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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 6 · WED, 27 MAY · 22:00 LOCAL
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INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
:
--
MINS
:
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SECS
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
ROSARIO CENTRAL
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
IND
1 – 1
ROS
most likely scoreline · 14.9% probability
AI PICKS INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE TO WIN 48%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
IND WIN 48%
DRAW 30%
ROS WIN 22%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 78% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 78% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Rosario Central's table position and away form (LWWWW) offset home advantage; expect tight contest.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE FAVORED
48%
Independiente del Valle home form solid (WW) but away-form erosion suggests underlying inconsistency
+20.0%
WHY ROSARIO CENTRAL CHALLENGED
22%
Rosario Central's table position and away form (LWWWW) offset home advantage; expect tight contest.
+30.0%
Rosario Central league-leading with 13 pts and flawless 0 GA, but only 5 matches in — small sample
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Bookmaker odds overweight home at 51.3%; Rosario's away success (4-1-0) and defensive record warrant downward adjustment
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.2
5.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.9
13.4
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.2
7.4
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
3.0
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 1 12.2%
2 — 0 8.2%
Top 5 = 62.2% · rest 37.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.12
52.0%
1.92
+10.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.90
54.0%
1.85
+2.6%
—
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.37
30.0%
3.33
+1.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.90
52.0%
1.92
-1.3%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
78.0%
1.28
-5.9%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.12
22.0%
4.55
-9.5%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.88
48.0%
2.08
-9.8%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
70.0%
1.43
-10.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.