AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · BENFICA 56%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
FAMALICAO
5TH · 52 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D D W
FT
2 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
BENFICA
W W W D W
· 2ND · 76 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 67' Mathias De Amorim ⚽ 78' Umar Abubakar
GOALS
⚽ 12' Andreas Schjelderup (P) ⚽ 19' Richard Ríos
Mathias De Amorim
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mathias De Amorim
Famalicao · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 22% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 6 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Primeira Liga: Famalicao vs Benfica
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.53
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.55
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
8
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
6
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 9'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Franjo Ivanović
    BEN
  2. 12'
    Goal · Penalty
    Andreas Schjelderup
    BEN
  3. 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Richard Ríos · assist Andreas Schjelderup
    BEN
  4. 55'
    Card · Red Card
    Nicolás Otamendi
    BEN
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gianluca Prestianni · assist E. Barrenechea
    BEN
  6. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mathias De Amorim · assist Léo Realpe
    FAM
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Andreas Schjelderup · assist Alexander Bah
    BEN
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Simon Elisor · assist Umar Abubakar
    FAM
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gil Dias · assist Romeo Beney
    FAM
  10. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo Sá
    FAM
  11. 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Umar Abubakar · assist Mathias De Amorim
    FAM
  12. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rodrigo Pinheiro
    FAM
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Franjo Ivanović · assist Rafa Silva
    BEN
  14. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mathias De Amorim · assist Pedro Santos
    FAM
  15. 90'+9
    Card · Yellow Card
    Anatoliy Trubin
    BEN
  16. 90'+12
    Card · Yellow Card
    Richard Ríos
    BEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FAMALICAO AVG 7.6
BENFICA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
1.6
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
374.0
PASSES
314.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FAMALICAO 5 shots
Mathias De Amorim
1/2
Sorriso
0/2
Umar Abubakar
1/1
BENFICA 6 shots
Richard Ríos
1/3
Franjo Ivanović
1/2
Andreas Schjelderup
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.531.55
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 67' 78' 12' 19' H 1.53 A 1.55 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
SUBSTITUTES · FAMALICAO
9
Umar Abubaka...
F
18
Romeo Beney
F
8
Marcos Peña
M
80
Pedro Santos
F
36
Matheus Matt...
D
28
Pedro Bondo
D
2
Gustavo Garc...
D
1
Ivan Zlobin
G
77
Antoine Jouj...
F
COACH: Hugo Oliveira
SUBSTITUTES · BENFICA
14
Vangelis Pav...
F
10
H. Sudakov
M
27
Rafa Silva
M
16
Manuel Silva
M
11
Dodi Lukebak...
F
24
Samuel Soare...
G
6
Alexander Ba...
D
5
E. Barrenech...
M
7
Bruma
F
COACH: Jose Mourinho
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Gustavo Correia, Portugal
FAM MANAGER
Hugo Oliveira
head coach
BEN MANAGER
Jose Mourinho
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
FAM WINS
1
DRAWS
7
BEN WINS
20%
10%
70%
5 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
FAMALICAO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D D W
BENFICA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
FAMALICAO #5
Lost · already at 52 pts
BENFICA #2
Lost · already at 76 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 32 27 4 1 +49 85
W W W W D
2 Benfica 32 22 10 0 +47 76
D W W W D
3 Sporting CP 32 23 7 2 +59 76
W D D L W
4 SC Braga 32 16 9 7 +28 57
D L W D W
5 Famalicao 32 14 10 8 +12 52
D W D D D
6 GIL Vicente 32 13 11 8 +14 50
D W L D W
7 Guimaraes 32 12 6 14 -9 42
L W W D W
8 Moreirense 32 12 6 14 -10 42
W L W D L
9 Estoril 32 10 8 14 -1 38
D L L L L
10 Alverca 32 10 8 14 -16 38
L W L W W
11 Arouca 32 10 6 16 -21 36
D L W L W
12 Rio Ave 32 8 11 13 -19 35
D L D W L
13 Santa Clara 32 8 9 15 -10 33
D W D L L
14 Nacional 32 8 7 17 -8 31
L W W L W
15 Estrela 32 6 10 16 -18 28
L L L L L
16 Casa Pia 32 5 11 16 -27 26
L L L D L
17 Tondela 32 5 10 17 -28 25
W D L L D
18 AVS 32 2 11 19 -42 17
W D D D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+12
    Card · Yellow Card · Richard Ríos
  • 90'+9
    Card · Yellow Card · Anatoliy Trubin
    Delay of game
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mathias De Amorim
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Franjo Ivanović
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rodrigo Pinheiro
  • 78'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Umar Abubakar
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo Sá
    Foul
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gil Dias
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Simon Elisor
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Andreas Schjelderup
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mathias De Amorim
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gianluca Prestianni
  • 55'
    Card · Red Card · Nicolás Otamendi
    Serious foul
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Richard Ríos
  • 12'
    Goal · Penalty · Andreas Schjelderup
  • 9'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Franjo Ivanović
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
FAMALICAO WIN
5.47
18.3% implied
↑ best 5.90
DRAW
4.09
24.4% implied
↑ best 4.32
BENFICA WIN
1.58
63.3% implied
↑ best 1.62

Market favors Benfica. AI projects BENFICA 56%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BENFICA 56% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 5.30 4.10 1.57 +3.1%
1xBet 5.72 4.32 1.60 +4.5%
Bet365 5.75 4.00 1.57 +4.6%
Betano 5.90 4.30 1.60 +5.1%
Betfair 5.50 4.00 1.57 +3.8%
BetVictor 5.25 4.00 1.53 +3.0%
Dafabet 5.40 4.20 1.62 +3.5%
Marathonbet 5.50 4.15 1.54 +3.8%
Pinnacle 5.77 4.28 1.58 +4.7%
SBO 5.22 3.93 1.56 +2.8%
Unibet 5.30 3.95 1.60 +3.1%
William Hill 5.00 3.90 1.60 +2.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 3.98
2.5 O 1.74 U 2.07
3.5 O 2.79 U 1.40
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 9 bks
NO
1.96 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.16
Away -0.5 1.16
Away -0.75 1.06
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.