AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · NACIONAL 72%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 14:30 LOCAL
NACIONAL
14TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L W L
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
39
HOURS
:
48
MINS
:
00
SECS
Estádio da Madeira
AVS
D D D L D
· 18TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
PROBABLE LINEUPS · OFFICIAL XI DROPS T-1H
STATS COMMENTARY PREDICTIONS
📊 FORM COMPARISON

Last 5 matches · all competitions

NACIONAL
FORM · 9 PTS
W W L W L
25 Apr W 20 vs Tondela (A)
18 Apr W 10 vs Alverca (H)
12 Apr L 02 vs Benfica (A)
04 Apr W 20 vs Estrela (H)
21 Mar L 01 vs Famalicao (A)
AVS
FORM · 4 PTS
D D D L D
26 Apr D 11 vs Sporting CP (H)
17 Apr D 22 vs Rio Ave (A)
11 Apr D 11 vs Guimaraes (H)
03 Apr L 03 vs GIL Vicente (A)
21 Mar D 00 vs Tondela (A)
📈 SEASON STATS COMPARED

Across 31 matches · Primeira Liga 2025/26

1.10
⚡ GOALS PER MATCH
0.70
Nacional generates ~36% more than opponent
1.32
GOALS CONCEDED / MATCH
2.13
8
WINS THIS SEASON
1
7
CLEAN SHEETS
4
34
GOALS FOR (TOTAL)
21
41
GOALS AGAINST (TOTAL)
64
⚽ PROBABLE STARTING XI

Pitch view · Drops T-1H before kick-off

AWAITING RELEASE
PROBABLE LINEUPS

Official starting XI is released by clubs typically 1 hour before kick-off. Probable XI based on last 5 lineups + injury reports will appear here when available.

EXPECTED KEY MEN
NACIONAL
· Jesús Ramírez
AVS
⭐ KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

In-form, dangerous men, top of their game

🏟 STADIUM & CONDITIONS

Estádio da Madeira · Funchal

CAPACITY
Sold out expected
WEATHER
🌤
Forecast pending
Live forecast at T-3H
PITCH
Grass
105 × 68m standard
FACTORS
Standard
No restrictions
🟨 REFEREE PROFILE

Match official to be announced

?

Match official has not been confirmed yet. Profile and tendencies (matches officiated, yellow/red rate, foul tolerance) will appear here once the federation announces the appointment — typically 2-3 days before kick-off.

⚔ RECENT MEETINGS

No prior meetings in our records

No finished NACIONAL vs AVS matches in our database. This may be their first meeting, or historical fixtures haven't been backfilled yet.

PRE-MATCH STATS H vs A
Stats will appear once the match starts.
LINEUPS
Lineups will be published ~1 hour before kickoff.
No prior meetings in our records

H2H data appears once they've met in a finished match.

PROJECTED IMPACT Pre-match · scenario projection
NACIONAL #14
Currently 31 pts · rank #14
AVS #18
Currently 14 pts · rank #18
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 31 26 4 1 +48 82
W W W D W
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 +47 75
W W W D W
3 Sporting CP 31 22 7 2 +55 73
D D L W W
4 SC Braga 31 16 8 7 +28 56
L W D W W
5 Famalicao 31 14 9 8 +12 51
W D D D W
6 GIL Vicente 31 13 10 8 +14 49
W L D W L
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 -5 42
W W D W L
8 Moreirense 31 11 6 14 -11 39
L W D L L
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 -15 38
W L W W L
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 -1 37
L L L L L
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 -21 35
L W L W W
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 -19 34
L D W L W
13 Santa Clara 31 8 8 15 -10 32
W D L L W
14 Nacional 31 8 7 16 -7 31
W W L W L
15 Estrela 31 6 10 15 -17 28
L L L L W
16 Casa Pia 31 5 11 15 -26 26
L L D L D
17 Tondela 31 4 10 17 -29 22
D L L D L
18 AVS 31 1 11 19 -43 14
D D D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
Commentary feed will start at kickoff.
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NACIONAL WIN
1.46
68.5% implied
↑ best 1.52
DRAW
4.36
22.9% implied
↑ best 4.70
AVS WIN
6.27
15.9% implied
↑ best 7.00

Market favors Nacional. AI projects NACIONAL 72%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NACIONAL 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.44 4.30 7.00 +2.6%
1xBet 1.52 4.62 6.39 +6.2%
Bet365 1.45 4.10 6.50 +3.0%
Betano 1.50 4.45 6.50 +5.3%
Betfair 1.44 4.40 6.50 +2.6%
BetVictor 1.44 4.20 6.00 +2.6%
Dafabet 1.49 4.70 6.40 +4.9%
Marathonbet 1.46 4.45 6.15 +3.5%
Pinnacle 1.46 4.63 6.36 +3.5%
SBO 1.42 4.07 5.61 +1.6%
Unibet 1.50 4.25 6.00 +5.3%
William Hill 1.44 4.20 5.80 +2.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.22
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.17
3.5 O 2.61 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.78 8 bks
NO
1.94 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.32
Away -0.5 2.64
Away -0.75 2.35
Away -1 2.06
Away -1.25 1.79
Away -1.5 1.60
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.