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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · NEW YORK RED BULLS 44%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 11 · SAT, 02 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
NEW YORK RED BULLS
5TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W W L
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FC DALLAS
W W L W L
· 4TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 54' Petar Musa ⚽ 88' Sam Sarver
Herman Johansson
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Herman Johansson
FC Dallas · 94 mins
· 18% pass acc
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.61
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.81
59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
11
0
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
8
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 31'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Michael Collodi
    FC
  2. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Petar Musa · assist Ran Binyamin
    FC
  3. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Juan Mina · assist Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
    NEW
  4. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Emil Forsberg · assist Nehuen Benedetti
    NEW
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Cade Cowell · assist Rafael Mosquera
    NEW
  6. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ran Binyamin · assist Sebastien Ibeagha
    FC
  7. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Petar Musa · assist Christian Cappis
    FC
  8. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ronald Donkor · assist Mohammed Sofo
    NEW
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Santiago Moreno · assist Sam Sarver
    FC
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Joaquín Valiente · assist Logan Farrington
    FC
  11. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Julian Hall · assist Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
    NEW
  12. 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sam Sarver · assist Logan Farrington
    FC
  13. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sam Sarver
    FC
  14. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kaick · assist Caleb Swann
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK RED BULLS AVG 6.9
FC DALLAS AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
1.8
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
0.0
ON TARGET
6.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
5.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
551.0
PASSES
398.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
7.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
4.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK RED BULLS 0 shots

No shots recorded.

FC DALLAS 5 shots
Petar Musa
2/3
Sam Sarver
1/1
Shaq Moore
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.61 – 1.81
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 54' 88' H 0.61 A 1.81 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 36%
64% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-3
4-3-3
3-4-3
6.9
34
ETHAN HOR
56
MATTHEW D
 7.0
26
TIM PARKE
12
DYLAN NEA
20
JUAN MINA
10
EMIL FORS
 6.9
15
ADRI MEHM
 7.0
48
RONALD DO
11
JORGE RUV
16
JULIAN HA
 6.9
7
CADE COWE
30
MICHAEL C
32
NOLAN NOR
 7.2
3
OSAZE URH
 7.2
18
SHAQ MOOR
6
RAN BINYA
55
KAICK
17
RAMIRO
 7.3
14
HERMAN JO
10
SANTIAGO
 7.3
9
PETAR MUS
21
JOAQUíN V
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK RED BULLS
13
Eric Maxim C...
F
37
Mohammed Sof...
F
4
Gustav Bergg...
M
39
Nehuen Bened...
M
5
Omar Valenci...
D
6
Robert Volod...
D
3
Jahkeele Mar...
D
77
John McCarth...
G
79
Rafael Mosqu...
F
SUBSTITUTES · FC DALLAS
23
Logan Farrin...
F
12
Christian Ca...
M
8
Patrickson D...
M
28
Sam Sarver
F
27
Caleb Swann
M
5
Lalas Abubak...
D
25
Sebastien Ib...
D
40
Jonathan Sir...
G
16
Nicholas Sim...
F
COACH: Eric Quill
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Marrufo
—
NEW MANAGER
—
unannounced
FC MANAGER
Eric Quill
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NEW WINS
4
DRAWS
1
FC WINS
50%
40%
10%
17 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
10 Mar 2024
New York Red Bulls
2 – 1
FC Dallas
W
16 Apr 2022
New York Red Bulls
0 – 0
FC Dallas
D
11 May 2019
FC Dallas
1 – 3
New York Red Bulls
W
23 Jun 2018
New York Red Bulls
3 – 0
FC Dallas
W
03 Sep 2017
FC Dallas
2 – 2
New York Red Bulls
D
NEW YORK RED BULLS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W L
FC DALLAS LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
NEW YORK RED BULLS #5
Lost · already at 22 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
FC DALLAS #4
Won · already at 25 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kaick
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sam Sarver
  • 88'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sam Sarver
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Julian Hall
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Joaquín Valiente
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Santiago Moreno
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ronald Donkor
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Petar Musa
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ran Binyamin
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Cade Cowell
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Emil Forsberg
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Juan Mina
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Petar Musa
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 31'
    Card · Yellow Card · Michael Collodi
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK RED BUL WIN
2.36
42.4% implied
↑ best 2.45
DRAW
3.69
27.1% implied
↑ best 3.80
FC DALLAS WIN
2.72
36.8% implied
↑ best 2.80

Market favors New York Red Bulls. AI projects NEW YORK RED BULLS 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEW YORK RED BULLS 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.40 3.80 2.56 +2.3%
Bet365 2.40 3.75 2.75 +2.3%
Betano 2.42 3.65 2.72 +2.7%
Betfair 2.30 3.70 2.80 +1.0%
BetVictor 2.30 3.80 2.70 +1.7%
Dafabet 2.39 3.80 2.80 +2.2%
Marathonbet 2.33 3.54 2.78 +1.1%
Pinnacle 2.45 3.73 2.80 +3.2%
SBO 2.36 3.60 2.56 +1.6%
Unibet 2.30 3.80 2.80 +1.7%
William Hill 2.30 3.40 2.70 +0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.14 U 5.37
2.5 O 1.49 U 2.57
3.5 O 2.22 U 1.64
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.41 8 bks
NO
2.71 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.75
Away -0.5 1.57
Away -0.75 1.42
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.27
Away -1.5 1.21
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.