Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 3 · WED, 29 APR · 22:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
MIRASSOL
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
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MINS
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SECS
Wed, 29 Apr · 22:00
ALWAYS READY
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
MIR
1 0
ALW
most likely scoreline · 17.2% probability
AI PICKS MIRASSOL TO WIN 56%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
MIR WIN 56%
DRAW 26%
ALW WIN 18%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 82% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 82% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Very thin data on both teams — treat as weak signal. Home edge + table position suggest Mirassol lean, but Copa Libertadores volatility is high.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY MIRASSOL FAVORED
56%
Very thin data on both teams — treat as weak signal. Home edge + table position suggest Mirassol lean, but Copa Libertadores volatility is high.
+30.0%
WHY ALWAYS READY CHALLENGED
18%
Both teams on recent loss (L-form); limited sample for form confidence
+25.0%
Mirassol holds 3 pts vs Always Ready's 0 pts, slight quality edge
+20.0%
Massive data gaps (no season xG, GF/GA sparse) — confidence capped at 38%
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Both teams on recent loss (L-form); limited sample for form confidence
  • Mirassol holds 3 pts vs Always Ready's 0 pts, slight quality edge
  • Massive data gaps (no season xG, GF/GA sparse) — confidence capped at 38%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.2
4.2
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
17.2
12.9
4.8
1.2
0.2
·
·
2
9.9
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.8
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.2%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 12.9%
0 — 1 11.2%
2 — 0 9.9%
Top 5 = 66.2% · rest 33.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
30 bookmakers · pre-match avg
10.97
18.0%
5.56
+97.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.78
44.0%
2.27
+66.1%
Draw
30 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.85
26.0%
3.85
+52.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.07
48.0%
2.08
-0.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.04
82.0%
1.22
-15.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.12
74.0%
1.35
-17.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
52.0%
1.92
-18.6%
HOME to Win
30 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.23
56.0%
1.79
-30.9%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.