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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · NAGOYA GRAMPUS 92% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · WED, 06 MAY · 05:00 LOCAL
NAGOYA GRAMPUS
3RD · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
GAMBA OSAKA
D W L W D
· 5TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Sho Inagaki ⚽ 31' Yudai Kimura
GOALS
⚽ 90+5' Rin Mito
Yudai Kimura
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yudai Kimura
Nagoya Grampus · 94 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 15% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

41%
BALL POSSESSION %
59%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
9
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sho Inagaki · assist Katsuhiro Nakayama
    NAG
  2. 12'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Shuto Abe
    GAM
  3. 17'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Shuto Abe · assist Takato Yamamoto
    GAM
  4. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yudai Kimura · assist Teruki Hara
    NAG
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Harumi Minamino · assist Deniz Hümmet
    GAM
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Takashi Usami · assist Ryotaro Meshino
    GAM
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kanji Okunuki · assist Shinya Nakano
    GAM
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Yuya Yamagishi · assist Kensuke Nagai
    NAG
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ryuji Izumi · assist Takuya Uchida
    NAG
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yuya Asano · assist Hidemasa Koda
    NAG
  11. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ryotaro Meshino
    GAM
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ryoya Yamashita · assist Jiro Nakamura
    GAM
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Shuhei Tokumoto · assist Yuki Nogami
    NAG
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tomoki Takamine · assist Masahito Ono
    NAG
  15. 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rin Mito
    GAM
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NAGOYA GRAMPUS AVG 7.9
GAMBA OSAKA AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
1.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
41.0%
POSSESSION %
59.0%
351.0
PASSES
520.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
10.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
4.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NAGOYA GRAMPUS 4 shots
Yudai Kimura
2/3
Sho Inagaki
1/1
GAMBA OSAKA 1 shots
Kanji Okunuki
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
7.3
1
DANIEL SC
55
SHUHEI TO
 8.0
13
HARUYA FU
 7.6
70
TERUKI HA
27
KATSUHIRO
31
TOMOKI TA
 8.2
15
SHO INAGA
9
YUYA ASAN
 8.3
22
YUDAI KIM
7
RYUJI IZU
11
YUYA YAMA
18
RUI ARAKI
21
RYO HATSU
4
SHINNOSUK
5
GENTA MIU
19
GINJIRO I
27
RIN MITO
13
SHUTO ABE
 6.5
44
KANJI OKU
7
TAKASHI U
 6.6
17
RYOYA YAM
42
HARUMI MI
SUBSTITUTES · NAGOYA GRAMPUS
30
Shungo Sugiu...
F
19
Hidemasa Kod...
M
41
Masahito Ono
M
20
Kennedy Egbu...
D
2
Yuki Nogami
D
35
Alexandre Pi...
G
18
Kensuke Naga...
F
17
Takuya Uchid...
M
33
Taichi Kikuc...
M
COACH: Mihailo Petrovic
SUBSTITUTES · GAMBA OSAKA
16
Tokuma Suzuk...
M
41
Jiro Nakamur...
M
15
Takeru Kishi...
D
1
Masaaki Higa...
G
23
Deniz Hümmet
F
8
Ryotaro Mesh...
F
47
Shinya Nakan...
D
36
Takato Yamam...
M
11
Issam Jebali
F
COACH: Jens Wissing
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
K. Takasaki
—
NAG MANAGER
Mihailo Petrovic
head coach
GAM MANAGER
Jens Wissing
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
NAG WINS
1
DRAWS
6
GAM WINS
30%
10%
60%
8 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Feb 2026
Gamba Osaka
0 – 0
Nagoya Grampus
D
25 Oct 2025
Nagoya Grampus
0 – 2
Gamba Osaka
L
12 Apr 2025
Gamba Osaka
2 – 0
Nagoya Grampus
L
23 Oct 2024
Gamba Osaka
3 – 2
Nagoya Grampus
L
11 May 2024
Nagoya Grampus
0 – 1
Gamba Osaka
L
NAGOYA GRAMPUS LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W W
GAMBA OSAKA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
NAGOYA GRAMPUS #2
Won · already at 31 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
GAMBA OSAKA #5
Lost · already at 28 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rin Mito
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tomoki Takamine
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Shuhei Tokumoto
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ryoya Yamashita
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ryotaro Meshino
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yuya Asano
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ryuji Izumi
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Yuya Yamagishi
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kanji Okunuki
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Takashi Usami
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Harumi Minamino
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yudai Kimura
  • 17'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Shuto Abe
  • 12'
    Card · Yellow Card · Shuto Abe
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sho Inagaki
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NAGOYA GRAMPUS WIN
2.20
45.5% implied
↑ best 2.35
DRAW
3.44
29.1% implied
↑ best 3.60
GAMBA OSAKA WIN
3.03
33% implied
↑ best 3.22

Market favors Nagoya Grampus. AI projects NAGOYA GRAMPUS 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NAGOYA GRAMPUS 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.50 3.10 +46.5%
1xBet 2.22 3.46 3.04 +47.0%
888Sport 2.15 3.30 3.00 +45.5%
Bet365 2.20 3.50 3.10 +46.5%
Betano 2.20 3.40 3.10 +46.5%
Betfair 2.10 3.40 2.80 +44.4%
BetVictor 2.20 3.60 3.10 +46.5%
Dafabet 2.23 3.60 3.10 +47.2%
Marathonbet 2.20 3.46 3.04 +46.5%
Pinnacle 2.25 3.58 3.22 +47.6%
SBO 2.21 3.33 2.97 +46.8%
Unibet 2.35 3.25 2.80 +49.4%
William Hill 2.15 3.30 3.00 +45.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.83
2.5 O 1.77 U 2.01
3.5 O 2.86 U 1.38
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.61 10 bks
NO
2.19 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.88
Away -0.5 1.65
Away -0.75 1.46
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.23
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.