GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · LOMMEL UNITED 68%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · FINAL · SUN, 17 MAY · 14:00 LOCAL
LOMMEL UNITED
LAST 5:
D W W W W
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
DENDER
D L W L L
· 16TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 55' Ralf Seuntjens ⚽ 86' Ralf Seuntjens ⚽ 90+6' Zalán Vancsa
GOALS
⚽ 34' Desmond Acquah ⚽ 83' Mohamed Berte
Ralf Seuntjens
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ralf Seuntjens
Lommel United · 93 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 16% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Jupiler Pro League: Lommel United vs Dender
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
16
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
6
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lautaro López
    LOM
  2. 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Desmond Acquah · assist Mohamed Berte
    DEN
  3. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luc De Fougerolles
    DEN
  4. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mohamed Berte
    DEN
  5. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jason van Duiven · assist Zalán Vancsa
    LOM
  6. 53'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lautaro López · assist Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
    LOM
  7. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ralf Seuntjens
    LOM
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Roman Kvet · assist Ragnar Oratmangoen
    DEN
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Desmond Acquah · assist Noah Mbamba
    DEN
  10. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui · assist Amine Daali
    DEN
  11. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Luc De Fougerolles · assist B. De Kerf
    DEN
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Luc Marijnissen · assist Bruny Nsimba
    DEN
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jesper Tolinsson · assist Timothy Eyoma
    LOM
  14. 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mohamed Berte · assist Amine Daali
    DEN
  15. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ralf Seuntjens · assist Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
    LOM
  16. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​
    DEN
  17. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Zalán Vancsa
    LOM
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LOMMEL UNITED AVG 7.6
DENDER AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
10.0
6.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
463.0
PASSES
340.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
5.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
18.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LOMMEL UNITED 3 shots
Ralf Seuntjens
2/2
Lucas Schoofs
1/1
DENDER 7 shots
Mohamed Berte
1/4
Desmond Acquah
2/2
Amine Daali
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-1-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-4-1-1
3-4-2-1
23
MATTHIAS
79
SAM DE GR
 7.5
5
DRIES WOU
13
JHON BANG
14
JESPER TO
10
TOM REYNE
18
LAUTARO L
 7.3
6
JOEY PELU
9
JASON VAN
 7.5
15
LUCAS SCH
 8.6
30
RALF SEUN
93
GAUTHIER
7
BRYAN GON
44
LUC DE FO
 6.9
5
LUC MARIJ
 7.2
67
NAIL MOUT
24
MALCOLM V
18
NATHAN RO
70
JUNIOR MA
16
ROMAN KVE
 7.9
23
DESMOND A
 7.3
90
MOHAMED B
SUBSTITUTES · LOMMEL UNITED
73
Alexander Re...
F
93
Zalán Vancsa
M
8
Nicolas Romm...
M
98
Mohamed Sala...
F
3
Timothy Eyom...
D
65
Emile Vandec...
D
34
Henry Oware
D
1
Nikola Ivezi...
G
11
Robin van Du...
F
COACH: Lee Johnson
SUBSTITUTES · DENDER
77
Bruny Nsimba
F
9
David Toshev...
F
15
Krzysztof Ko...
M
45
Amine Daali
M
17
Noah Mbamba
M
6
Bo De Kerf
M
21
Kobe Cools
D
34
Michael Verr...
G
11
Ragnar Oratm...
F
COACH: Yannick Ferrera
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

DEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Wesli De Cremer, Belgium
—
LOM MANAGER
Lee Johnson
head coach
DEN MANAGER
Yannick Ferrera
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
LOM WINS
2
DRAWS
2
DEN WINS
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
10 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
3.17
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 6
23 May 2026
Dender
0 – 0
Lommel United
D
LOMMEL UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W W
DENDER LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L L
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 40 28 4 8 +46 57
W D W W W
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W D L W L
1 Genk 40 15 14 11 +4 38
W D D W L
2 Standard Liege 40 16 9 15 -2 37
L W D W W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W D W W W
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 40 25 11 4 +39 53
W D L W L
3 Charleroi 40 14 9 17 0 34
W D L W W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W L D L W
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 40 22 5 13 +15 43
W L D L W
4 Anderlecht 40 15 10 15 -3 33
L W D D L
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
D L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
L D D D L
4 KVC Westerlo 40 14 10 16 -7 33
L L W L D
5 Antwerp 40 13 9 18 -5 31
W D L L L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L D D L W
5 Gent 40 13 12 15 -4 29
L D D D L
6 KV Mechelen 40 13 12 15 -13 29
L D D L W
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L W D D L
6 OH Leuven 40 10 10 20 -19 23
L D W L D
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
W D D W L
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
L W D W W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L L W L D
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W D L L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W D L W W
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L D W L D
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
D L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Zalán Vancsa
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ralf Seuntjens
  • 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mohamed Berte
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jesper Tolinsson
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Luc Marijnissen
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Luc De Fougerolles
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Desmond Acquah
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Roman Kvet
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ralf Seuntjens
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lautaro López
  • 53'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jason van Duiven
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mohamed Berte
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luc De Fougerolles
  • 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Desmond Acquah
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lautaro López
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
LOMMEL UNITED WIN
2.18
45.9% implied
↑ best 2.26
DRAW
3.45
29% implied
↑ best 3.64
DENDER WIN
3.05
32.8% implied
↑ best 3.21

Market favors Lommel United. AI projects LOMMEL UNITED 68%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LOMMEL UNITED 68% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.45 3.10 +22.5%
1xBet 2.21 3.64 3.12 +22.8%
Bet365 2.10 3.40 2.88 +20.4%
Betano 2.25 3.45 3.20 +23.6%
BetVictor 2.20 3.50 3.00 +22.5%
Dafabet 2.22 3.55 3.15 +23.0%
Marathonbet 2.16 3.55 3.05 +21.7%
Pinnacle 2.26 3.59 3.21 +23.8%
SBO 2.08 3.19 2.80 +19.9%
Unibet 2.20 3.35 3.00 +22.5%
William Hill 2.15 3.30 3.00 +21.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.90
2.5 O 1.75 U 2.05
3.5 O 2.80 U 1.40
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.59 8 bks
NO
2.21 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.88
Away -0.5 1.66
Away -0.75 1.48
Away -1 1.31
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.