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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · KAWASAKI FRONTALE 40%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 24 MAY · 05:00 LOCAL
MITO HOLLYHOCK
9TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L D
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
KAWASAKI FRONTALE
L D L W L
· 4TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+1' Patryck Ferreira
GOALS
⚽ 58' Kyosuke Mochiyama ⚽ 78' Kyosuke Mochiyama ⚽ 85' Kyosuke Mochiyama
Kyosuke Mochiyama
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kyosuke Mochiyama
Kawasaki Frontale · 44 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 7% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

43%
BALL POSSESSION %
57%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
17
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ten Miyagi · assist Marcinho
    KAW
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lazar Romanić · assist Kyosuke Mochiyama
    KAW
  3. 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kyosuke Mochiyama · assist Sota Miura
    KAW
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matheus Leiria · assist Ryo Nemoto
    MIT
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mizuki Arai · assist Yamamota Hayata
    MIT
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yoshiki Torikai · assist Koki Ando
    MIT
  7. 75'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Arata Watanabe
    MIT
  8. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kyosuke Mochiyama
    KAW
  9. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Chihiro Kato · assist Tada Keisuke
    MIT
  10. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Arata Watanabe · assist Patryck Ferreira
    MIT
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yuki Yamamoto · assist So Kawahara
    KAW
  12. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kyosuke Mochiyama · assist So Kawahara
    KAW
  13. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tatsuya Ito · assist Ryuki Osa
    KAW
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yasuto Wakizaka · assist Soma Kanda
    KAW
  15. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Patryck Ferreira · assist Danilo Cardoso
    MIT
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MITO HOLLYHOCK AVG 6.5
KAWASAKI FRONTALE AVG 7.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
43.0%
POSSESSION %
57.0%
390.0
PASSES
530.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MITO HOLLYHOCK 5 shots
Chihiro Kato
0/2
Mizuki Arai
0/2
Taishi Semba
0/1
KAWASAKI FRONTALE 5 shots
Kyosuke Mochiyama
3/4
Yuki Yamamoto
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
34
KONOSUKE
7
SHO OMORI
17
KENTA ITA
2
DANILO CA
25
TAKUMI MA
 6.3
14
MIZUKI AR
 6.6
8
CHIHIRO K
 6.9
19
TAISHI SE
70
MATHEUS L
11
YOSHIKI T
10
ARATA WAT
1
LOUIS YAM
13
SOTA MIUR
 7.3
28
YUICHI MA
2
YUTO MATS
 7.3
29
REON YAMA
 7.0
6
YUKI YAMA
 7.7
8
KENTO TAC
24
TEN MIYAG
14
YASUTO WA
17
TATSUYA I
91
LAZAR ROM
SUBSTITUTES · MITO HOLLYHOCK
20
Patryck Ferr...
F
15
Yuto Nagao
M
5
Seiya Inoue
D
4
Takeshi Ushi...
D
21
Shuhei Matsu...
G
33
Koki Ando
M
9
Ryo Nemoto
F
39
Yamamota Hay...
M
29
Tada Keisuke
F
COACH: Daisuke Kimori
SUBSTITUTES · KAWASAKI FRONTALE
34
Ryuki Osa
M
19
So Kawahara
M
15
Toya Myogan
M
32
Shunsuke Hay...
D
30
Hiroto Noda
D
49
Svend Broder...
G
20
Kyosuke Moch...
F
23
Marcinho
F
38
Soma Kanda
F
COACH: Shigetoshi Hasebe
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MIT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

KAW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Yoshimi Yamashita, Japan
—
MIT MANAGER
Daisuke Kimori
head coach
KAW MANAGER
Shigetoshi Hasebe
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
MIT WINS
2
DRAWS
1
KAW WINS
66.7%
33.3%
5 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
3.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 3
01 Mar 2026
Kawasaki Frontale
2 – 2
Mito Hollyhock
D
MITO HOLLYHOCK LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L D
KAWASAKI FRONTALE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
MITO HOLLYHOCK #7
Lost · already at 18 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
KAWASAKI FRONTALE #4
Won · already at 28 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Patryck Ferreira
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yasuto Wakizaka
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tatsuya Ito
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kyosuke Mochiyama
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yuki Yamamoto
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Arata Watanabe
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Chihiro Kato
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kyosuke Mochiyama
  • 75'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Arata Watanabe
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yoshiki Torikai
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mizuki Arai
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matheus Leiria
  • 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kyosuke Mochiyama
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lazar Romanić
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ten Miyagi
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
MITO HOLLYHOCK WIN
3.05
32.8% implied
↑ best 3.25
DRAW
3.34
29.9% implied
↑ best 3.50
KAWASAKI FRONTAL WIN
2.24
44.6% implied
↑ best 2.30

Market favors Kawasaki Frontale. AI projects KAWASAKI FRONTALE 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS KAWASAKI FRONTALE 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.10 3.40 2.20 -0.3%
1xBet 3.13 3.30 2.25 +0.1%
888Sport 3.00 3.20 2.25 -1.3%
Bet365 3.00 3.50 2.25 -0.6%
Betano 3.10 3.35 2.22 -0.3%
Betfair 2.90 3.30 2.15 -2.3%
BetVictor 3.10 3.50 2.25 -0.3%
Dafabet 3.10 3.45 2.28 -0.3%
Marathonbet 3.12 3.30 2.23 -0.1%
Pinnacle 3.24 3.43 2.28 +1.1%
SBO 2.80 3.08 2.23 -3.7%
Superbet 3.25 3.35 2.27 +1.2%
Unibet 2.85 3.40 2.30 -1.4%
William Hill 3.00 3.20 2.25 -1.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.65
2.5 O 1.84 U 1.93
3.5 O 3.05 U 1.34
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.65 11 bks
NO
2.11 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.45
Away -0.5 1.36
Away -0.75 1.23
Away -1 1.10
Away -1.25 1.08
Away -1.5 1.08
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.