GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · MONZA 45%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · FRI, 14 AUG · 18:45 LOCAL
MONZA
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
AVELLINO
⚽ 22' Gustavo Varela ⚽ 45' Gustavo Varela ⚽ 51' Omari Forson
GOALS
Patrick Cutrone
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Patrick Cutrone
Monza · 60 mins
🅰 2 assists · 23% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

57%
BALL POSSESSION %
43%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
3
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
3
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gustavo Varela
    MON
  2. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gustavo Varela · assist Patrick Cutrone
    MON
  3. 47'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brando Moruzzi
    AVE
  4. 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Omari Forson · assist Patrick Cutrone
    MON
  5. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel Fila · assist Luca Pandolfi
    AVE
  6. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tommaso Biasci · assist Andrea Favilli
    AVE
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Martin Palumbo · assist Luca Di Maggio
    AVE
  8. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Luca Palmiero · assist Dimitrios Sounas
    AVE
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ricardo Mangas · assist Adam Bakoune
    MON
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Omari Forson · assist Andrea Colpani
    MON
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lorenco Šimić · assist Michael Venturi
    AVE
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gustavo Varela · assist Andrea Petagna
    MON
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Samuele Birindelli · assist Lorenzo Lucchesi
    MON
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Mathis Mout · assist Nicolas Galazzi
    MON
  15. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dimitrios Sounas
    AVE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MONZA AVG 7.8
AVELLINO AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
3.0
4.0
ON TARGET
0.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
6.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
57.0%
POSSESSION %
43.0%
347.0
PASSES
268.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
0.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
13.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MONZA 8 shots
Patrick Cutrone
1/4
Gustavo Varela
2/3
Omari Forson
1/1
AVELLINO 0 shots

No shots recorded.

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-3-1-2
3-4-2-1
4-3-1-2
20
DEMBA THI
44
ANDREA CA
 7.3
15
FILIPPO D
60
EDDY KOUA
7
RICARDO M
80
MATHIS MO
8
MANGA FOE
 7.2
19
SAMUELE B
 8.5
10
PATRICK C
 8.2
11
OMARI FOR
 8.0
9
GUSTAVO V
 6.7
50
TOMMASO M
27
BRANDO MO
 7.0
44
LORENCO Š
 6.2
4
ARMANDO I
29
TOMMASO C
39
MICHELE B
 6.6
6
LUCA PALM
20
MARTIN PA
10
RAFFAELE
 6.3
14
TOMMASO B
11
DANIEL FI
SUBSTITUTES · MONZA
22
Solomon Loub...
F
28
Andrea Colpa...
M
46
Jay Robinson
F
47
Dany Mota
F
23
Nicolas Gala...
M
3
Lorenzo Lucc...
D
24
Adam Bakoune
D
6
Valentin Ant...
D
2
Arvid Brorss...
D
43
Aljaz Strajn...
G
13
Semuel Pizzi...
G
37
Andrea Petag...
F
COACH: Ivan Juric
SUBSTITUTES · AVELLINO
56
Patrick Enri...
D
63
Alessandro F...
D
23
Michael Vent...
D
16
Giacomo Fati...
M
22
Jacopo Sassi
G
1
Antony Ianna...
G
24
Dimitrios So...
M
8
Luca Di Magg...
M
99
Andrea Favil...
F
7
Luca Pandolf...
F
3
Marco Sala
D
COACH: Alessandro Nesta
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MON · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AVE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Drigo
—
MON MANAGER
Ivan Juric
head coach
AVE MANAGER
Alessandro Nesta
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
MON WINS
0
DRAWS
1
AVE WINS
50%
50%
3 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Dimitrios Sounas
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Mathis Mout
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Samuele Birindelli
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gustavo Varela
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lorenco Šimić
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Omari Forson
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ricardo Mangas
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Luca Palmiero
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Martin Palumbo
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tommaso Biasci
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel Fila
  • 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Omari Forson
  • 47'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brando Moruzzi
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gustavo Varela
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gustavo Varela
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MONZA WIN
1.76
56.8% implied
↑ best 1.85
DRAW
3.53
28.3% implied
↑ best 3.79
AVELLINO WIN
4.51
22.2% implied
↑ best 4.90

Market favors Monza. AI projects MONZA 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MONZA 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.71 3.60 4.80 +6.2%
1xBet 1.80 3.48 4.34 +4.0%
Bet365 1.75 3.50 4.50 +4.8%
Betano 1.85 3.45 4.50 +4.8%
Betfair 1.85 3.40 4.50 +4.8%
BetVictor 1.80 3.40 4.00 +2.0%
Dafabet 1.82 3.65 4.60 +5.3%
Marathonbet 1.78 3.48 4.35 +4.0%
Pinnacle 1.75 3.79 4.81 +6.2%
SBO 1.58 3.44 4.52 +4.9%
Superbet 1.62 3.75 4.90 +6.6%
Unibet 1.77 3.60 4.60 +5.3%
William Hill 1.80 3.30 4.20 +3.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.24
2.5 O 1.97 U 1.80
3.5 O 3.46 U 1.27
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.87 10 bks
NO
1.85 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.39
Away -0.5 2.05
Away -0.75 1.79
Away -1 1.56
Away -1.25 1.43
Away -1.5 1.34
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.