GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ORLANDO CITY SC 38% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · WED, 19 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
ORLANDO CITY SC
9TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L W W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
CHICAGO FIRE
D W W L L
· 3RD · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 52' David Brekalo
GOALS
⚽ 4' P. Dithejane ⚽ 69' R. Lewandowski (P)
Chris Brady
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Chris Brady
Chicago Fire · 86 mins
· 24% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.62
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.30
57%
BALL POSSESSION %
43%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
7
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    P. Dithejane · assist David Poreba
    CHI
  2. 43'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    W. Cartagena · assist Z. Taifi
    ORL
  3. 43'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    T. Spicer · assist Marco Pasalic
    ORL
  4. 43'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    A. Gomez · assist Tiago
    ORL
  5. 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    David Brekalo · assist Antoine Griezmann
    ORL
  6. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino
    ORL
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    David Poreba · assist R. Lod
    CHI
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Andrew Gutman · assist V. Radojevic
    CHI
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jonathan Bamba · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Justin Ellis · assist D. Dike
    ORL
  11. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Jansson
    ORL
  12. 69'
    Goal · Penalty
    R. Lewandowski
    CHI
  13. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    G. Dorsey · assist E. Atuesta
    ORL
  14. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    V. Radojevic
    CHI
  15. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    R. Lewandowski · assist Sam Rogers
    CHI
  16. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sam Rogers
    CHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ORLANDO CITY SC AVG 7.4
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
1.3
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
5.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
57.0%
POSSESSION %
43.0%
509.0
PASSES
393.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ORLANDO CITY SC 6 shots
Antoine Griezmann
1/2
David Brekalo
2/2
I. Angulo
0/1
Justin Ellis
1/1
CHICAGO FIRE 4 shots
R. Lewandowski
1/2
P. Dithejane
2/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.62 – 1.30
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 52' 4' 69' H 1.62 A 1.30 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
71
M. CRéPEA
3
ADRIáN MA
6
R. JANSSO
 7.5
4
DAVID BRE
24
G. DORSEY
 7.2
5
LUIS OTáV
16
W. CARTAG
14
T. SPICER
 8.0
7
ANTOINE G
 7.2
77
I. ANGULO
 6.9
22
JUSTIN EL
 8.3
1
CHRIS BRA
15
ANDREW GU
 7.6
3
JACK ELLI
 7.5
16
JOEL WATE
24
JONATHAN
6
A. SALETR
42
DJE TAH D
29
DAVID POR
19
JONATHAN
 8.2
9
R. LEWAND
 7.3
12
P. DITHEJ
SUBSTITUTES · ORLANDO CITY SC
35
Joran Gerbet
M
23
Harvey Saraj...
F
20
E. Atuesta
M
57
Iago
D
12
Javier Otero
G
11
Tiago
F
87
Marco Pasali...
F
19
Z. Taifi
M
9
D. Dike
F
COACH: Oscar Pareja
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
47
S. Williams
M
22
Mauricio Pin...
D
7
Maren Haile-...
M
17
R. Lod
M
14
V. Radojevic
D
5
Sam Rogers
D
2
L. Barroso
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
20
Jason Shokal...
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ORL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Rosendo Mendoza, USA
—
ORL MANAGER
Oscar Pareja
head coach
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
ORL WINS
3
DRAWS
2
CHI WINS
50%
30%
20%
15 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Oct 2025
Chicago Fire
3 – 1
Orlando City SC
L
31 May 2025
Orlando City SC
1 – 3
Chicago Fire
L
04 May 2025
Chicago Fire
0 – 0
Orlando City SC
D
22 Jun 2024
Orlando City SC
4 – 2
Chicago Fire
W
30 May 2024
Chicago Fire
1 – 1
Orlando City SC
D
ORLANDO CITY SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L W W
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
ORLANDO CITY SC #9
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
CHICAGO FIRE #3
Won · already at 36 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sam Rogers
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · R. Lewandowski
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · V. Radojevic
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · G. Dorsey
  • 69'
    Goal · Penalty · R. Lewandowski
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Jansson
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Justin Ellis
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jonathan Bamba
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Andrew Gutman
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · David Poreba
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino
  • 52'
    Goal · Normal Goal · David Brekalo
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 43'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · A. Gomez
  • 43'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · T. Spicer
  • 43'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · W. Cartagena
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · P. Dithejane
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ORLANDO CITY SC WIN
2.61
38.3% implied
↑ best 2.75
DRAW
3.92
25.5% implied
↑ best 4.04
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
2.35
42.6% implied
↑ best 2.42

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects ORLANDO CITY SC 38% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ORLANDO CITY SC 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.68 3.80 2.32 +0.7%
888Sport 2.50 3.90 2.30 +0.4%
Bet365 2.62 4.00 2.38 +1.0%
Betano 2.62 4.00 2.40 +1.0%
Betfair 2.63 3.90 2.30 +0.4%
BetVictor 2.55 4.00 2.38 +1.0%
Dafabet 2.65 4.00 2.41 +1.0%
Marathonbet 2.61 3.88 2.32 +0.2%
Pinnacle 2.68 4.04 2.42 +1.2%
SBO 2.50 3.76 2.36 -0.6%
Superbet 2.62 3.90 2.40 +0.4%
Unibet 2.75 3.85 2.25 +1.6%
William Hill 2.50 3.90 2.30 +0.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.77
2.5 O 1.36 U 3.05
3.5 O 1.90 U 1.87
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.34 10 bks
NO
3.08 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.61
Away -0.5 1.49
Away -0.75 1.36
Away -1 1.23
Away -1.25 1.19
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.