GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · GRONINGEN 48% · Value: Over 2.5 61%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 17 MAY · 12:30 LOCAL
HERACLES
18TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
GRONINGEN
W L L D W
· 9TH · 48 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 17' Tristan van Gilst
GOALS
⚽ 3' David van der Werff ⚽ 56' Tygo Land
Walid Ould-Chikh
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Walid Ould-Chikh
Heracles · 76 mins
· 24% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Eredivisie: Heracles vs Groningen
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

82%
BALL POSSESSION %
95%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
16
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
301%
PASS ACCURACY %
268%
9
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 3'
    Goal · 0-1
    David van der Werff
    GRO
  2. 17'
    Goal · 1-1
    Tristan van Gilst · assist Mimeirhel Benita
    HER
  3. 34'
    Var
    HER
  4. 56'
    Goal · 1-2
    Tygo Land · assist Marco Rente
    GRO
  5. 61'
    Subst
    Travis Hernes · assist David van der Werff
    GRO
  6. 74'
    Subst
    Rui Mendes · assist Tygo Land
    GRO
  7. 75'
    Subst
    Erik Ahlstrand · assist Mario Engels
    HER
  8. 76'
    Subst
    Rhys Bozinovski · assist Thomas Bruns
    HER
  9. 76'
    Subst
    Tarik Hamamioglu · assist Walid Ould-Chikh
    HER
  10. 85'
    Subst
    Jeppe Wijnreder · assist Mimeirhel Benita
    HER
  11. 87'
    Card · Foul
    Jan Zamburek
    HER
  12. 88'
    Subst
    Sil Blokhuis · assist Jan Zamburek
    HER
  13. 89'
    Subst
    Jismerai Dillema · assist Thom van Bergen
    GRO
  14. 89'
    Subst
    Wouter Prins · assist Younes Taha
    GRO
  15. 90'
    Card · Time wasting
    Travis Hernes
    GRO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
HERACLES AVG 7.3
GRONINGEN AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
2.0
ON TARGET
5.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
82.0%
POSSESSION %
95.0%
391.0
PASSES
352.0
301.0%
PASS ACCURACY
268.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
5.0
13.0
OFFSIDES
11.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
5.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
HERACLES 4 shots
Tristan van Gilst
1/2
Sem Scheperman
1/2
GRONINGEN 6 shots
Thom van Bergen
1/3
Tygo Land
1/1
David van der Werff
1/1
Marvin Peersman
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
16
TIMO JANS
5
DJEVENCIO
4
DAMON MIR
 6.7
23
MIKE TE W
2
MIMEIRHEL
 6.9
32
SEM SCHEP
13
JAN ŽAMBů
 8.5
73
WALID OUL
 7.3
10
THOMAS BR
 7.2
17
TRISTAN V
8
MARIO ENG
1
ETIENNE V
 7.0
43
MARVIN PE
4
DIES JANS
 6.9
3
THIJMEN B
5
MARCO REN
 7.9
18
TYGO LAND
8
TIKA DE J
14
JORG SCHR
10
YOUNES TA
 7.3
17
DAVID VAN
 7.0
26
THOM VAN
SUBSTITUTES · HERACLES
20
Rhys Bozinov...
M
14
Erik Ahlstra...
M
25
Lequincio Ze...
F
41
Tarik Hamami...
F
27
Jop Tijink
D
6
Sava Arangel...
D
18
Alec Van Hoo...
D
3
Jannes Wieck...
D
38
Jeppe Wijnre...
D
22
Remko Pasvee...
G
30
Robin Mantel
G
39
Sil Blokhuis
M
COACH: Ernest Faber
SUBSTITUTES · GRONINGEN
44
Jismerai Dil...
M
7
Travis Herne...
M
9
Brynjólfur D...
F
34
Ryan Metu
F
48
Robin Kelder
D
22
Sven Bouland
D
15
Elvis Van de...
D
16
Tyrique Merc...
D
2
Wouter Prins
D
13
Lovro Štublj...
G
21
Hidde Jurjus
G
27
Rui Mendes
F
COACH: Dick Lukkien
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GRO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Martens
—
HER MANAGER
Ernest Faber
head coach
GRO MANAGER
Dick Lukkien
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
HER WINS
1
DRAWS
4
GRO WINS
44.4%
11.1%
44.4%
9 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.56
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
29 Aug 2025
Groningen
4 – 0
Heracles
L
23 Apr 2025
Groningen
4 – 1
Heracles
L
28 Jan 2025
Heracles
1 – 1
Groningen
D
24 Apr 2022
Groningen
0 – 1
Heracles
W
18 Dec 2021
Heracles
4 – 2
Groningen
W
HERACLES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
GRONINGEN LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
HERACLES #18
Lost · already at 19 pts
Relegation - Eerste Divisie
GRONINGEN #9
Won · already at 48 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Card · Time wasting · Travis Hernes
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Subst · Wouter Prins
    9th Substitution
  • 89'
    Subst · Jismerai Dillema
    8th Substitution
  • 88'
    Subst · Sil Blokhuis
    7th Substitution
  • 87'
    Card · Foul · Jan Zamburek
    1st Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst · Jeppe Wijnreder
    6th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Tarik Hamamioglu
    5th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Rhys Bozinovski
    4th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Erik Ahlstrand
    3rd Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Rui Mendes
    2nd Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Travis Hernes
    1st Substitution
  • 56'
    Goal · 1-2 · Tygo Land
    3rd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 34'
    Var
    Var
  • 17'
    Goal · 1-1 · Tristan van Gilst
    2nd Goal
  • 3'
    Goal · 0-1 · David van der Werff
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
HERACLES WIN
5.00
20% implied
↑ best 5.25
DRAW
4.36
22.9% implied
↑ best 4.80
GRONINGEN WIN
1.58
63.3% implied
↑ best 1.65

Market favors Groningen. AI projects GRONINGEN 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS GRONINGEN 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 5.10 4.35 1.55 +8.4%
1xBet 4.94 4.46 1.63 +7.8%
888Sport 4.75 4.20 1.57 +6.9%
Bet365 5.25 4.20 1.57 +9.0%
Betano 5.10 4.45 1.65 +8.4%
Betfair 5.00 4.40 1.55 +8.0%
BetVictor 5.25 4.40 1.57 +9.0%
Dafabet 5.00 4.80 1.58 +8.0%
Marathonbet 4.80 4.33 1.58 +7.2%
Pinnacle 4.96 4.44 1.62 +7.8%
SBO 4.94 4.21 1.55 +7.8%
Unibet 5.10 4.20 1.57 +8.4%
William Hill 4.75 4.20 1.57 +6.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.14 U 5.25
2.5 O 1.49 U 2.49
3.5 O 2.25 U 1.62
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 10 bks
NO
2.34 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.18
Away -0.5 1.17
Away -0.75 1.09
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.