GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · COVENTRY 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 45 · SUN, 26 APR · 11:00 LOCAL
COVENTRY
1ST · 95 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D D D
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
WREXHAM
D W W L L
· 7TH · 71 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 19' Brandon Thomas-Asante ⚽ 80' Victor Torp ⚽ 90+4' Ephron Mason-Clark
GOALS
⚽ 25' Oliver Rathbone
Ephron Mason-Clark
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ephron Mason-Clark
Coventry · 96 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 22% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Championship: Coventry vs Wrexham
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Championship: Coventry vs Wrexham
Championship: Coventry vs Wrexham
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.69
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.02
61%
BALL POSSESSION %
39%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
13
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Brandon Thomas-Asante · assist Ephron Mason-Clark
    COV
  2. 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Oliver Rathbone · assist Issa Kaboré
    WRE
  3. 29'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Frank Onyeka
    COV
  4. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matty James
    WRE
  5. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Josh Eccles
    COV
  6. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Oliver Rathbone
    WRE
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Oliver Rathbone · assist Lewis O'Brien
    WRE
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Haji Wright · assist Ellis Simms
    COV
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Josh Eccles · assist Victor Torp
    COV
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Josh Windass · assist Nathan Broadhead
    WRE
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sam Smith · assist Kieffer Moore
    WRE
  12. 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Victor Torp
    COV
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Brandon Thomas-Asante · assist Romain Esse
    COV
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matt Grimes · assist Jamie Allen
    COV
  15. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ephron Mason-Clark · assist Frank Onyeka
    COV
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COVENTRY AVG 8.0
WREXHAM AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
1.0
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
6.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
5.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
39.0%
458.0
PASSES
290.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
18.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COVENTRY 5 shots
Victor Torp
1/2
Ephron Mason-Clark
1/1
Brandon Thomas-Asante
1/1
Matt Grimes
0/1
WREXHAM 2 shots
Oliver Rathbone
1/1
George Thomason
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.69 – 1.02
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 19' 80' 90' 25' H 1.69 A 1.02 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-5-1-1
4-2-3-1
3-5-1-1
19
CARL RUSH
3
J. DASILV
15
LIAM KITC
4
BOBBY THO
27
MILAN VAN
 7.3
6
MATT GRIM
 7.9
16
FRANK ONY
 8.7
10
EPHRON MA
28
JOSH ECCL
 8.3
23
BRANDON T
11
HAJI WRIG
 7.0
21
DANNY WAR
2
CALLUM DO
24
DAN SCARR
5
DOMINIC H
 7.2
14
GEORGE TH
 7.3
20
OLIVER RA
37
MATTY JAM
 6.9
15
GEORGE DO
12
ISSA KABO
10
JOSH WIND
28
SAM SMITH
SUBSTITUTES · COVENTRY
22
Joel Latibea...
D
26
Luke Woolfen...
D
21
Jake Bidwell
D
13
Ben Wilson
G
8
Jamie Allen
M
14
Romain Esse
M
9
Ellis Simms
F
29
Victor Torp
M
20
Kaine Kesler...
D
COACH: Frank Lampard
SUBSTITUTES · WREXHAM
47
Ryan Longman
M
4
Max Cleworth
D
13
Liberato Cac...
D
3
L. Brunt
D
1
Arthur Okonk...
G
19
Kieffer Moor...
F
33
Nathan Broad...
F
27
Lewis O'Brie...
M
7
Davis Keillo...
M
COACH: Phil Parkinson
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

WRE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Sam Allison, England
—
COV MANAGER
Frank Lampard
head coach
WRE MANAGER
Phil Parkinson
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
COV WINS
0
DRAWS
2
WRE WINS
33.3%
66.7%
8 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
5.33
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 3
31 Oct 2025
Wrexham
3 – 2
Coventry
L
COVENTRY LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D D
WREXHAM LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
COVENTRY #1
Won · already at 95 pts
Promotion
WREXHAM #7
Lost · already at 71 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L D D W W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W D W L D
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ephron Mason-Clark
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matt Grimes
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Brandon Thomas-Asante
  • 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Victor Torp
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sam Smith
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Josh Windass
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Josh Eccles
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Haji Wright
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Oliver Rathbone
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Oliver Rathbone
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Josh Eccles
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matty James
  • 29'
    Card · Yellow Card · Frank Onyeka
  • 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Oliver Rathbone
  • 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Brandon Thomas-Asante
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
COVENTRY WIN
2.05
48.8% implied
↑ best 2.13
DRAW
3.66
27.3% implied
↑ best 3.90
WREXHAM WIN
3.31
30.2% implied
↑ best 3.45

Market favors Coventry. AI projects COVENTRY 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS COVENTRY 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.00 3.60 3.45 +4.2%
1xBet 2.02 3.62 3.38 +4.4%
888Sport 2.10 3.75 2.90 +5.3%
Bet365 2.05 3.90 3.25 +6.4%
Betano 2.05 3.70 3.45 +5.0%
Betfair 2.05 3.70 3.40 +5.0%
BetVictor 2.05 3.60 3.40 +4.2%
Dafabet 2.13 3.80 3.25 +5.7%
Marathonbet 2.00 3.62 3.38 +4.4%
Pinnacle 2.06 3.78 3.44 +5.5%
SBO 2.05 3.41 3.25 +2.7%
Unibet 2.12 3.55 3.20 +3.8%
William Hill 2.00 3.60 3.30 +4.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.05
2.5 O 1.70 U 2.11
3.5 O 2.71 U 1.43
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 10 bks
NO
2.23 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.02
Away -0.5 1.77
Away -0.75 1.58
Away -1 1.42
Away -1.25 1.32
Away -1.5 1.26
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.