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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · MACHIDA ZELVIA 96%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · WED, 06 MAY · 07:00 LOCAL
MACHIDA ZELVIA
3RD · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D D W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS
W L D D W
· 7TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 53' Erik ⚽ 66' Shota Fujio
GOALS
Shota Fujio
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Shota Fujio
Machida Zelvia · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 17% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
FC Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F•Marinos - Game Highlights | MW15
Open in Youtube ↗
J1 League: Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

45%
BALL POSSESSION %
55%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
6
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
75%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
4
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daihachi Okamura
    MAC
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Thomas Jok Deng · assist Ryo Miyaichi
    YOK
  3. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Erik · assist Gen Shoji
    MAC
  4. 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Shota Fujio · assist Hokuto Shimoda
    MAC
  5. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jordy Croux · assist Kosei Suwama
    YOK
  6. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tomoki Kondo · assist Hiroto Asada
    YOK
  7. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kaina Tanimura · assist Tevis
    YOK
  8. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Keiya Sento · assist Sang-Ho Na
    MAC
  9. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Futa Tokumura · assist Hotaka Nakamura
    MAC
  10. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jun Amano · assist Dean David
    YOK
  11. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hokuto Shimoda · assist Hiroyuki Mae
    MAC
  12. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Shota Fujio · assist Kanji Kuwayama
    MAC
  13. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Erik · assist Byron Vásquez
    MAC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MACHIDA ZELVIA AVG 7.2
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
2.0
ON TARGET
2.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
45.0%
POSSESSION %
55.0%
344.0
PASSES
432.0
75.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
1.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MACHIDA ZELVIA 2 shots
Shota Fujio
1/1
Erik
1/1
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS 1 shots
Kota Watanabe
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-2-2
3-4-2-1
4-2-2-2
1
KOSEI TAN
5
IBRAHIM D
50
DAIHACHI
3
GEN SHOJI
 6.9
34
FUTA TOKU
 6.9
18
HOKUTO SH
 7.0
23
RYOHEI SH
11
ASAHI MAS
8
KEIYA SEN
 7.2
27
ERIK
 7.9
9
SHOTA FUJ
1
PARK IL-K
2
REN KATO
 7.2
17
JEISSON Q
13
TAISEI IN
44
THOMAS JO
 6.6
6
KOTA WATA
 6.7
28
RIKU YAMA
24
TOMOKI KO
11
JORDY CRO
 6.7
9
KAINA TAN
40
JUN AMANO
SUBSTITUTES · MACHIDA ZELVIA
39
Byron Vásque...
M
10
Sang-Ho Na
F
16
Hiroyuki Mae
M
88
Hotaka Nakam...
D
60
Chui Mayaka
M
2
Tomoki Imai
D
24
Kim Min-Tae
D
13
Tatsuya Mori...
G
49
Kanji Kuwaya...
F
COACH: Go Kuroda
SUBSTITUTES · YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS
18
George Onaiw...
F
32
Yuta Tanaka
M
19
Tevis
F
29
Aruto Higuch...
M
21
Hiroki Ilkur...
G
46
Hiroto Asada
F
33
Kosei Suwama
D
23
Ryo Miyaichi
F
26
Dean David
F
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

YOK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
H. Kimura
—
MAC MANAGER
Go Kuroda
head coach
YOK MANAGER
—
unannounced
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
MAC WINS
1
DRAWS
2
YOK WINS
50%
16.7%
33.3%
11 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
3.33
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 6
06 Feb 2026
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 – 3
Machida Zelvia
W
23 Aug 2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 – 0
Machida Zelvia
D
31 May 2025
Machida Zelvia
0 – 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
L
20 Jul 2024
Machida Zelvia
1 – 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
L
15 Jun 2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 – 3
Machida Zelvia
W
MACHIDA ZELVIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D W
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
MACHIDA ZELVIA #3
Won · already at 37 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
YOKOHAMA F. MARINOS #7
Lost · already at 20 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Erik
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Shota Fujio
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hokuto Shimoda
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jun Amano
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Futa Tokumura
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Keiya Sento
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kaina Tanimura
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tomoki Kondo
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jordy Croux
  • 66'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Shota Fujio
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Erik
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Thomas Jok Deng
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daihachi Okamura
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MACHIDA ZELVIA WIN
1.75
57.1% implied
↑ best 1.86
DRAW
3.55
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.78
YOKOHAMA F. MARI WIN
4.58
21.8% implied
↑ best 5.00

Market favors Machida Zelvia. AI projects MACHIDA ZELVIA 96%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MACHIDA ZELVIA 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.70 3.55 4.80 +37.2%
1xBet 1.73 3.62 4.70 +38.2%
888Sport 1.75 3.40 4.40 +38.9%
Bet365 1.70 3.60 5.00 +37.2%
Betano 1.72 3.60 4.70 +37.9%
Betfair 1.75 3.40 4.10 +38.9%
BetVictor 1.73 3.75 4.80 +38.2%
Dafabet 1.86 3.55 4.30 +42.2%
Marathonbet 1.71 3.62 4.75 +37.5%
Pinnacle 1.77 3.78 4.86 +39.5%
SBO 1.77 3.38 4.41 +39.5%
Unibet 1.77 3.50 4.30 +39.5%
William Hill 1.75 3.40 4.40 +38.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.30
2.5 O 1.95 U 1.81
3.5 O 3.36 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 10 bks
NO
1.85 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.49
Away -0.5 2.10
Away -0.75 1.86
Away -1 1.60
Away -1.25 1.45
Away -1.5 1.36
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.