GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · HOUSTON DYNAMO 93%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 3 · SAT, 08 AUG · 20:30 LOCAL
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
4TH · 34 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L D W
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
HOUSTON DYNAMO
L W W W W
· 2ND · 38 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 45+1' Guilherme ⚽ 63' A. Resch
A. Resch
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
A. Resch
Houston Dynamo · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 46% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.42
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.87
48%
BALL POSSESSION %
52%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
13
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
9
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guilherme
    HOU
  2. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    L. Ennali
    HOU
  3. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Marcos Zambrano · assist J. Harrison
    NEW
  4. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Polster · assist Cody Baker
    NEW
  5. 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Resch · assist Jack McGlynn
    HOU
  6. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jack McGlynn · assist A. Bouzat
    HOU
  7. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    P. Miller · assist G. Yow
    NEW
  8. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    A. Yusuf · assist D. Fagundez
    NEW
  9. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    M. Bogusz · assist A. Ibrahim
    HOU
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ezequiel Ponce · assist D. McGuire
    HOU
  11. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    W. Sands · assist W. Harris
    NEW
  12. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    H. Herrera · assist D. Samassékou
    HOU
  13. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Guilherme · assist Ondrej Lingr
    HOU
  14. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    B. Raines
    NEW
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    HOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION AVG 7.2
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.7
  • A. Resch
    90' · 1G · 1 shots · 46.00% pass
    8.7
  • Guilherme
    89' · 1G · 5 shots · 40.00% pass
    7.7
  • Jack McGlynn
    72' · 1A · 67.00% pass
    7.5
  • Artur
    90' · 1 shots · 51.00% pass
    7.2
  • J. Bond
    90' · 30.00% pass
    7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.4
xG
0.9
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
2.0
ON TARGET
7.0
0.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
7.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
48.0%
POSSESSION %
52.0%
481.0
PASSES
547.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
5.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION 0 shots

No shots recorded.

HOUSTON DYNAMO 7 shots
Guilherme
3/5
A. Resch
1/1
Artur
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.42 – 0.87
0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.0 HT 45' 63' H 0.42 A 0.87 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
30
M. TURNER
23
W. SANDS
2
M. FOFANA
 7.2
22
ETHAN KOH
8
M. POLSTE
 7.2
80
A. YUSUF
 7.2
10
CARLES GI
 7.0
21
B. RAINES
17
MARCOS ZA
99
D. TURGEM
25
P. MILLER
 7.2
31
J. BOND
11
L. ENNALI
 8.7
34
A. RESCH
5
LUCAS HAL
36
FELIPE AN
16
H. HERRER
 7.2
6
ARTUR
 7.7
20
GUILHERME
 7.5
8
JACK MCGL
19
M. BOGUSZ
10
EZEQUIEL
SUBSTITUTES · NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
27
W. Harris
F
14
J. Yueill
M
77
D. Fagundez
M
38
Eric Klein
M
7
G. Yow
F
4
T. Beason
D
15
Cody Baker
D
33
D. Parisian
G
11
J. Harrison
M
COACH: Marko Mitrovic
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
24
A. Ibrahim
F
18
D. Samasséko...
M
30
A. Bouzat
M
9
Ondrej Lingr
M
14
D. Holmes
M
28
Erik Sviatch...
D
21
F. Negri
D
26
B. Gillingha...
G
23
D. McGuire
F
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Badawi
—
NEW MANAGER
Marko Mitrovic
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NEW WINS
2
DRAWS
3
HOU WINS
50%
20%
30%
21 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
03 Oct 2024
Houston Dynamo
2 – 1
New England Revolution
L
05 Mar 2023
New England Revolution
3 – 0
Houston Dynamo
W
14 Sep 2022
Houston Dynamo
3 – 1
New England Revolution
L
29 Jun 2019
New England Revolution
2 – 1
Houston Dynamo
W
01 Apr 2018
Houston Dynamo
0 – 2
New England Revolution
W
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D W
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION #4
Lost · already at 34 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
HOUSTON DYNAMO #2
Won · already at 38 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · B. Raines
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Guilherme
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · H. Herrera
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · W. Sands
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ezequiel Ponce
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Bogusz
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · A. Yusuf
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · P. Miller
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jack McGlynn
  • 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Resch
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · M. Polster
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Marcos Zambrano
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · L. Ennali
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guilherme
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEW ENGLAND REVO WIN
2.39
41.8% implied
↑ best 2.46
DRAW
3.54
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.70
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
2.74
36.5% implied
↑ best 2.85

Market favors New England Revolution. AI projects HOUSTON DYNAMO 93%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HOUSTON DYNAMO 93% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 3.60 2.82 +57.5%
888Sport 2.30 3.50 2.63 +55.0%
Bet365 2.45 3.60 2.75 +56.6%
Betano 2.37 3.70 2.80 +57.3%
Betfair 2.45 3.40 2.70 +56.0%
BetVictor 2.40 3.50 2.70 +56.0%
Dafabet 2.43 3.60 2.85 +57.9%
Marathonbet 2.43 3.46 2.69 +55.8%
Pinnacle 2.46 3.62 2.85 +57.9%
Superbet 2.45 3.55 2.75 +56.6%
Unibet 2.40 3.45 2.75 +56.6%
William Hill 2.30 3.50 2.62 +54.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.30
2.5 O 1.68 U 2.16
3.5 O 2.66 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.55 10 bks
NO
2.33 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.74
Away -0.5 1.58
Away -0.75 1.41
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.