AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · NECAXA 38%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 1 · FRI, 17 JUL · 01:00 LOCAL
NECAXA
FT
2 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ATLANTE FC
⚽ 80' J. Carranza (P) ⚽ 90+3' Miguel Pedroza
GOALS
⚽ 47' Eugenio Pizzuto
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Martínez
    NEC
  2. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Eugenio Pizzuto · assist Luis Calzadilla
    ATL
  3. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    A. Oliveros · assist Francisco Méndez
    NEC
  4. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    C. Vargas · assist M. Rodríguez
    NEC
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Armando Escobar · assist Walter Clar
    ATL
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Juan Torres · assist R. Cortéz
    NEC
  7. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolas Carrera
    ATL
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Eugenio Pizzuto · assist D. Gonzalez
    ATL
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Luis Calzadilla · assist Leonardo Mejía
    ATL
  10. 80'
    Goal · Penalty
    J. Carranza
    NEC
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    L. Faravelli · assist Miguel Pedroza
    NEC
  12. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Eduardo Tercero · assist Axl Padilla
    ATL
  13. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Luis Puente · assist Jairón Charcopa
    ATL
  14. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Walter Portales
    ATL
  15. 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Miguel Pedroza · assist J. Carranza
    NEC
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
SUBSTITUTES · NECAXA
20
Francisco Mé...
90
Juan Valenci...
21
M. Espíndola
14
M. Zaleta
27
Miguel Pedro...
2
E. Martínez
16
P. Pedraza
17
R. Cortéz
1
Christopher...
99
M. Rodríguez
COACH: Martin Varini
SUBSTITUTES · ATLANTE FC
16
D. Gonzalez
17
Leonardo Mej...
20
G. Adame
21
Javier Ibarr...
23
Axl Padilla
13
M. Garcia Pa...
15
Jairón Charc...
37
Walter Clar
22
Roberto Barr...
184
Rubén Couber...
COACH: Ernesto Herrera Aguirre Miguel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Y. Peinaldo Aguirre
NEC MANAGER
Martin Varini
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Ernesto Herrera Aguirre Miguel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
NEC WINS
1
DRAWS
0
ATL WINS
100%
NECAXA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D D L
ATLANTE FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · Miguel Pedroza
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Walter Portales
    Foul
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Luis Puente
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Eduardo Tercero
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · L. Faravelli
  • 80'
    Goal · Penalty · J. Carranza
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Luis Calzadilla
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Eugenio Pizzuto
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolas Carrera
    Foul
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Juan Torres
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Armando Escobar
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · C. Vargas
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · A. Oliveros
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Eugenio Pizzuto
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Martínez
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NECAXA WIN
1.89
52.9% implied
↑ best 1.95
DRAW
3.60
27.8% implied
↑ best 3.78
ATLANTE FC WIN
3.78
26.5% implied
↑ best 4.10

Market favors Necaxa. AI projects NECAXA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NECAXA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.70 3.65 +8.0%
1xBet 1.90 3.56 3.75 +6.9%
Bet365 1.85 3.60 4.10 +7.2%
Betano 1.95 3.75 4.00 +8.3%
Betfair 1.87 3.70 3.80 +8.0%
BetVictor 1.87 3.70 3.75 +8.0%
Dafabet 1.92 3.65 3.90 +7.6%
Marathonbet 1.88 3.56 3.75 +6.9%
Pinnacle 1.94 3.78 3.83 +8.5%
SBO 1.91 3.26 3.35 +4.3%
Superbet 1.90 3.60 3.80 +7.2%
Unibet 1.84 3.60 3.95 +7.2%
William Hill 1.85 3.40 3.50 +5.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.10
2.5 O 1.70 U 2.10
3.5 O 2.69 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.61 10 bks
NO
2.17 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.18
Away -0.5 1.90
Away -0.75 1.68
Away -1 1.48
Away -1.25 1.37
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.