GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 4–2 · KASHIWA REYSOL 96% · Value: Over 2.5 94%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SAT, 23 MAY · 09:00 LOCAL
KASHIWA REYSOL
8TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W L L
FT
4 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
JEF UNITED CHIBA
D L L W L
· 10TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 35' Yuki Kakita ⚽ 39' Yoshio Koizumi ⚽ 76' Mao Hosoya ⚽ 89' Taiyo Koga
GOALS
⚽ 45+2' Ryota Kuboniwa ⚽ 85' Issei Takahashi
Yoshio Koizumi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yoshio Koizumi
Kashiwa Reysol · 79 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 43% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba - Game Highlights | MW18
Open in Youtube ↗
J1 League: Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Chiba
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
13
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
6
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yuki Kakita · assist Yoshio Koizumi
    KAS
  2. 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yoshio Koizumi · assist Yuki Kakita
    KAS
  3. 45'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ryota Kuboniwa
    JEF
  4. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hinata Yamauchi · assist Yusuke Segawa
    KAS
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuki Kakita · assist Mao Hosoya
    KAS
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hiroto Goya · assist Kazuki Tanaka
    JEF
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Makoto Himeno · assist Daichi Ishikawa
    JEF
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Takayuki Mae · assist Taishi Taguchi
    JEF
  9. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ryota Kuboniwa
    JEF
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ryota Kuboniwa · assist Koji Toriumi
    JEF
  11. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mao Hosoya · assist Nobuteru Nakagawa
    KAS
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tojiro Kubo · assist Seiya Baba
    KAS
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yoshio Koizumi · assist Koki Kumasaka
    KAS
  14. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Issei Takahashi · assist Takumi Tsukui
    JEF
  15. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Hiromu Mitsumaru · assist Yosei Yamauchi
    KAS
  16. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Zain Issaka · assist Takumi Matsumura
    JEF
  17. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Eduardo
    JEF
  18. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Taiyo Koga
    KAS
  19. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Takumi Matsumura
    JEF
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
KASHIWA REYSOL AVG 7.6
JEF UNITED CHIBA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
9.0
ON TARGET
4.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
605.0
PASSES
437.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
3.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
9.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
KASHIWA REYSOL 5 shots
Daiki Sugioka
1/2
Yoshio Koizumi
1/1
Yuki Kakita
1/1
Mao Hosoya
1/1
JEF UNITED CHIBA 2 shots
Issei Takahashi
1/1
Ryota Kuboniwa
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
25
RYOSUKE K
 7.2
26
DAIKI SUG
4
TAIYO KOG
42
WATARU HA
2
HIROMU MI
 7.6
39
NOBUTERU
21
YUDAI KON
24
TOJIRO KU
87
HINATA YA
 8.6
8
YOSHIO KO
 7.5
18
YUKI KAKI
19
JOSé AURE
67
MASARU HI
 7.0
28
TAKASHI K
 7.5
3
RYOTA KUB
 7.6
2
ISSEI TAK
 6.7
15
TAKAYUKI
6
EDUARDO
8
TAKUMI TS
37
MAKOTO HI
42
ZAIN ISSA
 6.7
9
HIROTO GO
SUBSTITUTES · KASHIWA REYSOL
32
Yosei Yamauc...
D
14
Tomoaki Okub...
M
40
Riki Harakaw...
M
15
Yota Komi
F
88
Seiya Baba
D
29
Kengo Nagai
G
9
Mao Hosoya
F
20
Yusuke Segaw...
M
27
Koki Kumasak...
M
COACH: Ricardo Rodriguez
SUBSTITUTES · JEF UNITED CHIBA
41
Takuya Yasui
M
27
Takuro Iwai
M
24
Koji Toriumi
D
11
Koki Yonekur...
D
23
Ryota Suzuki
G
20
Daichi Ishik...
F
7
Kazuki Tanak...
F
4
Taishi Taguc...
M
30
Takumi Matsu...
F
COACH: Yoshiyuki Kobayashi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
KAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

JEF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Damian Kos, Poland
—
KAS MANAGER
Ricardo Rodriguez
head coach
JEF MANAGER
Yoshiyuki Kobayashi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
KAS WINS
1
DRAWS
2
JEF WINS
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
13 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
2.71
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 7
07 Mar 2026
JEF United Chiba
2 – 1
Kashiwa Reysol
L
KASHIWA REYSOL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W L L
JEF UNITED CHIBA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–2 · result locked
KASHIWA REYSOL #8
Won · already at 20 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
JEF UNITED CHIBA #10
Lost · already at 12 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Takumi Matsumura
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Taiyo Koga
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Eduardo
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Zain Issaka
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Hiromu Mitsumaru
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Issei Takahashi
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yoshio Koizumi
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tojiro Kubo
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mao Hosoya
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ryota Kuboniwa
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ryota Kuboniwa
    misses next match
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Takayuki Mae
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Makoto Himeno
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hiroto Goya
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuki Kakita
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hinata Yamauchi
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ryota Kuboniwa
  • 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yoshio Koizumi
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yuki Kakita
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
KASHIWA REYSOL WIN
1.54
64.9% implied
↑ best 1.58
DRAW
4.09
24.4% implied
↑ best 4.37
JEF UNITED CHIBA WIN
5.54
18.1% implied
↑ best 6.00

Market favors Kashiwa Reysol. AI projects KASHIWA REYSOL 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS KASHIWA REYSOL 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.53 4.10 5.80 +30.6%
1xBet 1.55 4.15 5.53 +31.5%
888Sport 1.53 4.00 5.00 +30.6%
Bet365 1.57 4.20 5.25 +32.3%
Betano 1.57 4.00 5.50 +32.3%
Betfair 1.44 3.90 5.50 +26.6%
BetVictor 1.55 4.10 6.00 +31.5%
Dafabet 1.56 4.30 5.80 +31.9%
Marathonbet 1.54 4.15 5.50 +31.1%
Pinnacle 1.58 4.37 5.74 +32.7%
SBO 1.48 3.77 5.42 +28.4%
Superbet 1.56 4.25 5.55 +31.9%
Unibet 1.50 4.10 6.00 +29.3%
William Hill 1.55 3.90 5.00 +31.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.24 U 3.74
2.5 O 1.79 U 1.98
3.5 O 2.96 U 1.36
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.85 11 bks
NO
1.86 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.96
Away -0.5 2.42
Away -0.75 2.14
Away -1 1.86
Away -1.25 1.64
Away -1.5 1.49
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.