GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · MANCHESTER UNITED 44% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · SUN, 03 MAY · 14:30 LOCAL
MANCHESTER UNITED
3RD · 65 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W L D
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
LIVERPOOL
D W W L W
· 4TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 6' Matheus Cunha ⚽ 14' Benjamin Sesko ⚽ 77' Kobbie Mainoo
GOALS
⚽ 47' Dominik Szoboszlai ⚽ 56' Cody Gakpo
D. Szoboszlai
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
D. Szoboszlai
Liverpool · 95 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 57% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Premier League: Manchester United vs Liverpool
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Premier League: Manchester United vs Liverpool
Manchester United - Liverpool 3:2 | PREMIER LEAGU…
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

73%
BALL POSSESSION %
129%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
13
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
281%
PASS ACCURACY %
516%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 6'
    Goal · 1-0
    Matheus Cunha
    MAN
  2. 14'
    Goal · 2-0
    Benjamin Sesko
    MAN
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Amad Diallo · assist Benjamin Sesko
    MAN
  4. 47'
    Goal · 2-1
    Dominik Szoboszlai
    LIV
  5. 49'
    Card · Foul
    Luke Shaw
    MAN
  6. 56'
    Goal · 2-2
    Cody Gakpo · assist Dominik Szoboszlai
    LIV
  7. 59'
    Subst
    Milos Kerkez · assist Andrew Robertson
    LIV
  8. 75'
    Card · Foul
    Curtis Jones
    LIV
  9. 75'
    Subst
    Patrick Dorgu · assist Bryan Mbeumo
    MAN
  10. 75'
    Subst
    Rio Ngumoha · assist Jeremie Frimpong
    LIV
  11. 77'
    Goal · 3-2
    Kobbie Mainoo
    MAN
  12. 81'
    Card · Foul
    Bruno Fernandes
    MAN
  13. 85'
    Card · Foul
    Cody Gakpo
    LIV
  14. 87'
    Subst
    Federico Chiesa · assist Ibrahima Konaté
    LIV
  15. 87'
    Subst
    Joshua Zirkzee · assist Matheus Cunha
    MAN
  16. 90'+6
    Subst
    Leny Yoro · assist Bruno Fernandes
    MAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MANCHESTER UNITED AVG 7.5
LIVERPOOL AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
6.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
73.0%
POSSESSION %
129.0%
354.0
PASSES
586.0
281.0%
PASS ACCURACY
516.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
19.0
OFFSIDES
8.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MANCHESTER UNITED 7 shots
Bruno Fernandes
1/2
Bryan Mbeumo
0/2
Kobbie Mainoo
1/1
Matheus Cunha
1/1
Casemiro
1/1
LIVERPOOL 5 shots
C. Gakpo
2/3
D. Szoboszlai
1/1
Ryan Gravenberch
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-2-2
4-2-3-1
4-2-2-2
31
SENNE LAM
23
LUKE SHAW
26
AYDEN HEA
5
HARRY MAG
2
DIOGO DAL
 8.0
37
KOBBIE MA
 7.2
18
CASEMIRO
 7.5
10
MATHEUS C
 8.0
8
BRUNO FER
 6.9
19
BRYAN MBE
30
BENJAMIN
28
FREDDIE W
26
A. ROBERT
4
VIRGIL VA
5
IBRAHIMA
17
CURTIS JO
 6.9
10
ALEXIS MA
 6.7
38
RYAN GRAV
 6.9
18
C. GAKPO
30
JEREMIE F
7
FLORIAN W
 8.3
8
D. SZOBOS
SUBSTITUTES · MANCHESTER UNITED
7
Mason Mount
M
25
Manuel Ugart...
M
13
Patrick Dorg...
D
15
Leny Yoro
D
3
Noussair Maz...
D
12
Tyrell Malac...
D
1
Altay Bayınd...
G
16
Amad Diallo
F
11
Joshua Zirkz...
F
COACH: Michael Carrick
SUBSTITUTES · LIVERPOOL
73
Rio Ngumoha
F
14
Federico Chi...
F
68
K. Morrison
M
42
Trey Nyoni
M
75
Mor Talla Nd...
