GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–2 · INTER MIAMI 96% · Value: Over 2.5 98%
CONF 89 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · WED, 22 JUL · 23:30 LOCAL
INTER MIAMI
2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W W
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
CHICAGO FIRE
L W W W L
· 4TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 27' Luis Suárez (P) ⚽ 51' Luis Suárez ⚽ 87' Preston Plambeck
GOALS
⚽ 18' Rocco Ríos Novo (OG) ⚽ 67' Puso Dithejane
Luis Suárez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luis Suárez
Inter Miami · Captain · 93 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 31% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.11
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.84
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
14
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
8
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 18'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Rocco Ríos Novo
    CHI
  2. 27'
    Goal · Penalty
    Luis Suárez
    INT
  3. 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luis Suárez · assist Germán Berterame
    INT
  4. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Robert Lewandowski · assist Robin Lod
    CHI
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Philip Zinckernagel · assist Puso Dithejane
    CHI
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dje Tah D'Avilla · assist Mauricio Pineda
    CHI
  7. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jack Elliott
    CHI
  8. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Puso Dithejane · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    David Ruíz · assist Preston Plambeck
    INT
  10. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mateo Silvetti · assist Daniel Pinter
    INT
  11. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ian Fray · assist Noah Allen
    INT
  12. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Plambeck
    INT
  13. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Maren Haile-Selassie · assist Jason Shokalook
    CHI
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Andrew Gutman · assist Viktor Radojević
    CHI
  15. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sergio Reguilón
    INT
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
INTER MIAMI AVG 7.6
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
1.8
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
7.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
505.0
PASSES
454.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
16.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
INTER MIAMI 6 shots
Luis Suárez
3/4
Germán Berterame
1/1
Telasco Segovia
0/1
CHICAGO FIRE 4 shots
Puso Dithejane
1/1
Philip Zinckernagel
0/1
Dje Tah D'Avilla
1/1
Maren Haile-Selassie
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.11 – 1.84
1.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 27' 51' 87' 18' 67' H 2.11 A 1.84 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
34
ROCCO RíO
3
SERGIO RE
 7.2
16
MICAEL
17
IAN FRAY
4
FACUNDO M
24
MATEO SIL
 7.3
8
TELASCO S
42
YANNICK B
 7.5
41
DAVID RUí
 8.6
9
LUIS SUáR
 7.3
19
GERMáN BE
 6.5
1
CHRIS BRA
15
ANDREW GU
3
JACK ELLI
16
JOEL WATE
24
JONATHAN
19
JONATHAN
6
ANTON SAL
 6.9
42
DJE TAH D
 7.3
11
PHILIP ZI
9
ROBERT LE
 6.9
7
MAREN HAI
SUBSTITUTES · INTER MIAMI
52
Diego Rey
F
55
Ian Urkidi
M
59
Preston Plam...
M
32
Noah Allen
D
76
Ezequiel Aba...
D
70
Daniel Sumal...
D
97
Dayne St. Cl...
G
56
Daniel Pinte...
F
COACH: Guillermo Hoyos Angel
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
17
Robin Lod
M
12
Puso Ditheja...
F
35
Sergio Orege...
M
22
Mauricio Pin...
D
14
Viktor Radoj...
D
2
Leonardo Bar...
D
5
Samuel Roger...
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
20
Jason Shokal...
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
INT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Vazquez
—
INT MANAGER
Guillermo Hoyos Angel
head coach
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
INT WINS
2
DRAWS
5
CHI WINS
30%
20%
50%
16 – 20
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
30 Sep 2025
Inter Miami
3 – 5
Chicago Fire
L
13 Apr 2025
Chicago Fire
0 – 0
Inter Miami
D
01 Sep 2024
Chicago Fire
1 – 4
Inter Miami
W
20 Jul 2024
Inter Miami
2 – 1
Chicago Fire
W
05 Oct 2023
Chicago Fire
4 – 1
Inter Miami
L
INTER MIAMI LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
INTER MIAMI #2
Won · already at 37 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
CHICAGO FIRE #4
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card · Sergio Reguilón
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Andrew Gutman
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Maren Haile-Selassie
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Plambeck
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ian Fray
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mateo Silvetti
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · David Ruíz
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Puso Dithejane
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jack Elliott
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dje Tah D'Avilla
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Robert Lewandowski
  • 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luis Suárez
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 27'
    Goal · Penalty · Luis Suárez
  • 18'
    Goal · Own Goal · Rocco Ríos Novo
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
INTER MIAMI WIN
2.34
42.7% implied
↑ best 2.45
DRAW
3.96
25.3% implied
↑ best 4.05
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
2.63
38% implied
↑ best 3.05

Market favors Inter Miami. AI projects INTER MIAMI 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INTER MIAMI 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.44 4.00 2.45 +55.0%
Bet365 2.45 4.00 2.55 +55.2%
Betano 2.40 4.05 2.60 +54.3%
Betfair 2.30 3.90 2.63 +52.5%
BetVictor 2.38 4.00 2.55 +54.0%
Dafabet 2.43 4.00 2.65 +54.8%
Marathonbet 2.33 4.00 2.54 +53.1%
Pinnacle 2.44 4.04 2.66 +55.0%
SBO 2.20 3.83 2.68 +50.5%
Superbet 2.12 4.00 3.05 +48.8%
Unibet 2.30 4.00 2.65 +52.5%
William Hill 2.30 3.75 2.50 +52.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.39
2.5 O 1.33 U 3.28
3.5 O 1.83 U 1.96
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.31 9 bks
NO
3.22 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.76
Away -0.5 1.61
Away -0.75 1.43
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.30
Away -1.5 1.26
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.