GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 4–2 · MOROCCO 99% · Value: Over 2.5 99%
CONF 95 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · WED, 24 JUN · 22:00 LOCAL
MOROCCO
3'
0 – 0
HAITI
⚽ 39' Achraf Hakimi ⚽ 45+1' Ismael Saibari ⚽ 78' Soufiane Rahimi ⚽ 89' Gessime Yassine
GOALS
⚽ 10' Yassine Bounou (OG) ⚽ 43' Wilson Isidor
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Haiti · 90'

LIVE
HAITI MOROCCO

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

MOROCCO HAITI
MOROCCO HAITI 0' 1' 3'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 3'

3.26
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.52
70%
BALL POSSESSION %
30%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
5
11
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
9
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 10'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Yassine Bounou
    HAI
  2. 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Achraf Hakimi
    MOR
  3. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Wilson Isidor · assist Jean-Kévin Duverne
    HAI
  4. 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ismael Saibari · assist Achraf Hakimi
    MOR
  5. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ruben Providence · assist Duckens Nazon
    HAI
  6. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Wilson Isidor · assist Louicius Don Deedson
    HAI
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Brahim Díaz · assist Azzedine Ounahi
    MOR
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ismael Saibari · assist Soufiane Rahimi
    MOR
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ayoub El Kaabi · assist Gessime Yassine
    MOR
  10. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Soufiane Rahimi · assist Chadi Riad
    MOR
  11. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Duckens Nazon
    HAI
  12. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Johny Placide
    HAI
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jean-Kévin Duverne · assist Carlens Arcus
    HAI
  14. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Danley Jean Jacques · assist Dominique Simon
    HAI
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Anass Salah-Eddine · assist Noussair Mazraoui
    MOR
  16. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Neil El Aynaoui · assist Samir El Mourabet
    MOR
  17. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lenny Joseph · assist Frantzdy Pierrot
    HAI
  18. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gessime Yassine · assist Soufiane Rahimi
    MOR
  19. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Josué Casimir
    HAI
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.3
xG
0.5
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
11.0
ON TARGET
1.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
70.0%
POSSESSION %
30.0%
540.0
PASSES
242.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
0.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
18.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
8.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MOROCCO 11 shots
Ismael Saibari
1/4
Achraf Hakimi
3/3
Bilal El Khannouss
2/2
Soufiane Rahimi
1/1
Gessime Yassine
1/1
HAITI 1 shots
Wilson Isidor
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 3.26 – 0.52
2.6 2 1.3 0.7 3.3 0.0 HT 39' 45' 78' 89' 10' 43' H 3.26 A 0.52 KO 30' 60' 3'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-1-1
4-2-3-1
4-4-1-1
1
YASSINE B
26
ANASS SAL
18
CHADI RIA
25
REDOUANE
 7.6
2
ACHRAF HA
4
SOFYAN AM
24
NEIL EL A
 8.9
23
BILAL EL
 7.3
11
ISMAEL SA
10
BRAHIM Dí
20
AYOUB EL
 6.9
1
JOHNY PLA
8
MARTIN EX
5
HANNES DE
4
RICARDO A
 6.7
22
JEAN-KéVI
15
RUBEN PRO
10
JEAN-RICN
 6.9
17
DANLEY JE
21
JOSUé CAS
 7.7
18
WILSON IS
16
LENNY JOS
SUBSTITUTES · MOROCCO
13
Zakaria El O...
D
14
Issa Diop
D
19
Youssef Bela...
D
6
Ayyoub Bouad...
M
7
Chemsdine Ta...
F
17
Amine Sbai
F
5
Marwane Saad...
D
22
Ahmed Reda T...
G
12
Munir El Kaj...
G
15
Samir El Mou...
M
3
Noussair Maz...
D
9
Soufiane Rah...
F
16
Gessime Yass...
F
8
Azzedine Oun...
M
21
Ayoube Amaim...
F
COACH: Mohamed Ouahbi
SUBSTITUTES · HAITI
14
Garven-Miche...
D
13
Duke Lacroix
D
6
Carl Fred Sa...
M
24
Wilguens Pau...
D
26
Woodensky Pi...
M
7
Derrick Etie...
F
3
Keeto Thermo...
D
23
Josué Duverg...
G
12
Alexandre Pi...
G
20
Frantzdy Pie...
F
25
Dominique Si...
M
2
Carlens Arcu...
D
9
Duckens Nazo...
F
11
Louicius Don...
F
19
Yassin Fortu...
F
COACH: Sebastien Migne
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HAI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
—
MOR MANAGER
Mohamed Ouahbi
head coach
HAI MANAGER
Sebastien Migne
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
MOR WINS
1
DRAWS
0
HAI WINS
100%
MOROCCO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W
HAITI LAST 5 OVERALL
L L
LIVE IMPACT Currently 0–0 · scenario projection
