GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 58% · Value: BTTS Yes 88%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · WED, 29 APR · 06:00 LOCAL
KYOTO SANGA
5TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W W
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 0-0
GAMBA OSAKA
D L D W D
· 3RD · 22 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 89' Haruki Arai ⚽ 120+1' Marco Túlio (P) ⚽ 120+2' João Pedro (P) ⚽ 120+3' Rafael Elias (P) ⚽ 120+4' Takuji Yonemoto (P) ⚽ 120+5' Shogo Asada (P) ⚽ 120+6' Taiki Hirato (P) ⚽ 120+7' Shinnosuke Fukuda (P)
GOALS
⚽ 90+4' Harumi Minamino ⚽ 120+1' Harumi Minamino (P) ⚽ 120+2' Ryotaro Meshino (P) ⚽ 120+3' Shinnosuke Nakatani (P) ⚽ 120+4' Deniz Hümmet (P) ⚽ 120+5' Genta Miura (P) ⚽ 120+6' Ryoya Yamashita (P) ⚽ 120+7' Tokuma Suzuki (P)
Haruki Arai
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Haruki Arai
Kyoto Sanga · 26 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 5% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Kyoto Sanga F.C. vs Gamba Osaka - Game Highlights | MW13
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
8
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
63%
PASS ACCURACY %
56%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 24 events
  1. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Takashi Usami
    GAM
  2. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Barreto · assist Rafael Elias
    KYO
  3. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Takashi Usami · assist Harumi Minamino
    GAM
  4. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kanji Okunuki · assist Ryotaro Meshino
    GAM
  5. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Taiyo Hiraoka · assist Taiki Hirato
    KYO
  6. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Temma Matsuda · assist Haruki Arai
    KYO
  7. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Haruki Arai · assist Rafael Elias
    KYO
  8. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sung-jun Yoon · assist Takuji Yonemoto
    KYO
  9. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kyo Sato · assist Shogo Asada
    KYO
  10. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Harumi Minamino
    GAM
  11. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Harumi Minamino
    GAM
  12. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Marco Túlio
    KYO
  13. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Ryotaro Meshino
    GAM
  14. 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    João Pedro
    KYO
  15. 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Shinnosuke Nakatani
    GAM
  16. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Rafael Elias
    KYO
  17. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Deniz Hümmet
    GAM
  18. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Takuji Yonemoto
    KYO
  19. 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Genta Miura
    GAM
  20. 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty
    Shogo Asada
    KYO
  21. 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Ryoya Yamashita
    GAM
  22. 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Taiki Hirato
    KYO
  23. 120'+7
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Tokuma Suzuki
    GAM
  24. 120'+7
    Goal · Penalty
    Shinnosuke Fukuda
    KYO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
KYOTO SANGA AVG 6.9
GAMBA OSAKA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
2.0
ON TARGET
1.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
348.0
PASSES
333.0
63.0%
PASS ACCURACY
56.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
7.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
KYOTO SANGA 3 shots
Shinnosuke Fukuda
0/2
Haruki Arai
1/1
GAMBA OSAKA 2 shots
Harumi Minamino
1/1
Takashi Usami
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
1
GAKUJI OT
44
KYO SATO
50
YOSHINORI
 6.7
5
HISASHI A
 6.9
2
SHINNOSUK
16
TAIYO HIR
 6.7
25
SUNG-JUN
6
JOãO PEDR
18
TEMMA MAT
88
BARRETO
11
MARCO TúL
18
RUI ARAKI
47
SHINYA NA
4
SHINNOSUK
5
GENTA MIU
 7.2
15
TAKERU KI
 7.2
27
RIN MITO
 7.2
16
TOKUMA SU
44
KANJI OKU
 7.0
7
TAKASHI U
17
RYOYA YAM
23
DENIZ HüM
SUBSTITUTES · KYOTO SANGA
48
Ryuma Nakano
M
22
Hidehiro Sug...
D
21
Kentaro Kako...
G
8
Takuji Yonem...
M
3
Shogo Asada
D
39
Taiki Hirato
M
77
Haruki Arai
M
9
Rafael Elias
F
19
David
F
COACH: Gwi-Jae Jo
SUBSTITUTES · GAMBA OSAKA
36
Takato Yamam...
M
41
Jiro Nakamur...
M
10
Shu Kurata
M
19
Ginjiro Ikeg...
D
21
Ryo Hatsuse
D
1
Masaaki Higa...
G
42
Harumi Minam...
F
8
Ryotaro Mesh...
