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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 3 · TUE, 28 APR · 22:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
LANUS
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
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MINS
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SECS
Tue, 28 Apr · 22:00
LDU DE QUITO
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LAN
1 – 0
LDU
most likely scoreline · 16.9% probability
AI PICKS LANUS TO WIN 52%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
LAN WIN 52%
DRAW 28%
LDU WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 80% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 80% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Extremely thin data — only 4-5 games played per team in early Copa Libertadores; treat as baseline heuristic.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LANUS FAVORED
52%
LDU unbeaten (1W) and top of table (6 pts, 0 GA) vs Lanus mid-table (3 pts, mixed form DLWW)
+25.0%
Lanus home form (DWW) slightly better than overall, but sample is tiny
+20.0%
WHY LDU DE QUITO CHALLENGED
20%
No H2H history, no season xG, no away data for LDU — confidence capped at 38%
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • No H2H history, no season xG, no away data for LDU — confidence capped at 38%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.5
4.4
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
16.9
13.0
5.0
1.3
0.3
·
·
2
9.6
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.6
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.9%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.0%
0 — 1 11.5%
2 — 0 9.6%
Top 5 = 65.9% · rest 34.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.44
20.0%
5.00
+8.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.19
48.0%
2.08
+5.0%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.65
28.0%
3.57
+2.3%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.18
42.0%
2.38
-8.6%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.14
80.0%
1.25
-9.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
72.0%
1.39
-9.6%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
52.0%
1.92
-15.4%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.09
38.0%
2.63
-20.7%
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⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.