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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · MSV DUISBURG 48%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
DFB Pokal · ROUND OF 64 · SAT, 22 AUG · 13:30 LOCAL
MSV DUISBURG
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
SV ELVERSBERG
⚽ 54' Lex-Tyger Lobinger
GOALS
⚽ 38' Luca Schnellbacher ⚽ 88' Francis Onyeka ⚽ 90+1' Felix Keidel
Lex-Tyger Lobinger
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Lex-Tyger Lobinger
MSV Duisburg · 68 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 8% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

37%
BALL POSSESSION %
63%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
11
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
76%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Can Coskun
    MSV
  2. 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luca Schnellbacher · assist Felix Keidel
    SV
  3. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lex-Tyger Lobinger
    MSV
  4. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Conor Noß · assist Jan-Simon Symalla
    MSV
  5. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lex-Tyger Lobinger · assist Florian Krüger
    MSV
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Patrick Sussek · assist Ramien Safi
    MSV
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Noah Darvich · assist Francis Onyeka
    SV
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luca Schnellbacher · assist David Mokwa
    SV
  9. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Felix Keidel
    SV
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lasse Günther · assist Nicholas Mickelson
    SV
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jan Gyamerah · assist Luca Sirch
    SV
  12. 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Francis Onyeka
    SV
  13. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Felix Keidel
    SV
  14. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Felix Keidel · assist Amara Condé
    SV
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MSV DUISBURG AVG 7.0
SV ELVERSBERG AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
2.0
ON TARGET
3.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
37.0%
POSSESSION %
63.0%
241.0
PASSES
411.0
76.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
5.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MSV DUISBURG 1 shots
Lex-Tyger Lobinger
1/1
SV ELVERSBERG 5 shots
Luca Schnellbacher
2/2
Cole Campbell
1/2
Lukas Petkov
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 36%
64% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
5-4-1
4-2-3-1
7.0
1
MAXIMILIA
27
CAN COSKU
5
TOBIAS FL
 6.5
6
RASIM BUL
4
MARTIN EN
 6.6
29
JOSHUA BI
 6.9
37
PATRICK S
10
CHRISTIAN
8
ALJAž CAS
14
CONOR NOß
 7.9
9
LEX-TYGER
20
NICOLAS K
21
LASSE GüN
 6.7
3
FLORIAN Y
 7.3
31
MAXIMILIA
30
JAN GYAME
8
ŁUKASZ PO
43
FELIX KEI
 6.6
39
COLE CAMP
10
NOAH DARV
 6.9
25
LUKAS PET
 7.5
24
LUCA SCHN
SUBSTITUTES · MSV DUISBURG
23
Jan-Simon Sy...
M
19
Ramien Safi
F
7
Jakob Bookja...
M
17
Max Besuschk...
M
11
Dominik Koth...
F
40
Ben Schlicke
D
20
Niklas Jesse...
D
33
Toni Stahl
G
26
Florian Krüg...
F
COACH: Dietmar Hirsch
SUBSTITUTES · SV ELVERSBERG
9
Noel Futkeu
F
17
Frederik Sch...
M
40
Francis Onye...
M
6
Amara Condé
M
7
Maurice Krat...
M
2
Nicholas Mic...
D
26
Luca Sirch
D
28
Tim Boss
G
42
David Mokwa
F
COACH: Vincent Wagner
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MSV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Burda
—
MSV MANAGER
Dietmar Hirsch
head coach
SV MANAGER
Vincent Wagner
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
MSV WINS
1
DRAWS
2
SV WINS
25%
25%
50%
5 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
2.75
AVG GOALS / MATCH
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Felix Keidel
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Felix Keidel
  • 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Francis Onyeka
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jan Gyamerah
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lasse Günther
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Felix Keidel
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luca Schnellbacher
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Noah Darvich
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Patrick Sussek
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lex-Tyger Lobinger
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Conor Noß
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lex-Tyger Lobinger
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luca Schnellbacher
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · Can Coskun
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MSV DUISBURG WIN
3.84
26% implied
↑ best 4.05
DRAW
3.87
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.20
SV ELVERSBERG WIN
1.80
55.6% implied
↑ best 1.86

Market favors SV Elversberg. AI projects MSV DUISBURG 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MSV DUISBURG 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
1xBet 3.96 3.85 1.80 +22.7%
888Sport 3.75 3.60 1.83 +21.3%
Bet365 4.00 4.00 1.75 +23.0%
Betano 4.00 3.85 1.78 +23.0%
Betfair 3.80 4.20 1.75 +21.7%
BetVictor 3.75 3.90 1.75 +21.3%
Dafabet 3.95 4.00 1.86 +22.7%
Marathonbet 3.98 3.85 1.78 +22.9%
Pinnacle 4.05 4.01 1.79 +23.3%
SBO 3.43 3.56 1.80 +18.8%
Superbet 3.80 3.85 1.82 +21.7%
Unibet 3.75 4.00 1.84 +21.3%
William Hill 3.75 3.60 1.83 +21.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.45
2.5 O 1.43 U 2.63
3.5 O 2.10 U 1.68
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 10 bks
NO
2.60 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.28
Away -0.5 1.25
Away -0.75 1.14
Away -1 1.04
Away -1.5 1.04
Away -2.5 1.01
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.