GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–3 · LOS ANGELES FC 97% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 92 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SAT, 18 JUL · 02:25 LOCAL
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
11TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L D W
FT
0 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
LOS ANGELES FC
W W W W L
· 2ND · 33 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 26' Mark Delgado ⚽ 44' Denis Bouanga (P) ⚽ 57' Son Heung-min
Denis Bouanga
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Denis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC · 75 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 15% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.72
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.83
59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
11
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
7
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 22'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Erik Thommy · assist Harbor Miller
    LOS
  2. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mark Delgado
    LOS
  3. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Edwin Cerrillo
    LOS
  4. 44'
    Goal · Penalty
    Denis Bouanga
    LOS
  5. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jakob Glesnes
    LOS
  6. 57'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Son Heung-min · assist Mark Delgado
    LOS
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Miki Yamane · assist Robert Taylor
    LOS
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    John Nelson · assist Julián Aude
    LOS
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Edwin Cerrillo · assist Carlos Garcés
    LOS
  10. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jacob Shaffelburg · assist David Martínez Morales
    LOS
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yevhen Cheberko · assist Kenny Nielsen
    LOS
  12. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Son Heung-min · assist Tyler Boyd
    LOS
  13. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Harbor Miller
    LOS
  14. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Joseph Paintsil · assist Ruben Ramos
    LOS
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mathieu Choinière · assist Jude Terry
    LOS
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Denis Bouanga · assist Jeremy Ebobisse
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LOS ANGELES GALAXY AVG 6.9
LOS ANGELES FC AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
1.8
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
1.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
473.0
PASSES
331.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 3 shots
Lucas Sanabria
0/1
Marco Reus
0/1
Jakob Glesnes
0/1
LOS ANGELES FC 8 shots
Son Heung-min
2/4
Denis Bouanga
2/3
Mark Delgado
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.72 – 1.83
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 26' 44' 57' H 0.72 A 1.83 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
4-3-3
4-3-3
1
NOVAK MIć
14
JOHN NELS
15
JUSTIN HA
 6.5
5
JAKOB GLE
2
MIKI YAMA
 6.6
22
ELIJAH WY
6
EDWIN CER
 7.7
8
LUCAS SAN
27
ERIK THOM
 7.2
18
MARCO REU
28
JOSEPH PA
1
HUGO LLOR
 7.5
23
YEVHEN CH
33
AARON LON
5
RYAN PORT
24
RYAN HOLL
 8.2
8
MARK DELG
4
EDDIE SEG
 7.2
66
MATHIEU C
 8.2
99
DENIS BOU
 7.9
7
SON HEUNG
18
JACOB SHA
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
16
Isaiah Paren...
M
4
Maya Yoshida
D
20
Chris Rindov
D
12
JT Marcinkow...
G
21
Robert Taylo...
M
3
Julián Aude
D
25
Carlos Garcé...
D
26
Harbor Mille...
D
24
Ruben Ramos
F
COACH: Greg Vanney
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES FC
19
Tyler Boyd
F
40
Sebastian Na...
F
22
Jude Terry
M
21
Ryan Raposo
M
91
Nkosi Tafari
D
12
Thomas Hasal
G
45
Kenny Nielse...
D
30
David Martín...
F
17
Jeremy Ebobi...
F
COACH: Marc Dos Santos
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Vazquez
—
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Marc Dos Santos
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LOS WINS
3
DRAWS
4
LOS WINS
30%
30%
40%
19 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
20 Jul 2025
Los Angeles FC
3 – 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
19 May 2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 – 2
Los Angeles FC
D
15 Sep 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
4 – 2
Los Angeles FC
W
05 Jul 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 – 2
Los Angeles FC
L
06 Apr 2024
Los Angeles FC
2 – 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D W
LOS ANGELES FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–3 · result locked
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #11
Lost · already at 21 pts
LOS ANGELES FC #2
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Denis Bouanga
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mathieu Choinière
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Joseph Paintsil
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Harbor Miller
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Son Heung-min
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yevhen Cheberko
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jacob Shaffelburg
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Edwin Cerrillo
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · John Nelson
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Miki Yamane
  • 57'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Son Heung-min
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Jakob Glesnes
  • 44'
    Goal · Penalty · Denis Bouanga
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Edwin Cerrillo
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mark Delgado
  • 22'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Erik Thommy
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
3.06
32.7% implied
↑ best 3.20
DRAW
3.71
27% implied
↑ best 3.90
LOS ANGELES FC WIN
2.13
46.9% implied
↑ best 2.30

Market favors Los Angeles FC. AI projects LOS ANGELES FC 97% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LOS ANGELES FC 97% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.05 3.65 2.14 +50.3%
888Sport 3.00 3.60 2.10 +49.4%
Bet365 3.20 3.70 2.10 +49.4%
Betano 3.15 3.90 2.10 +49.4%
Betfair 3.20 3.70 2.05 +48.2%
BetVictor 3.10 3.75 2.10 +49.4%
Dafabet 3.20 3.85 2.14 +50.3%
Marathonbet 3.16 3.66 2.07 +48.7%
Pinnacle 3.10 3.90 2.02 +47.5%
SBO 2.80 3.52 2.23 +52.2%
Superbet 2.95 3.60 2.30 +53.5%
Unibet 2.85 3.75 2.25 +52.6%
William Hill 3.00 3.60 2.10 +49.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.09
2.5 O 1.52 U 2.44
3.5 O 2.30 U 1.59
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.47 10 bks
NO
2.53 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.44
Away -0.5 1.39
Away -0.75 1.27
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.