GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · LAZIO 72% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · SUN, 16 AUG · 19:15 LOCAL
LAZIO
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
MANTOVA
GOALS
⚽ 75' Francesco Ruocco ⚽ 90+6' Ismael Cajazzo
Ismael Cajazzo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ismael Cajazzo
Mantova · 34 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 5% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

70%
BALL POSSESSION %
30%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
12
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    B. Tomašević
    MAN
  2. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolò Rovella
    LAZ
  3. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
    LAZ
  4. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rareș Ilie · assist Davide Bragantini
    MAN
  5. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    B. Tomašević · assist Andrea Meroni
    MAN
  6. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jonathan Silva · assist Ismael Cajazzo
    MAN
  7. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alfonso Pedraza · assist Luca Pellegrini
    LAZ
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · assist Davide Frattesi
    LAZ
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Boulaye Dia · assist Petar Ratkov
    LAZ
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lorenzo Ignacchiti · assist Jean Pierre Longonda
    MAN
  11. 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Francesco Ruocco · assist Davide Bragantini
    MAN
  12. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matteo Cancellieri
    LAZ
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Nicolò Rovella · assist Reda Belahyane
    LAZ
  14. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Matteo Cancellieri · assist Tijjani Noslin
    LAZ
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Fahem Benaissa-Yahia · assist David Wieser
    MAN
  16. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ismael Cajazzo · assist David Wieser
    MAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LAZIO AVG 7.1
MANTOVA AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
3.0
ON TARGET
7.0
12.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
6.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
70.0%
POSSESSION %
30.0%
636.0
PASSES
278.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
13.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
5.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LAZIO 4 shots
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
1/2
Tijjani Noslin
0/1
Nicolò Rovella
0/1
MANTOVA 5 shots
Francesco Ruocco
3/4
Ismael Cajazzo
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-2-1
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
35
CHRISTOS
 6.9
23
ALFONSO P
25
OLIVER PR
5
DANILHO D
 7.3
77
ADAM MARU
24
KENNETH T
 6.9
6
NICOLò RO
 7.0
7
FISAYO DE
10
MATTIA ZA
19
BOULAYE D
22
MATTEO CA
 7.2
22
FRANCESCO
 7.5
27
ALESSIO C
29
STEFANO C
5
B. TOMAšE
50
FAHEM BEN
25
LORENZO I
21
SIMONE TR
41
JONATHAN
 7.5
19
FRANCESCO
8
RAREș ILI
9
ETTORE GL
SUBSTITUTES · LAZIO
33
Ricardo Bord...
D
15
Romano Flori...
D
28
Adrian Przyb...
M
71
Valerio Farc...
M
8
Bruno Galass...
M
29
Manuel Lazza...
M
47
Davide Renze...
G
40
Edoardo Mott...
G
14
Tijjani Nosl...
F
21
Reda Belahya...
M
20
Petar Ratkov
F
16
Davide Fratt...
M
3
Luca Pellegr...
D
63
Federico Ser...
F
COACH: Gennaro Gattuso
SUBSTITUTES · MANTOVA
33
Cristian Mar...
D
18
Sambaly Keït...
M
20
Flavio Paole...
M
14
Badr Bayou
F
12
Manuel Gaspa...
G
1
Luca Gemello
G
10
David Wieser
M
6
Jean Pierre...
M
30
Davide Braga...
F
11
Ismael Cajaz...
M
13
Andrea Meron...
D
71
Federico Chi...
F
COACH: Francesco Modesto
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LAZ · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
G. Mucera
—
LAZ MANAGER
Gennaro Gattuso
head coach
MAN MANAGER
Francesco Modesto
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
LAZ WINS
1
DRAWS
0
MAN WINS
100%
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ismael Cajazzo
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Matteo Cancellieri
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Nicolò Rovella
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matteo Cancellieri
  • 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Francesco Ruocco
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lorenzo Ignacchiti
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Boulaye Dia
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alfonso Pedraza
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jonathan Silva
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · B. Tomašević
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rareș Ilie
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolò Rovella
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · B. Tomašević
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
LAZIO WIN
1.28
78.1% implied
↑ best 1.32
DRAW
5.38
18.6% implied
↑ best 5.80
MANTOVA WIN
9.97
10% implied
↑ best 11.00

Market favors Lazio. AI projects LAZIO 72% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LAZIO 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.28 5.25 10.00 0.0%
1xBet 1.27 5.35 10.10 +0.1%
Bet365 1.30 5.25 10.00 0.0%
Betano 1.32 5.70 10.75 +0.7%
Betfair 1.25 5.50 11.00 +0.9%
BetVictor 1.25 5.25 10.00 0.0%
Dafabet 1.30 5.80 10.00 +0.8%
Marathonbet 1.26 5.35 10.25 +0.2%
Pinnacle 1.29 5.71 10.82 +0.8%
SBO 1.27 4.84 7.72 -2.7%
Unibet 1.30 5.50 9.50 -0.2%
William Hill 1.29 5.00 9.50 -0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.29
2.5 O 1.65 U 2.19
3.5 O 2.59 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.07 9 bks
NO
1.68 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.53
Away -0.5 3.55
Away -0.75 3.15
Away -1 2.80
Away -1.25 2.23
Away -1.5 1.95
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.