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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · JAPAN 48%
CONF 45 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · THU, 25 JUN · 23:00 LOCAL
JAPAN
2ND · 5 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D W W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SWEDEN
L L W
· 2ND · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 56' D. Maeda
GOALS
⚽ 62' A. Elanga
A. Elanga
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
A. Elanga
Sweden · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 19% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
11
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
2
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Isak Hien
    SWE
  2. 37'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Isak Hien · assist Lucas Bergvall
    SWE
  3. 39'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ko Itakura · assist S. Taniguchi
    JAP
  4. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    D. Maeda · assist Ritsu Doan
    JAP
  5. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Elanga · assist Viktor Gyökeres
    SWE
  6. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ayase Ueda · assist Koki Ogawa
    JAP
  7. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ritsu Doan · assist Junya Ito
    JAP
  8. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Bernhardsson · assist Daniel Svensson
    SWE
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Elliot Stroud · assist Ken Sema
    SWE
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Keito Nakamura · assist Y. Nagatomo
    JAP
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    A. Seko · assist Tsuyoshi Watanabe
    JAP
  12. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Taniguchi
    JAP
  13. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Viktor Gyökeres
    SWE
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Victor Lindelöf · assist Carl Starfelt
    SWE
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    G. Gudmundsson · assist Benjamin Nygren
    SWE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
JAPAN AVG 7.4
SWEDEN AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
8.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
20.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
JAPAN 3 shots
D. Maeda
1/2
Ritsu Doan
0/1
SWEDEN 3 shots
A. Elanga
2/2
Victor Lindelöf
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 3-4-1-2
3-4-3
3-4-1-2
7.1
1
ZION SUZU
 7.1
21
HIROKI IT
4
KO ITAKUR
20
A. SEKO
13
KEITO NAK
7
A. TANAKA
 7.1
15
DAICHI KA
2
Y. SUGAWA
 8.2
11
D. MAEDA
18
AYASE UED
 7.3
10
RITSU DOA
1
JACOB WID
 6.8
3
VICTOR LI
 7.0
4
ISAK HIEN
2
GUSTAF LA
 7.1
5
G. GUDMUN
 6.9
18
Y. AYARI
24
ELLIOT ST
21
A. BERNHA
 8.3
11
A. ELANGA
9
ALEXANDER
17
VIKTOR GY
SUBSTITUTES · JAPAN
17
Yuito Suzuki
M
23
T. Hayakawa
G
25
Junnosuke Su...
D
9
K. Goto
F
26
Kento Shioga...
F
16
Tsuyoshi Wat...
D
24
Kaishu Sano
M
12
K. Osako
G
19
Koki Ogawa
F
22
Takehiro Tom...
D
14
Junya Ito
F
5
Y. Nagatomo
D
3
S. Taniguchi
D
6
Shuto Machin...
F
COACH: H. Moriyasu
SUBSTITUTES · SWEDEN
19
M. Svanberg
M
25
Gustaf Nilss...
F
20
E. Smith
D
15
Carl Starfel...
D
13
Ken Sema
M
16
Jesper Karls...
M
14
H. Ekdal
D
12
Viktor Johan...
G
10
Benjamin Nyg...
F
26
Taha Abdi Al...
F
6
H. Johansson
D
8
Daniel Svens...
D
7
Lucas Bergva...
M
22
Besfort Zene...
M
23
K. Nordfeldt
G
COACH: G. Potter
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
JAP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SWE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Iván Barton, El Salvador
—
JAP MANAGER
H. Moriyasu
head coach
SWE MANAGER
G. Potter
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
JAP WINS
1
DRAWS
0
SWE WINS
100%
JAPAN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W W
SWEDEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
JAPAN #2
Lost · already at 5 pts
Round of 32
SWEDEN #2
Lost · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · G. Gudmundsson
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Victor Lindelöf
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Viktor Gyökeres
    Foul
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Taniguchi
    Foul
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · A. Seko
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Keito Nakamura
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Elliot Stroud
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Bernhardsson
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ritsu Doan
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ayase Ueda
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Elanga
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · D. Maeda
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 39'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ko Itakura
  • 37'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Isak Hien
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Isak Hien
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
JAPAN WIN
1.99
50.3% implied
↑ best 2.07
DRAW
3.38
29.6% implied
↑ best 3.60
SWEDEN WIN
4.00
25% implied
↑ best 4.25

Market favors Japan. AI projects JAPAN 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS JAPAN 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.35 4.10 -0.4%
1xBet 2.05 3.46 4.19 +0.1%
888Sport 2.00 3.25 3.50 -2.0%
Bet365 2.00 3.30 4.00 -1.0%
Betano 2.07 3.45 3.95 -0.3%
Betfair 2.00 3.30 4.00 -1.0%
BetVictor 1.95 3.20 4.20 +0.2%
Marathonbet 2.03 3.42 4.15 -0.1%
Pinnacle 2.05 3.46 4.07 -0.6%
SBO 1.88 3.55 4.04 -0.2%
Superbet 1.90 3.60 4.25 +0.5%
Unibet 1.98 3.35 3.95 -1.3%
William Hill 2.00 3.30 3.60 -2.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.53
2.5 O 1.92 U 1.89
3.5 O 3.21 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.72 11 bks
NO
2.04 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.19
Away -0.5 1.87
Away -0.75 1.64
Away -1 1.43
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.28
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.