AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · INTER MIAMI 48%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SAT, 09 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
TORONTO FC
10TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W D L
FT
2 4
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
INTER MIAMI
L D L D W
· 2ND · 39 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 82' Emilio Aristizábal ⚽ 90' Emilio Aristizábal
GOALS
⚽ 44' Rodrigo De Paul ⚽ 56' Luis Suárez ⚽ 73' Sergio Reguilón ⚽ 75' Lionel Messi 
L. Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
L. Messi
Inter Miami · Captain · 97 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 2 assists · 35% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Toronto FC vs Inter Miami
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

85%
BALL POSSESSION %
102%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
11
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
303%
PASS ACCURACY %
507%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 44'
    Goal · 0-1
    Rodrigo De Paul
    INT
  2. 51'
    Card · Foul
    Raheem Edwards
    TOR
  3. 56'
    Goal · 0-2
    Luis Suárez · assist Lionel Messi 
    INT
  4. 61'
    Card · Argument
    Luis Suárez
    INT
  5. 65'
    Subst
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Deandre Kerr 
    TOR
  6. 65'
    Subst
    Derrick Etienne Jr. · assist Markus Cimermancic
    TOR
  7. 68'
    Subst
    Sergio Reguilón · assist Noah Allen
    INT
  8. 70'
    Subst
    Micah Chisholm · assist Raheem Edwards
    TOR
  9. 73'
    Goal · 0-3
    Sergio Reguilón · assist Lionel Messi 
    INT
  10. 75'
    Goal · 0-4
    Lionel Messi  · assist Rodrigo De Paul
    INT
  11. 78'
    Subst
    David Ayala · assist Yannick Bright
    INT
  12. 78'
    Subst
    Dániel Pintér · assist Luis Suárez
    INT
  13. 78'
    Subst
    P. Plambeck · assist Telasco Segovia
    INT
  14. 82'
    Goal · 1-4
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Dániel Sallói
    TOR
  15. 89'
    Card · Foul
    Dániel Pintér
    INT
  16. 90'
    Goal · 2-4
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Kobe Franklin
    TOR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
TORONTO FC AVG 7.4
INTER MIAMI AVG 8.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
5.0
ON TARGET
7.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
85.0%
POSSESSION %
102.0%
371.0
PASSES
579.0
303.0%
PASS ACCURACY
507.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TORONTO FC 5 shots
Emilio Aristizábal
2/2
D. Salloi
1/2
Alonso Coello
1/1
INTER MIAMI 6 shots
L. Messi
3/5
R. De Paul
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
79
Fletcher Ban...
F
64
Jahmarie Nol...
F
11
D. Etienne
F
73
Micah Chisho...
D
15
N. Gomis
D
98
Stefan Kapor
D
23
William Yarb...
G
77
Adisa De Ros...
G
17
Emilio Arist...
F
COACH: Robin Fraser
SUBSTITUTES · INTER MIAMI
56
Daniel Pinte...
F
22
D. Ayala
M
59
Preston Plam...
M
41
D. Ruíz
M
88
A. Shaw
M
37
M. Falcón
D
3
Reguilón
D
34
R. Ríos Novo
G
24
Mateo Silvet...
F
COACH: Guillermo Hoyos Angel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

INT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
V. Rivas
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
INT MANAGER
Guillermo Hoyos Angel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
TOR WINS
2
DRAWS
7
INT WINS
10%
20%
70%
11 21
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W D L
INTER MIAMI LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–4 · result locked
TORONTO FC #10
Lost · already at 24 pts
INTER MIAMI #2
Won · already at 39 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Goal · 2-4 · Emilio Aristizábal
    6th Goal
  • 89'
    Card · Foul · Dániel Pintér
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Goal · 1-4 · Emilio Aristizábal
    5th Goal
  • 78'
    Subst · P. Plambeck
    7th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · Dániel Pintér
    6th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · David Ayala
    5th Substitution
  • 75'
    Goal · 0-4 · Lionel Messi 
    4th Goal
  • 73'
    Goal · 0-3 · Sergio Reguilón
    3rd Goal
  • 70'
    Subst · Micah Chisholm
    4th Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst · Sergio Reguilón
    3rd Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Derrick Etienne Jr.
    2nd Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Emilio Aristizábal
    1st Substitution
  • 61'
    Card · Argument · Luis Suárez
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 56'
    Goal · 0-2 · Luis Suárez
    2nd Goal
  • 51'
    Card · Foul · Raheem Edwards
    1st Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 44'
    Goal · 0-1 · Rodrigo De Paul
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
TORONTO FC WIN
3.70
27% implied
↑ best 3.85
DRAW
4.26
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.62
INTER MIAMI WIN
1.79
55.9% implied
↑ best 1.85

Market favors Inter Miami. AI projects INTER MIAMI 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INTER MIAMI 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.65 4.10 1.81 +0.6%
888Sport 3.50 4.00 1.80 -0.6%
Bet365 3.75 4.50 1.75 +1.8%
Betano 3.65 4.45 1.82 +1.5%
Betfair 3.75 4.33 1.75 +1.3%
BetVictor 3.80 4.20 1.75 +1.7%
Dafabet 3.80 4.40 1.83 +1.7%
Marathonbet 3.70 4.33 1.75 +1.0%
Pinnacle 3.85 4.62 1.79 +2.4%
SBO 3.64 4.00 1.78 +0.5%
Unibet 3.65 3.95 1.85 +0.6%
William Hill 3.60 4.20 1.75 +0.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.19
2.5 O 1.40 U 2.84
3.5 O 2.03 U 1.76
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.41 9 bks
NO
2.70 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.33
Away -0.5 1.32
Away -0.75 1.21
Away -1 1.08
Away -1.25 1.07
Away -1.5 1.07
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.