GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 4–0 · LOS ANGELES FC 99% · Value: Over 2.5 99%
CONF 96 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 26 JUL · 02:30 LOCAL
LOS ANGELES FC
2ND · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W L
FT
4 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
W L L W W
· 15TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 5' Son Heung-min ⚽ 37' Denis Bouanga ⚽ 45+4' David Martínez Morales ⚽ 85' Denis Bouanga
GOALS
Denis Bouanga
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Denis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC · 93 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 30% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
LAFC vs. Sporting Kansas City | Full Match Highlights | Son & Bouanga BACK ON TARGET!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.38
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.24
47%
BALL POSSESSION %
53%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
6
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
92%
PASS ACCURACY %
93%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 2'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Manu García
    SPO
  2. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Son Heung-min
    LOS
  3. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Denis Bouanga · assist Mathieu Choinière
    LOS
  4. 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    David Martínez Morales · assist Denis Bouanga
    LOS
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Timothy Tillman · assist Eddie Segura
    LOS
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Manu García · assist Kwaku Agyabeng
    SPO
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Stephen Afrifa · assist Shapi Suleymanov
    SPO
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mark Delgado · assist Jude Terry
    LOS
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Or Blorian · assist Moises Mosquera
    SPO
  10. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Calvin Harris
    SPO
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ryan Hollingshead · assist Ryan Raposo
    LOS
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    David Martínez Morales · assist Tyler Boyd
    LOS
  13. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Denis Bouanga · assist Tyler Boyd
    LOS
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Son Heung-min · assist Jeremy Ebobisse
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LOS ANGELES FC AVG 8.1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.4
xG
0.2
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
47.0%
POSSESSION %
53.0%
593.0
PASSES
680.0
92.0%
PASS ACCURACY
93.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LOS ANGELES FC 5 shots
Denis Bouanga
2/2
Son Heung-min
2/2
David Martínez Morales
1/1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 1 shots
Dejan Joveljić
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.38 – 0.24
1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 5' 37' 45' 85' H 1.38 A 0.24 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 64%
36% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
1
HUGO LLOR
23
YEVHEN CH
33
AARON LON
 7.9
5
RYAN PORT
24
RYAN HOLL
8
MARK DELG
66
MATHIEU C
11
TIMOTHY T
 9.5
99
DENIS BOU
 7.6
7
SON HEUNG
 8.2
30
DAVID MAR
30
STEFAN CL
18
EMIR KARI
28
WYATT MEY
5
OR BLORIA
8
JACOB DAV
 7.2
4
LASSE BER
22
ZORHAN BA
11
CALVIN HA
6
MANU GARC
17
STEPHEN A
 6.3
9
DEJAN JOV
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES FC
19
Tyler Boyd
F
21
Ryan Raposo
M
22
Jude Terry
M
18
Jacob Shaffe...
F
45
Kenny Nielse...
D
4
Eddie Segura
D
91
Nkosi Tafari
D
12
Thomas Hasal
G
17
Jeremy Ebobi...
F
COACH: Marc Dos Santos
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
20
Kwaku Agyabe...
M
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
3
Moises Mosqu...
D
99
Jayden Reid
D
2
Ian James
D
15
Jansen Mille...
D
23
Ethan Bartlo...
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Fierro
—
LOS MANAGER
Marc Dos Santos
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
8
LOS WINS
2
DRAWS
0
SPO WINS
80%
20%
23 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
09 Jun 2025
Los Angeles FC
3 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
W
23 Mar 2025
Sporting Kansas City
0 – 2
Los Angeles FC
W
06 Oct 2024
Sporting Kansas City
0 – 3
Los Angeles FC
W
10 Mar 2024
Los Angeles FC
0 – 0
Sporting Kansas City
D
18 Jun 2023
Sporting Kansas City
1 – 2
Los Angeles FC
W
LOS ANGELES FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W L
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–0 · result locked
LOS ANGELES FC #2
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Lost · already at 14 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Son Heung-min
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Denis Bouanga
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · David Martínez Morales
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ryan Hollingshead
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Calvin Harris
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Or Blorian
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mark Delgado
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Stephen Afrifa
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Manu García
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Timothy Tillman
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · David Martínez Morales
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Denis Bouanga
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Son Heung-min
  • 2'
    Card · Yellow Card · Manu García
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
LOS ANGELES FC WIN
1.26
79.4% implied
↑ best 1.30
DRAW
6.34
15.8% implied
↑ best 7.08
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
9.12
11% implied
↑ best 10.00

Market favors Los Angeles FC. AI projects LOS ANGELES FC 99% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LOS ANGELES FC 99% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.28 6.20 8.10 +20.9%
Bet365 1.28 6.25 8.50 +20.9%
Betano 1.30 6.40 10.00 +22.1%
Betfair 1.25 6.50 9.00 +19.0%
BetVictor 1.25 6.00 9.50 +19.0%
Dafabet 1.28 6.60 9.40 +20.9%
Marathonbet 1.23 6.50 9.50 +17.7%
Pinnacle 1.25 7.08 9.67 +19.0%
SBO 1.27 5.90 8.10 +20.3%
Superbet 1.28 6.40 8.70 +20.9%
Unibet 1.24 6.25 10.00 +18.4%
William Hill 1.25 6.00 9.00 +19.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.20
2.5 O 1.32 U 3.27
3.5 O 1.85 U 1.93
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.64 9 bks
NO
2.15 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.68
Away -0.5 3.58
Away -0.75 3.48
Away -1 3.08
Away -1.25 2.44
Away -1.5 2.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.