GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–1 · LOS ANGELES FC 96% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · THU, 23 JUL · 02:30 LOCAL
LOS ANGELES FC
2ND · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W L
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
REAL SALT LAKE
L D W W L
· 4TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 11' Son Heung-min ⚽ 40' Denis Bouanga ⚽ 68' DeAndre Yedlin (OG)
GOALS
⚽ 86' Lukas Engel
Denis Bouanga
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Denis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC · 84 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 13% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.17
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.56
29%
BALL POSSESSION %
71%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
28
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
91%
7
CORNERS
12
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Son Heung-min
    LOS
  2. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Denis Bouanga · assist Mathieu Choinière
    LOS
  3. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jacob Shaffelburg · assist David Martínez Morales
    LOS
  4. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Stijn Spierings · assist Victor Olatunji
    REA
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mathieu Choinière · assist Jude Terry
    LOS
  6. 68'
    Goal · Own Goal
    DeAndre Yedlin
    LOS
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Son Heung-min · assist Jeremy Ebobisse
    LOS
  8. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Diego Luna · assist Saba Lobzhanidze
    REA
  9. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Morgan Guilavogui · assist Griffin Dillon
    REA
  10. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sergi Solans · assist Zach Booth
    REA
  11. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Denis Bouanga · assist Tyler Boyd
    LOS
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ryan Hollingshead · assist Kenny Nielsen
    LOS
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Juan Sanabria · assist Alexandros Katranis
    REA
  14. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lukas Engel · assist Saba Lobzhanidze
    REA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LOS ANGELES FC AVG 7.5
REAL SALT LAKE AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.2
xG
2.6
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
28.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
15.0
5.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
29.0%
POSSESSION %
71.0%
295.0
PASSES
703.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
91.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
12.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
5.0
FOULS
7.0
5.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LOS ANGELES FC 4 shots
Son Heung-min
2/3
Denis Bouanga
1/1
REAL SALT LAKE 9 shots
Noel Caliskan
1/3
Diego Luna
0/3
Morgan Guilavogui
2/2
Lukas Engel
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.17 – 2.56
2 1.5 1 0.5 2.6 0.0 HT 11' 40' 68' 86' H 1.17 A 2.56 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-2-1
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
7.2
1
HUGO LLOR
23
YEVHEN CH
91
NKOSI TAF
5
RYAN PORT
 7.2
24
RYAN HOLL
8
MARK DELG
4
EDDIE SEG
66
MATHIEU C
 8.0
99
DENIS BOU
 7.9
7
SON HEUNG
 7.2
18
JACOB SHA
1
RAFAEL CA
 7.6
4
LUKAS ENG
26
PHILIP QU
2
DEANDRE Y
8
JUAN SANA
 7.9
92
NOEL CALI
6
STIJN SPI
72
ZAVIER GO
 7.5
9
MORGAN GU
 6.9
10
DIEGO LUN
22
SERGI SOL
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES FC
30
David Martín...
F
19
Tyler Boyd
F
21
Ryan Raposo
M
40
Sebastian Na...
F
45
Kenny Nielse...
D
33
Aaron Long
D
12
Thomas Hasal
G
22
Jude Terry
M
17
Jeremy Ebobi...
F
COACH: Marc Dos Santos
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SALT LAKE
12
Saba Lobzhan...
M
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
27
Griffin Dill...
M
23
Zach Booth
M
98
Alexandros K...
D
21
Juan Jose Ar...
D
29
Sam Junqua
D
31
Mason Stajdu...
G
17
Victor Olatu...
F
COACH: Pablo Mastroeni
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
P. Lauziere
—
LOS MANAGER
Marc Dos Santos
head coach
REA MANAGER
Pablo Mastroeni
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
LOS WINS
1
DRAWS
3
REA WINS
60%
10%
30%
22 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
22 Sep 2025
Los Angeles FC
4 – 1
Real Salt Lake
W
18 Sep 2025
Real Salt Lake
1 – 4
Los Angeles FC
W
18 Jul 2024
Los Angeles FC
1 – 1
Real Salt Lake
D
02 Mar 2024
Real Salt Lake
3 – 0
Los Angeles FC
L
02 Oct 2023
Los Angeles FC
0 – 1
Real Salt Lake
L
LOS ANGELES FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W L
REAL SALT LAKE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
LOS ANGELES FC #2
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
REAL SALT LAKE #4
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lukas Engel
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Juan Sanabria
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ryan Hollingshead
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Denis Bouanga
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sergi Solans
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Morgan Guilavogui
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Diego Luna
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Son Heung-min
  • 68'
    Goal · Own Goal · DeAndre Yedlin
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mathieu Choinière
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Stijn Spierings
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jacob Shaffelburg
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Denis Bouanga
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Son Heung-min
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
LOS ANGELES FC WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.75
DRAW
4.06
24.6% implied
↑ best 4.24
REAL SALT LAKE WIN
4.26
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.60

Market favors Los Angeles FC. AI projects LOS ANGELES FC 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LOS ANGELES FC 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.95 4.20 +38.2%
Bet365 1.73 4.20 4.20 +38.2%
Betano 1.72 4.15 4.35 +37.9%
Betfair 1.73 4.00 4.20 +38.2%
BetVictor 1.70 4.10 4.20 +37.2%
Dafabet 1.75 4.20 4.30 +38.9%
Marathonbet 1.71 4.05 4.15 +37.5%
Pinnacle 1.74 4.24 4.41 +38.5%
SBO 1.71 3.90 4.08 +37.5%
Superbet 1.72 4.15 4.40 +37.9%
Unibet 1.67 4.00 4.60 +36.1%
William Hill 1.70 3.80 4.00 +37.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.22
2.5 O 1.51 U 2.50
3.5 O 2.27 U 1.61
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 9 bks
NO
2.39 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.48
Away -0.5 2.13
Away -0.75 1.90
Away -1 1.65
Away -1.25 1.51
Away -1.5 1.41
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.