GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–0 · DRAW 58%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · WED, 19 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
NEW YORK RED BULLS
8TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W L L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
NASHVILLE SC
W W D L W
· 1ST · 49 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 90+2' M. Woledzi
R. Donkor
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
R. Donkor
New York Red Bulls · 78 mins
· 31% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.62
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.77
52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
7
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
5
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 12'
    Card · Yellow Card
    D. Lovitz
    NAS
  2. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Corcoran
    NAS
  3. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    C. Cowell · assist M. Jimenez
    NEW
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    E. Forsberg · assist M. Sofo
    NEW
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    D. Lovitz · assist A. Najar
    NAS
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    S. Mohammed · assist C. Espinoza
    NAS
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    M. Corcoran · assist P. Yazbek
    NAS
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    E. Saad · assist A. Qasem
    NAS
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    D. Nealis · assist Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
    NEW
  10. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    R. Baker-Whiting · assist J. Bauer
    NAS
  11. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Justin Che · assist T. Parker
    NEW
  12. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Bazán
    NEW
  13. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Woledzi · assist C. Espinoza
    NAS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK RED BULLS AVG 7.5
NASHVILLE SC AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.8
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
1.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
385.0
PASSES
348.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
7.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
3.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK RED BULLS 2 shots
A. Mehmeti
0/1
J. Bazán
0/1
NASHVILLE SC 1 shots
R. Baker-Whiting
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.62 – 0.77
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 90' H 1.62 A 0.77 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
34
E. HORVAT
 7.3
56
M. DOS SA
 7.3
14
J. BAZáN
2
JUSTIN CH
 7.3
12
D. NEALIS
10
E. FORSBE
 7.7
15
A. MEHMET
 7.9
48
R. DONKOR
11
J. RUVALC
16
J. HALL
7
C. COWELL
 7.2
99
B. SCHWAK
2
D. LOVITZ
 7.0
3
M. WOLEDZ
 6.9
5
J. MAHER
 7.0
27
R. BAKER-
20
E. TAGSET
16
M. CORCOR
11
E. SAAD
10
H. MUKHTA
14
S. MOHAMM
9
S. SURRID
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK RED BULLS
13
E. Choupo-Mo...
F
37
M. Sofo
F
17
C. Harper
F
39
Nehuen Bened...
M
26
T. Parker
D
5
O. Valencia
D
3
Jahkeele Mar...
D
77
J. McCarthy
G
91
M. Jimenez
F
SUBSTITUTES · NASHVILLE SC
8
P. Yazbek
M
6
B. Acosta
M
19
A. Muyl
M
37
A. Qasem
F
4
J. Palacios
D
31
A. Najar
D
22
J. Bauer
D
1
J. Willis
G
7
C. Espinoza
F
COACH: Brian Callaghan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Lorenzo Hernandez, USA
—
NEW MANAGER
—
unannounced
NAS MANAGER
Brian Callaghan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NEW WINS
4
DRAWS
1
NAS WINS
50%
40%
10%
9 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 May 2025
Nashville SC
2 – 1
New York Red Bulls
L
02 Mar 2025
New York Red Bulls
2 – 0
Nashville SC
W
15 Jun 2024
New York Red Bulls
0 – 0
Nashville SC
D
24 Feb 2024
Nashville SC
0 – 0
New York Red Bulls
D
22 Oct 2023
Nashville SC
0 – 1
New York Red Bulls
W
NEW YORK RED BULLS LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L L
NASHVILLE SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
NEW YORK RED BULLS #8
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
NASHVILLE SC #1
Won · already at 49 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Woledzi
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Bazán
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Justin Che
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · R. Baker-Whiting
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · D. Nealis
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · E. Saad
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · M. Corcoran
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · S. Mohammed
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · D. Lovitz
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · E. Forsberg
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · C. Cowell
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Corcoran
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 12'
    Card · Yellow Card · D. Lovitz
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK RED BUL WIN
2.68
37.3% implied
↑ best 2.80
DRAW
3.68
27.2% implied
↑ best 3.82
NASHVILLE SC WIN
2.37
42.2% implied
↑ best 2.46

Market favors Nashville SC. AI projects DRAW 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.70 3.80 2.28 +31.7%
888Sport 2.63 3.50 2.30 +29.4%
Bet365 2.70 3.80 2.45 +31.7%
Betano 2.60 3.60 2.35 +30.2%
Betfair 2.70 3.75 2.40 +31.3%
BetVictor 2.63 3.70 2.40 +31.0%
Dafabet 2.75 3.80 2.43 +31.7%
Marathonbet 2.64 3.68 2.38 +30.8%
Pinnacle 2.74 3.82 2.46 +31.8%
SBO 2.63 3.54 2.33 +29.8%
Superbet 2.72 3.70 2.42 +31.0%
Unibet 2.80 3.65 2.28 +30.6%
William Hill 2.62 3.50 2.30 +29.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.13
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.43
3.5 O 2.32 U 1.58
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.45 10 bks
NO
2.58 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.60
Away -0.5 1.47
Away -0.75 1.34
Away -1 1.21
Away -1.25 1.17
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.