GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · KASHIMA 98% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 92 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · WED, 06 MAY · 07:00 LOCAL
KASHIMA
1ST · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W D D
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
MITO HOLLYHOCK
L L L L D
· 9TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 58' Shu Morooka ⚽ 71' Léo Ceará ⚽ 79' Léo Ceará
GOALS
Léo Ceará
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Léo Ceará
Kashima · 91 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 14% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Kashima vs Mito Hollyhock
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

70%
BALL POSSESSION %
30%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
6
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
69%
6
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 13'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kyosuke Tagawa · assist Shu Morooka
    KAS
  2. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tae-hyeon Kim
    KAS
  3. 30'
    Card · Red Card
    Takeshi Ushizawa
    MIT
  4. 34'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Taishi Semba · assist Takahiro Iida
    MIT
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mizuki Arai · assist Yamamota Hayata
    MIT
  6. 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Shu Morooka · assist Tae-hyeon Kim
    KAS
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Takumi Mase · assist Teruhiro Sasaki
    MIT
  8. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Aleksandar Čavrić · assist Ryotaro Araki
    KAS
  9. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Haruki Hayashi · assist Yuma Suzuki
    KAS
  10. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Léo Ceará · assist Koki Anzai
    KAS
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Arata Watanabe · assist Koki Ando
    MIT
  12. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ryo Nemoto · assist Patryck Ferreira
    MIT
  13. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Léo Ceará · assist Yuma Suzuki
    KAS
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ryuta Koike · assist Kimito Nono
    KAS
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Koki Anzai · assist Ryoya Ogawa
    KAS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
KASHIMA AVG 7.8
MITO HOLLYHOCK AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
7.0
ON TARGET
2.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
70.0%
POSSESSION %
30.0%
573.0
PASSES
239.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
69.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
KASHIMA 9 shots
Léo Ceará
3/5
Shu Morooka
3/3
Koki Anzai
0/1
MITO HOLLYHOCK 2 shots
Takumi Mase
0/1
Ryo Nemoto
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
1
TOMOKI HA
 7.7
2
KOKI ANZA
 7.3
3
TAE-HYEON
 7.7
55
NAOMICHI
25
RYUTA KOI
24
HARUKI HA
6
KENTO MIS
14
YUTA HIGU
77
ALEKSANDA
 9.2
9
LéO CEARá
11
KYOSUKE T
 6.9
34
KONOSUKE
7
SHO OMORI
4
TAKESHI U
17
KENTA ITA
 6.5
25
TAKUMI MA
14
MIZUKI AR
3
KOSHI OSA
 6.7
19
TAISHI SE
70
MATHEUS L
 6.6
10
ARATA WAT
 6.5
9
RYO NEMOT
SUBSTITUTES · KASHIMA
71
Ryotaro Arak...
M
27
Yuta Matsumu...
M
20
Yu Funabashi
M
7
Ryoya Ogawa
D
22
Kimito Nono
D
23
Keisuke Tsuk...
D
29
Yuji Kajikaw...
G
19
Shu Morooka
F
40
Yuma Suzuki
F
COACH: Toru Oniki
SUBSTITUTES · MITO HOLLYHOCK
29
Tada Keisuke
F
33
Koki Ando
M
11
Yoshiki Tori...
M
82
Kotatsu Kawa...
M
21
Shuhei Matsu...
G
89
Teruhiro Sas...
D
39
Yamamota Hay...
M
6
Takahiro Iid...
D
20
Patryck Ferr...
F
COACH: Daisuke Kimori
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
KAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MIT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Iida
—
KAS MANAGER
Toru Oniki
head coach
MIT MANAGER
Daisuke Kimori
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
KAS WINS
2
DRAWS
0
MIT WINS
33.3%
66.7%
2 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
1.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 3
04 Apr 2026
Mito Hollyhock
1 – 1
Kashima
D
KASHIMA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D D
MITO HOLLYHOCK LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
KASHIMA #1
Won · already at 45 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
MITO HOLLYHOCK #7
Lost · already at 18 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Koki Anzai
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ryuta Koike
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Léo Ceará
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ryo Nemoto
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Arata Watanabe
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Léo Ceará
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Haruki Hayashi
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Aleksandar Čavrić
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Takumi Mase
  • 58'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Shu Morooka
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mizuki Arai
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 34'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Taishi Semba
  • 30'
    Card · Red Card · Takeshi Ushizawa
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tae-hyeon Kim
  • 13'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kyosuke Tagawa
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
KASHIMA WIN
1.66
60.2% implied
↑ best 1.70
DRAW
3.66
27.3% implied
↑ best 3.90
MITO HOLLYHOCK WIN
5.08
19.7% implied
↑ best 5.51

Market favors Kashima. AI projects KASHIMA 98% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS KASHIMA 98% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.68 3.65 4.80 +38.5%
1xBet 1.65 3.72 5.18 +37.4%
888Sport 1.65 3.50 5.00 +37.4%
Bet365 1.67 3.75 5.00 +38.1%
Betano 1.65 3.65 5.30 +37.4%
Betfair 1.62 3.60 4.75 +36.3%
BetVictor 1.65 3.75 5.50 +37.4%
Dafabet 1.70 3.80 5.20 +39.2%
Marathonbet 1.63 3.72 5.25 +36.7%
Pinnacle 1.67 3.90 5.51 +38.1%
SBO 1.67 3.55 4.84 +38.1%
Unibet 1.68 3.55 4.75 +38.5%
William Hill 1.65 3.50 5.00 +37.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.17
2.5 O 2.01 U 1.76
3.5 O 3.53 U 1.26
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.95 10 bks
NO
1.77 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.68
Away -0.5 2.22
Away -0.75 1.94
Away -1 1.67
Away -1.25 1.50
Away -1.5 1.40
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.