GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · NAC BREDA 39% · Value: BTTS Yes 60%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · MON, 11 MAY · 12:30 LOCAL
NAC BREDA
17TH · 29 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L D D
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
HEERENVEEN
L D W W L
· 8TH · 51 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 36' Boy Kemper ⚽ 74' Boy Kemper (P)
GOALS
Boy Kemper
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Boy Kemper
NAC Breda · Captain · 77 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 21% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
8
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
76%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
6
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 10 events
  1. 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Boy Kemper
    NAC
  2. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Luca Oyen · assist Lasse Selvåg Nordås
    HEE
  3. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jacob Trenskow · assist Hristiyan Petrov
    HEE
  4. 66'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Dylan Vente
    HEE
  5. 74'
    Goal · Penalty
    Boy Kemper
    NAC
  6. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lewis Holtby · assist Brahim Ghalidi
    NAC
  7. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Moussa Soumano · assist Pepijn Reulen
    NAC
  8. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Denis Odoi
    NAC
  9. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Vasilios Zagaritis · assist Eser Gürbüz
    HEE
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ringo Meerveld · assist Nolhan Courtens
    HEE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NAC BREDA AVG 7.3
HEERENVEEN AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
8.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
312.0
PASSES
331.0
76.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
9.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NAC BREDA 2 shots
Boy Kemper
2/2
HEERENVEEN 2 shots
Luca Oyen
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2
4-2-3-1
7.3
99
DANIEL BI
 7.0
22
RIO HILLE
 7.2
15
ENES MAHM
3
DENIS ODO
 8.2
4
BOY KEMPE
16
MAXIMILIE
14
KAMAL SOW
 6.9
25
CHERRION
90
LEWIS HOL
9
MOUSSA SO
24
ANDRé AYE
22
BERNT KLA
 6.7
19
VASILIOS
3
MAAS WILL
4
SAM KERST
45
OLIVER BR
 7.2
16
MARCUS LI
 6.9
8
LUUK BROU
 6.9
11
LUCA OYEN
10
RINGO MEE
20
JACOB TRE
9
DYLAN VEN
SUBSTITUTES · NAC BREDA
26
Pepijn Reule...
F
7
Charles-Andr...
F
19
Amine Salama
F
8
Clint Leeman...
M
32
Juho Talviti...
F
20
Fredrik Jens...
M
21
Jayden Cande...
D
1
Roy Kortsmit
G
31
Kostas Lampr...
G
55
Brahim Ghali...
F
COACH: Carl Hoefkens
SUBSTITUTES · HEERENVEEN
50
Eser Gürbüz
F
36
Nolhan Court...
M
35
Isaiah Ahmed
M
38
Ingmar Mulde...
D
15
Mats Egbring
D
28
Hristiyan Pe...
D
30
Timo Schreud...
G
31
Nordin Bakke...
G
18
Lasse Selvåg...
F
COACH: Robin Veldman
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HEE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. van der Eijk
—
NAC MANAGER
Carl Hoefkens
head coach
HEE MANAGER
Robin Veldman
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
NAC WINS
2
DRAWS
5
HEE WINS
30%
20%
50%
15 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
24 Oct 2025
Heerenveen
3 – 3
NAC Breda
D
12 Jan 2025
NAC Breda
2 – 4
Heerenveen
L
31 Aug 2024
Heerenveen
4 – 0
NAC Breda
L
12 May 2019
Heerenveen
2 – 1
NAC Breda
L
22 Dec 2018
NAC Breda
4 – 2
Heerenveen
W
NAC BREDA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D D
HEERENVEEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
NAC BREDA #17
Won · already at 29 pts
Relegation - Eerste Divisie
HEERENVEEN #8
Lost · already at 51 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ringo Meerveld
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Vasilios Zagaritis
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Denis Odoi
    Tripping
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Moussa Soumano
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lewis Holtby
  • 74'
    Goal · Penalty · Boy Kemper
  • 66'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Dylan Vente
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jacob Trenskow
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Luca Oyen
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Boy Kemper
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NAC BREDA WIN
2.53
39.5% implied
↑ best 2.60
DRAW
3.69
27.1% implied
↑ best 3.90
HEERENVEEN WIN
2.51
39.8% implied
↑ best 2.58

Market favors Heerenveen. AI projects NAC BREDA 39% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NAC BREDA 39% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.48 3.85 2.48 -1.3%
1xBet 2.56 3.78 2.58 -0.1%
888Sport 2.45 3.50 2.50 -1.8%
Bet365 2.60 3.70 2.55 +0.5%
Betano 2.57 3.80 2.50 +0.1%
Betfair 2.50 3.70 2.45 -1.0%
BetVictor 2.50 3.70 2.50 -1.0%
Dafabet 2.55 3.90 2.55 -0.2%
Marathonbet 2.49 3.68 2.51 -1.2%
Pinnacle 2.60 3.88 2.52 +0.5%
SBO 2.50 3.58 2.44 -1.0%
Unibet 2.60 3.45 2.55 +0.5%
William Hill 2.45 3.50 2.50 -1.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.27
2.5 O 1.50 U 2.48
3.5 O 2.26 U 1.62
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.43 10 bks
NO
2.65 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.66
Away -0.5 1.51
Away -0.75 1.37
Away -1 1.22
Away -1.25 1.17
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.