · assist A. Jabbari
    FC
  17. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    A. Ojeda · assist J. Shore
    NEW
  18. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    N. Fernández Mercau · assist Arnau Farnos
    NEW
  19. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    T. Gray · assist Strahinja Tanasijević
    NEW
  20. 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Chirila · assist Pavel Bucha
    FC
  21. 90'
    Goal · Penalty
    Evander
    FC
  22. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    B. Anunga
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 8.0
FC CINCINNATI AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.5
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
9.0
ON TARGET
6.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
555.0
PASSES
447.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
9.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK CITY FC 8 shots
A. Ojeda
2/3
N. Fernández Mercau
2/2
Maxi Moralez
0/2
Talles Magno
1/1
FC CINCINNATI 5 shots
K. Denkey
2/2
Evander
2/2
A. Chirila
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.56 – 1.49
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 20' 35' 53' 79' 32' 65' 90' 90' H 1.56 A 1.49 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-1-2
4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2
49
M. FREESE
22
K. O&APOS
34
RAUL GUST
13
THIAGO MA
24
T. GRAY
21
A. O&APOS
 7.3
5
KAI TREWI
17
H. WOLF
 7.2
10
MAXI MORA
 7.9
26
A. OJEDA
 10.0
7
N. FERNáN
18
R. CELENT
15
T. HADEBE
3
GILBERTO
 6.7
24
K. SMITH
17
K. MBOMA
11
S. GIDI
20
PAVEL BUC
66
E. ECHENI
 7.7
10
EVANDER
16
TOM BARLO
 8.3
9
K. DENKEY
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
99
Seymour Garf...
F
2
Nico Cavallo
D
32
J. Shore
M
11
Talles Magno
F
19
Strahinja Ta...
D
29
Máximo Carri...
M
55
Keaton Parks
M
30
T. Romero
G
87
Arnau Farno...
F
COACH: Pascal Jansen
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
22
G. Valenzuel...
M
2
A. Powell
D
37
Stiven Jimen...
M
99
A. Jabbari
F
27
B. Anunga
M
13
E. Louro
G
88
A. Chirila
D
COACH: Pat Noonan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Boiko
—
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NEW WINS
2
DRAWS
4
FC WINS
40%
20%
40%
14 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
19 Aug 2026
FC Cincinnati
2 – 1
New York City FC
L
23 Aug 2025
FC Cincinnati
0 – 1
New York City FC
W
04 May 2025
New York City FC
1 – 0
FC Cincinnati
W
09 Nov 2024
FC Cincinnati
0 – 0
New York City FC
D
02 Nov 2024
New York City FC
3 – 1
FC Cincinnati
W
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D W
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–4 · result locked
NEW YORK CITY FC #7
Lost · already at 27 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
FC CINCINNATI #6
Lost · already at 31 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · B. Anunga
    Foul
  • 90'
    Goal · Penalty · Evander
  • 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Chirila
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · T. Gray
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · N. Fernández Mercau
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · A. Ojeda
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tom Barlow
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Talles Magno
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Maxi Moralez
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · H. Wolf
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · K. Smith
    Foul
  • 65'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Denkey
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · E. Echenique
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gilberto Flores
  • 59'
    Var · Goal cancelled · Evander
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Ojeda
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gilberto Flores
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · N. Fernández Mercau
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Denkey
  • 23'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · T. Hadebe
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · N. Fernández Mercau
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
1.87
53.5% implied
↑ best 1.93
DRAW
3.83
26.1% implied
↑ best 4.03
FC CINCINNATI WIN
3.72
26.9% implied
↑ best 4.10
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 1.84 3.95 3.65
888Sport 1.85 3.60 3.60
Bet365 1.90 3.80 3.90
Betano 1.91 3.90 3.70
Betfair 1.85 3.90 3.75
BetVictor 1.87 3.90 3.60
Dafabet 1.93 3.90 3.75
Marathonbet 1.83 3.84 3.76
Pinnacle 1.91 4.03 3.79
SBO 1.90 3.66 3.48
Unibet 1.77 3.85 4.10
William Hill 1.85 3.60 3.60

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.12
2.5 O 1.55 U 2.40
3.5 O 2.34 U 1.57
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 9 bks
NO
2.42 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.24
Away -0.5 1.94
Away -0.75 1.72
Away -1 1.51
Away -1.25 1.40
Away -1.5 1.34
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.