F
40
Shoji Toyama
F
COACH: Jens Wissing
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
KYO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Atsushi Kamimura, Japan
—
KYO MANAGER
Gwi-Jae Jo
head coach
GAM MANAGER
Jens Wissing
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
KYO WINS
3
DRAWS
4
GAM WINS
30%
30%
40%
11 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Apr 2026
Gamba Osaka
2 – 0
Kyoto Sanga
L
28 Jun 2025
Kyoto Sanga
3 – 1
Gamba Osaka
W
29 Apr 2025
Gamba Osaka
2 – 1
Kyoto Sanga
L
22 Sep 2024
Kyoto Sanga
2 – 2
Gamba Osaka
D
03 Apr 2024
Gamba Osaka
0 – 0
Kyoto Sanga
D
KYOTO SANGA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W W
GAMBA OSAKA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
KYOTO SANGA #5
Lost · already at 19 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
GAMBA OSAKA #3
Lost · already at 22 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 13 10 0 3 +12 32
L W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 12 8 0 4 +10 26
L W W W W
1 Kashima 13 10 0 3 +12 32
L W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 12 8 0 4 +10 26
L W W W W
2 Nagoya Grampus 13 7 0 6 +4 22
L W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 13 10 0 3 +14 29
W W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 13 7 0 6 +4 22
L W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 13 10 0 3 +14 29
W W W L W
3 Gamba Osaka 14 8 0 6 +2 22
L W L W L
3 Machida Zelvia 12 9 0 3 +2 24
W W W L W
3 Gamba Osaka 14 8 0 6 +2 22
L W L W L
3 Machida Zelvia 12 9 0 3 +2 24
W W W L W
4 Tokyo Verdy 12 8 0 4 +3 21
W W W L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 7 0 6 +3 20
L W W W L
4 Tokyo Verdy 12 8 0 4 +3 21
W W W L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 7 0 6 +3 20
L W W W L
5 Kyoto Sanga 12 7 0 5 +3 19
W L W L W
5 Kawasaki Frontale 13 7 0 6 -3 20
L W W L W
5 Kyoto Sanga 12 7 0 5 +3 19
W L W L W
5 Kawasaki Frontale 13 7 0 6 -3 20
L W W L W
6 Cerezo Osaka 13 7 0 6 +2 19
W L W W L
6 Mito Hollyhock 13 5 0 8 -8 16
L L W W W
6 Cerezo Osaka 13 7 0 6 +2 19
W L W W L
6 Mito Hollyhock 13 5 0 8 -8 16
L L W W W
7 Urawa 13 4 0 9 -1 15
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 13 5 0 8 -2 17
L L L W L
7 Urawa 13 4 0 9 -1 15
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 13 5 0 8 -2 17
L L L W L
8 Fagiano Okayama 13 5 0 8 -7 17
W W L L L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 0 8 -4 15
W W L L L
8 Fagiano Okayama 13 5 0 8 -7 17
W W L L L
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 0 8 -4 15
W W L L L
9 Avispa Fukuoka 14 6 0 8 -8 17
W L W L W
9 Kashiwa Reysol 13 4 0 9 -4 11
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 14 6 0 8 -8 17
W L W L W
9 Kashiwa Reysol 13 4 0 9 -4 11
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 13 2 0 11 -11 9
L L L L W
10 V-varen Nagasaki 13 5 0 8 -7 16
W L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 13 2 0 11 -11 9
L L L L W
10 V-varen Nagasaki 13 5 0 8 -7 16
W L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+7
    Goal · Penalty · Shinnosuke Fukuda
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+7
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Tokuma Suzuki
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Taiki Hirato
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+6
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Ryoya Yamashita
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Shogo Asada
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Penalty · Genta Miura
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Takuji Yonemoto
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Deniz Hümmet
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Rafael Elias
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Shinnosuke Nakatani
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty · João Pedro
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Ryotaro Meshino
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Marco Túlio
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Harumi Minamino
    Penalty Shootout
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Harumi Minamino
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kyo Sato
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sung-jun Yoon
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Haruki Arai
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Temma Matsuda
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Taiyo Hiraoka
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kanji Okunuki
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Takashi Usami
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Barreto
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · Takashi Usami
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
KYOTO SANGA WIN
2.38
42% implied
↑ best 2.49
DRAW
3.33
30% implied
↑ best 3.45
GAMBA OSAKA WIN
2.84
35.2% implied
↑ best 2.97

Market favors Kyoto Sanga. AI projects DRAW 58% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.33 3.35 2.95 +28.1%
1xBet 2.41 3.30 2.86 +27.7%
Bet365 2.38 3.40 2.88 +28.6%
Betano 2.42 3.30 2.85 +27.7%
Betfair 2.25 3.30 2.70 +27.7%
BetVictor 2.40 3.40 2.88 +28.6%
Dafabet 2.43 3.45 2.85 +29.0%
Marathonbet 2.39 3.30 2.85 +27.7%
Pinnacle 2.49 3.40 2.97 +28.6%
SBO 2.41 3.14 2.66 +26.2%
Unibet 2.30 3.40 2.80 +28.6%
William Hill 2.38 3.20 2.80 +26.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.26 U 3.60
2.5 O 1.86 U 1.91
3.5 O 3.07 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.65 9 bks
NO
2.11 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.73
Away -0.5 1.56
Away -0.75 1.40
Away -1 1.23
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.