D
6
Miloš Kerkez
D
2
Joe Gomez
D
41
Á. Pécsi
G
79
Will Wright
F
COACH: Arne Slot
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LIV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
D. England
—
MAN MANAGER
Michael Carrick
head coach
LIV MANAGER
Arne Slot
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
MAN WINS
3
DRAWS
3
LIV WINS
40%
30%
30%
16 – 22
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
19 Oct 2025
Liverpool
1 – 2
Manchester United
W
05 Jan 2025
Liverpool
2 – 2
Manchester United
D
01 Sep 2024
Manchester United
0 – 3
Liverpool
L
07 Apr 2024
Manchester United
2 – 2
Liverpool
D
17 Dec 2023
Liverpool
0 – 0
Manchester United
D
MANCHESTER UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L D
LIVERPOOL LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
MANCHESTER UNITED #3
Won · already at 65 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LIVERPOOL #4
Lost · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 36 24 7 5 +42 79
W W W L L
2 Manchester City 36 23 8 5 +43 77
W W D W W
3 Manchester United 36 18 11 7 +15 65
D W W W L
4 Liverpool 36 17 8 11 +12 59
D L W W W
5 Aston Villa 36 17 8 11 +4 59
D L L W D
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 +4 55
W W D W W
7 Brighton 36 14 11 11 +10 53
W L W D W
8 Brentford 36 14 9 13 +3 51
L W L D D
9 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 +6 49
D L L L L
10 Everton 36 13 10 13 0 49
D D L L D
11 Fulham 36 14 6 16 -6 48
L L W D L
12 Sunderland 36 12 12 12 -9 48
D D L L W
13 Newcastle 36 13 7 16 -2 46
D W L L L
14 Leeds 36 10 14 12 -5 44
D W D W W
15 Crystal Palace 36 11 11 14 -9 44
L D L L D
16 Nottingham Forest 36 11 10 15 -2 43
D W W W D
17 Tottenham 36 9 11 16 -9 38
D W W D L
18 West Ham 36 9 9 18 -20 36
L L W D W
19 Burnley 36 4 9 23 -36 21
D L L L L
20 Wolves 36 3 9 24 -41 18
L D L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Leny Yoro
    7th Substitution
  • 87'
    Subst · Joshua Zirkzee
    6th Substitution
  • 87'
    Subst · Federico Chiesa
    5th Substitution
  • 85'
    Card · Foul · Cody Gakpo
    4th Yellowcard
  • 81'
    Card · Foul · Bruno Fernandes
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 77'
    Goal · 3-2 · Kobbie Mainoo
    5th Goal
  • 75'
    Subst · Rio Ngumoha
    4th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Patrick Dorgu
    3rd Substitution
  • 75'
    Card · Foul · Curtis Jones
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 59'
    Subst · Milos Kerkez
    2nd Substitution
  • 56'
    Goal · 2-2 · Cody Gakpo
    4th Goal
  • 49'
    Card · Foul · Luke Shaw
    1st Yellowcard
  • 47'
    Goal · 2-1 · Dominik Szoboszlai
    3rd Goal
  • 46'
    Subst · Amad Diallo
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 14'
    Goal · 2-0 · Benjamin Sesko
    2nd Goal
  • 6'
    Goal · 1-0 · Matheus Cunha
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MANCHESTER UNITE WIN
2.29
43.7% implied
↑ best 2.39
DRAW
3.75
26.7% implied
↑ best 3.90
LIVERPOOL WIN
2.86
35% implied
↑ best 2.98

Market favors Manchester United. AI projects MANCHESTER UNITED 44% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MANCHESTER UNITED 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.22 3.75 2.84 -1.0%
1xBet 2.39 3.86 2.95 +2.2%
888Sport 2.25 3.60 2.80 -0.4%
Bet365 2.30 3.80 2.80 +0.5%
Betano 2.27 3.75 2.92 -0.1%
Betfair 2.30 3.80 2.88 +0.5%
BetVictor 2.25 3.90 2.80 -0.4%
Dafabet 2.30 3.80 2.90 +0.5%
Marathonbet 2.32 3.90 2.98 +0.9%
Pinnacle 2.32 3.84 2.97 +0.9%
SBO 2.30 3.41 2.70 +0.5%
Unibet 2.25 3.75 2.90 -0.4%
William Hill 2.25 3.60 2.80 -0.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.49
2.5 O 1.48 U 2.58
3.5 O 2.20 U 1.67
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.43 10 bks
NO
2.71 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.85
Away -0.5 1.65
Away -0.75 1.48
Away -1 1.31
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.