AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–3 · NASHVILLE SC 97% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 92 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
4TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W D
FT
0 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
NASHVILLE SC
W W D D W
· 1ST · 33 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 34' Bryan Acosta ⚽ 41' Warren Madrigal ⚽ 74' Bryan Acosta
Bryan Acosta
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Bryan Acosta
Nashville SC · 93 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 44% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: New England Revolution vs Nashville SC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.47
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.39
54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
8
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
6
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andy Najar
    NAS
  2. 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bryan Acosta · assist Cristian Espinoza
    NAS
  3. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matthew Corcoran
    NAS
  4. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Warren Madrigal
    NAS
  5. 50'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Andy Najar · assist Daniel Lovitz
    NAS
  6. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brooklyn Raines
    NEW
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matt Polster · assist Diego Fagúndez
    NEW
  8. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bryan Acosta · assist Cristian Espinoza
    NAS
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Matthew Corcoran · assist Charles-Emile Brunet
    NAS
  10. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ahmed Qasem · assist Alex Muyl
    NAS
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Griffin Yow · assist Malcolm Fry
    NEW
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dor Turgeman · assist Marcos Zambrano
    NEW
  13. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Lovitz
    NAS
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Carles Gil · assist Eric Klein
    NEW
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Brooklyn Raines · assist Jackson Yueill
    NEW
  16. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Hany Mukhtar · assist Woobens Pacius
    NAS
  17. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Reed Baker-Whiting · assist Josh Bauer
    NAS
  18. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alhassan Yusuf
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION AVG 6.9
NASHVILLE SC AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
0.4
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
479.0
PASSES
413.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
7.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 3 shots
Ethan Kohler
1/1
Marcos Zambrano
0/1
Matt Polster
0/1
NASHVILLE SC 5 shots
Bryan Acosta
2/3
Warren Madrigal
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.470.39
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 HT 34' 41' 74' H 0.47 A 0.39 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 39%
61% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
SUBSTITUTES · NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
88
Andrew Farre...
D
3
Brayan Cebal...
D
33
Donovan Pari...
G
14
Jackson Yuei...
M
38
Eric Klein
M
17
Marcos Zambr...
F
32
Malcolm Fry
F
77
Diego Fagúnd...
M
4
Tanner Beaso...
D
COACH: Marko Mitrovic
SUBSTITUTES · NASHVILLE SC
5
Jack Maher
D
23
Jordan Knigh...
D
1
Joe Willis
G
17
Woobens Paci...
F
22
Josh Bauer
D
19
Alex Muyl
M
12
Charles-Emil...
M
2
Daniel Lovit...
D
14
Shakur Moham...
M
COACH: Brian Callaghan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Demianchuk
NEW MANAGER
Marko Mitrovic
head coach
NAS MANAGER
Brian Callaghan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NEW WINS
2
DRAWS
3
NAS WINS
50%
20%
30%
12 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W D
NASHVILLE SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–3 · result locked
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION #4
Lost · already at 25 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
NASHVILLE SC #1
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alhassan Yusuf
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Reed Baker-Whiting
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Hany Mukhtar
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Brooklyn Raines
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Carles Gil
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Lovitz
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dor Turgeman
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Griffin Yow
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ahmed Qasem
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Matthew Corcoran
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bryan Acosta
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matt Polster
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brooklyn Raines
  • 50'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Andy Najar
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Warren Madrigal
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matthew Corcoran
  • 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bryan Acosta
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · Andy Najar
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW ENGLAND REVO WIN
2.83
35.3% implied
↑ best 2.93
DRAW
3.31
30.2% implied
↑ best 3.50
NASHVILLE SC WIN
2.43
41.2% implied
↑ best 2.54

Market favors Nashville SC. AI projects NASHVILLE SC 97% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NASHVILLE SC 97% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.85 3.30 2.40 +55.3%
888Sport 2.80 3.20 2.38 +55.0%
Bet365 2.80 3.50 2.45 +56.2%
Betano 2.87 3.35 2.45 +56.2%
Betfair 2.80 3.30 2.40 +55.3%
BetVictor 2.80 3.30 2.45 +56.2%
Dafabet 2.85 3.50 2.46 +56.3%
Marathonbet 2.83 3.24 2.44 +56.0%
Pinnacle 2.93 3.35 2.54 +57.6%
SBO 2.74 3.18 2.44 +56.0%
Unibet 2.88 3.35 2.38 +55.0%
William Hill 2.80 3.10 2.40 +55.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.29 U 3.41
2.5 O 1.96 U 1.83
3.5 O 3.35 U 1.30
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.72 9 bks
NO
2.01 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.56
Away -0.5 1.43
Away -0.75 1.29
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.13
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.