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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · MANCHESTER CITY 68% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · SAT, 09 MAY · 16:30 LOCAL
MANCHESTER CITY
2ND · 78 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W D W
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
BRENTFORD
D D W L D
· 9TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 60' Jérémy Doku ⚽ 75' Erling Haaland ⚽ 90+2' Omar Marmoush
GOALS
Jérémy Doku
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jérémy Doku
Manchester City · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 44% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Premier League: Manchester City vs Brentford
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HIGHLIGHTS! City keep up pressure in title race a…
Premier League: Manchester City vs Brentford
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

110%
BALL POSSESSION %
63%
25
TOTAL SHOTS
4
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
397%
PASS ACCURACY %
244%
10
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 36'
    Card · Argument
    Bernardo Silva  
    MAN
  2. 60'
    Subst
    Phil Foden · assist Tijjani Reijnders
    MAN
  3. 60'
    Subst
    Omar Marmoush · assist Rayan Cherki
    MAN
  4. 60'
    Goal · 1-0
    Jérémy Doku
    MAN
  5. 61'
    Subst
    Vitaly Janelt · assist Aaron Hickey
    BRE
  6. 68'
    Subst
    Dango Ouattara · assist Mikkel Damsgaard
    BRE
  7. 74'
    Card · Foul
    Nico O'Reilly
    MAN
  8. 75'
    Goal · 2-0
    Erling Haaland
    MAN
  9. 79'
    Subst
    Jordan Henderson · assist Yegor Yarmolyuk
    BRE
  10. 80'
    Card · Foul
    Kristoffer Ajer
    BRE
  11. 88'
    Card · Argument
    Jordan Henderson
    BRE
  12. 88'
    Card · Argument
    Matheus Nunes
    MAN
  13. 90'
    Subst
    Savinho · assist Jérémy Doku
    MAN
  14. 90'+2
    Goal · 3-0
    Omar Marmoush · assist Erling Haaland
    MAN
  15. 90'+5
    Card · Time wasting
    Omar Marmoush
    MAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MANCHESTER CITY AVG 8.0
BRENTFORD AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
25.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
10.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
8.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
110.0%
POSSESSION %
63.0%
463.0
PASSES
320.0
397.0%
PASS ACCURACY
244.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
2.0
14.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
14.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MANCHESTER CITY 5 shots
Jérémy Doku
2/2
Bernardo Silva
0/2
Antoine Semenyo
0/1
BRENTFORD 1 shots
Aaron Hickey
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 67%
33% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
25
GIANLUIGI
33
NICO O'RE
6
NATHAN AK
 7.5
15
MARC GUéH
 7.3
27
MATHEUS N
 7.2
20
BERNARDO
4
TIJJANI R
 10.0
11
JéRéMY DO
10
RAYAN CHE
 8.0
42
ANTOINE S
9
ERLING HA
 8.9
1
CAOIMHIN
23
KEANE LEW
22
NATHAN CO
 6.7
20
KRISTOFFE
33
MICHAEL K
24
MIKKEL DA
 7.0
2
AARON HIC
8
MATHIAS J
 6.9
18
YEHOR YAR
9
IGOR THIA
7
KEVIN SCH
SUBSTITUTES · MANCHESTER CITY
47
Phil Foden
M
26
Savinho
F
14
Nico Gonzále...
M
8
Mateo Kovači...
M
21
R. Aït-Nouri
D
5
John Stones
D
3
Rúben Dias
D
1
James Traffo...
G
7
Omar Marmous...
F
COACH: Pep Guardiola
SUBSTITUTES · BRENTFORD
27
Vitaly Janel...
M
19
Dango Ouatta...
F
11
Reiss Nelson
F
10
Josh Dasilva
M
6
Jordan Hende...
M
5
Ethan Pinnoc...
D
4
Sepp van den...
D
12
Hákon Rafn V...
G
47
Kaye Furo
F
COACH: Keith Andrews
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BRE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Salisbury
—
MAN MANAGER
Pep Guardiola
head coach
BRE MANAGER
Keith Andrews
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
MAN WINS
1
DRAWS
2
BRE WINS
70%
10%
20%
15 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
05 Oct 2025
Brentford
0 – 1
Manchester City
W
14 Jan 2025
Brentford
2 – 2
Manchester City
D
14 Sep 2024
Manchester City
2 – 1
Brentford
W
20 Feb 2024
Manchester City
1 – 0
Brentford
W
05 Feb 2024
Brentford
1 – 3
Manchester City
W
MANCHESTER CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D W
BRENTFORD LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
MANCHESTER CITY #2
Won · already at 78 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
BRENTFORD #9
Lost · already at 53 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Time wasting · Omar Marmoush
    6th Yellowcard
  • 90'+2
    Goal · 3-0 · Omar Marmoush
    3rd Goal
  • 90'
    Subst · Savinho
    6th Substitution
  • 88'
    Card · Argument · Matheus Nunes
    5th Yellowcard
  • 88'
    Card · Argument · Jordan Henderson
    4th Yellowcard
  • 80'
    Card · Foul · Kristoffer Ajer
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 79'
    Subst · Jordan Henderson
    5th Substitution
  • 75'
    Goal · 2-0 · Erling Haaland
    2nd Goal
  • 74'
    Card · Foul · Nico O'Reilly
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 68'
    Subst · Dango Ouattara
    4th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Vitaly Janelt
    3rd Substitution
  • 60'
    Goal · 1-0 · Jérémy Doku
    1st Goal
  • 60'
    Subst · Omar Marmoush
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Phil Foden
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 36'
    Card · Argument · Bernardo Silva  
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MANCHESTER CITY WIN
1.38
72.5% implied
↑ best 1.42
DRAW
5.42
18.5% implied
↑ best 5.75
BRENTFORD WIN
7.23
13.8% implied
↑ best 8.00

Market favors Manchester City. AI projects MANCHESTER CITY 68% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MANCHESTER CITY 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.36 5.25 7.00 -0.3%
1xBet 1.41 5.63 7.24 +0.2%
888Sport 1.36 5.00 7.00 -0.3%
Bet365 1.36 5.50 7.00 -0.2%
Betano 1.42 5.30 7.80 +1.2%
Betfair 1.36 5.50 7.50 +0.7%
BetVictor 1.36 5.50 7.00 -0.2%
Dafabet 1.40 5.60 6.80 +0.1%
Marathonbet 1.40 5.60 7.20 +0.1%
Pinnacle 1.39 5.60 7.75 +1.1%
SBO 1.36 5.22 6.66 -1.0%
Unibet 1.34 5.75 8.00 +1.5%
William Hill 1.36 5.00 7.00 -0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.80
2.5 O 1.35 U 3.12
3.5 O 1.92 U 1.90
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 10 bks
NO
2.42 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.74
Away -0.5 3.02
Away -0.75 2.71
Away -1 2.42
Away -1.25 2.05
Away -1.5 1.82
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.