GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · LEEDS 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 14:00 LOCAL
LEEDS
14TH · 47 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W D W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
BRIGHTON
L W L W D
· 8TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+6' Dominic Calvert-Lewin
GOALS
Pascal Groß
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Pascal Groß
Brighton · 94 mins
· 55% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
It's the perfect finish | Daniel Farke reaction | Leeds United 1-0 Brighton and Hove Albion
Open in Youtube ↗
Leeds - Brighton 1:0 | PREMIER LEAGUE (37. kolo) …
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.97
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.46
34%
BALL POSSESSION %
66%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
18
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
67%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
7
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel James · assist Wilfried Gnonto
    LEE
  2. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ao Tanaka · assist Sean Longstaff
    LEE
  3. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Brenden Aaronson · assist Lukas Nmecha
    LEE
  4. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Danny Welbeck · assist Georginio Rutter
    BRI
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Joël Veltman · assist Diego Gómez
    BRI
  6. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Anton Stach · assist Joël Piroe
    LEE
  7. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Carlos Baleba · assist Yasin Ayari
    BRI
  8. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jack Hinshelwood · assist Charalampos Kostoulas
    BRI
  9. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Sebastiaan Bornauw · assist Sam Byram
    LEE
  10. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yankuba Minteh · assist Solly March
    BRI
  11. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    LEE
  12. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    LEE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LEEDS AVG 7.1
BRIGHTON AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
2.5
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
1.0
ON TARGET
8.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
34.0%
POSSESSION %
66.0%
275.0
PASSES
539.0
67.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
8.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
7.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LEEDS 1 shots
Anton Stach
0/1
BRIGHTON 5 shots
Pascal Groß
2/2
Lewis Dunk
0/1
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
1/1
Carlos Baleba
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.97 – 2.46
2 1.5 1 0.5 2.5 0.0 HT 90' H 0.97 A 2.46 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 4-2-3-1
3-5-2
4-2-3-1
7.3
26
KARL DARL
 6.9
23
SEBASTIAA
 6.9
15
JAKA BIJO
6
JOE RODON
24
JAMES JUS
22
AO TANAKA
 7.3
4
ETHAN AMP
 6.9
18
ANTON STA
7
DANIEL JA
11
BRENDEN A
9
DOMINIC C
1
BART VERB
 7.3
29
MAXIM DE
 7.2
5
LEWIS DUN
6
JAN PAUL
34
JOëL VELT
 6.9
17
CARLOS BA
 7.6
30
PASCAL GR
11
YANKUBA M
13
JACK HINS
 7.0
24
FERDI KAD
18
DANNY WEL
SUBSTITUTES · LEEDS
14
Lukas Nmecha
F
29
Wilfried Gno...
F
47
Rhys Chadwic...
M
8
Sean Longsta...
M
51
Alfie Cressw...
M
65
Jayden Lieno...
D
25
Sam Byram
D
1
Lucas Perri
G
10
Joël Piroe
F
COACH: Daniel Farke
SUBSTITUTES · BRIGHTON
33
Matt O'Riley
M
26
Yasin Ayari
M
25
Diego Gómez
M
20
James Milner
M
10
Georginio Ru...
F
7
Solly March
M
21
Olivier Bosc...
D
23
Jason Steele
G
19
Charalampos...
F
COACH: Fabian Hurzeler
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LEE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BRI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Oliver
—
LEE MANAGER
Daniel Farke
head coach
BRI MANAGER
Fabian Hurzeler
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
LEE WINS
3
DRAWS
5
BRI WINS
20%
30%
50%
6 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Nov 2025
Brighton
3 – 0
Leeds
L
11 Mar 2023
Leeds
2 – 2
Brighton
D
27 Aug 2022
Brighton
1 – 0
Leeds
L
15 May 2022
Leeds
1 – 1
Brighton
D
27 Nov 2021
Brighton
0 – 0
Leeds
D
LEEDS LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D W
BRIGHTON LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
LEEDS #14
Won · already at 47 pts
BRIGHTON #8
Lost · already at 53 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
    Delay of game
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yankuba Minteh
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Sebastiaan Bornauw
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jack Hinshelwood
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Carlos Baleba
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Anton Stach
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Joël Veltman
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Danny Welbeck
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Brenden Aaronson
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ao Tanaka
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel James
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LEEDS WIN
3.33
30% implied
↑ best 3.50
DRAW
3.52
28.4% implied
↑ best 3.60
BRIGHTON WIN
2.14
46.7% implied
↑ best 2.22

Market favors Brighton. AI projects LEEDS 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LEEDS 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.20 3.50 2.12 +6.8%
1xBet 3.50 3.60 2.22 +9.4%
888Sport 3.30 3.40 2.10 +7.7%
Bet365 3.30 3.60 2.10 +7.7%
Betano 3.30 3.50 2.15 +7.7%
Betfair 3.40 3.50 2.10 +8.6%
BetVictor 3.30 3.60 2.10 +7.7%
Dafabet 3.35 3.60 2.16 +8.1%
Marathonbet 3.44 3.54 2.18 +8.9%
Pinnacle 3.45 3.60 2.17 +9.0%
SBO 3.15 3.36 2.15 +6.3%
Unibet 3.30 3.60 2.12 +7.7%
William Hill 3.30 3.40 2.10 +7.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.77
2.5 O 1.81 U 2.02
3.5 O 2.96 U 1.38
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.63 10 bks
NO
2.18 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.42
Away -0.5 1.33
Away -0.75 1.21
Away -1 1.09
Away -1.25 1.08
Away -1.5 1.07
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.