MOROCCO #2
If loss holds: 7 pts
Round of 32
HAITI #4
If loss holds: 0 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
W L D
1 England 2 1 1 0 +2 4
D W
1 Colombia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
W W
1 Argentina 2 2 0 0 +5 6
W W
1 France 2 2 0 0 +5 6
W W
1 Spain 2 1 1 0 +4 4
W D
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 +2 4
W D
1 Netherlands 2 1 1 0 +4 4
W D
1 Germany 2 2 0 0 +7 6
W W
1 USA 2 2 0 0 +5 6
W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W W D
2 Norway 2 2 0 0 +4 6
W W
2 Austria 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W
2 Portugal 2 1 1 0 +5 4
W D
2 Ghana 2 1 1 0 +1 4
D W
2 Sweden 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W
2 Uruguay 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
2 Iran 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
2 Japan 2 1 1 0 +4 4
W D
2 Ivory Coast 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W
2 Australia 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
W W D
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W D
2 South Korea 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W
3 Senegal 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L
3 Algeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3
W L
3 Congo DR 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D
3 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
3 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
3 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
3 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
3 Sweden 2 1 0 1 0 3
L W
3 Ecuador 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
3 Paraguay 2 1 0 1 -2 3
W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
W L D
3 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
4 Iraq 2 0 0 2 -6 0
L L
4 Jordan 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L
4 Uzbekistan 2 0 0 2 -7 0
L L
4 Panama 2 0 0 2 -2 0
L L
4 Algeria 2 1 0 1 -2 3
W L
4 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
4 New Zealand 2 0 1 1 -2 1
L D
4 Tunisia 2 0 0 2 -8 0
L L
4 South Africa 2 0 1 1 -2 1
D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L
4 Curaçao 2 0 1 1 -6 1
D L
5 Paraguay 2 1 0 1 -2 3
W L
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
7 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
8 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
10 Congo DR 2 0 1 1 -1 1
L D
11 Ecuador 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Senegal 2 0 0 2 -3 0
L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Josué Casimir
    Tripping
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gessime Yassine
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lenny Joseph
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Neil El Aynaoui
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Anass Salah-Eddine
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Danley Jean Jacques
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jean-Kévin Duverne
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Johny Placide
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Duckens Nazon
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Soufiane Rahimi
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ayoub El Kaabi
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ismael Saibari
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Brahim Díaz
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Wilson Isidor
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ruben Providence
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 2
  • 45'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ismael Saibari
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Wilson Isidor
  • 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Achraf Hakimi
  • 10'
    Goal · Own Goal · Yassine Bounou
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
MOROCCO WIN
1.17
85.5% implied
↑ best 1.21
DRAW
7.50
13.3% implied
↑ best 8.00
HAITI WIN
17.84
5.6% implied
↑ best 22.00

Market favors Morocco. AI projects MOROCCO 99% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MOROCCO 99% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.15 7.25 15.50 +12.0%
1xBet 1.19 7.75 22.00 +15.0%
Bet365 1.17 7.50 15.00 +13.5%
Betano 1.21 7.10 17.50 +16.4%
Betfair 1.15 8.00 17.00 +12.0%
BetVictor 1.14 7.50 18.00 +11.3%
Marathonbet 1.18 7.70 22.00 +14.3%
Pinnacle 1.19 7.75 17.75 +15.0%
SBO 1.17 7.40 15.50 +13.5%
Unibet 1.15 8.00 19.00 +12.0%
William Hill 1.17 6.50 17.00 +13.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.03
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.47
3.5 O 2.33 U 1.61
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.39 9 bks
NO
1.53 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 7.27
Away -0.5 4.78
Away -0.75 4.30
Away -1 3.86
Away -1.25 3.04
Away -1.5 2.48
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.