GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–2 · HELLAS VERONA 52% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 78 FULL ANALYSIS →
Coppa Italia · ROUND OF 64 · SUN, 16 AUG · 18:45 LOCAL
HELLAS VERONA
PEN
2 – 2
AFTER PENALTIES HT · 2-1
VIRTUS ENTELLA
⚽ 20' Mattia Compagnon ⚽ 36' Amin Sarr ⚽ 120+1' Samuele Mulattieri (P) ⚽ 120+2' Grigoris Kastanos (P) ⚽ 120+3' Antoine Bernede (P) ⚽ 120+4' Andrias Edmundsson (P)
GOALS
⚽ 16' Bernat Guiu ⚽ 85' Andrea Franzoni (P) ⚽ 120+1' Lucas Felippe (P) ⚽ 120+2' Bernat Guiu (P) ⚽ 120+3' Andrea Franzoni (P) ⚽ 120+4' Giacomo Corona (P) ⚽ 120+5' Mattia Tirelli (P)
Amin Sarr
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Amin Sarr
Hellas Verona · 65 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 7% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
14
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
6
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 26 events
  1. 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bernat Guiu · assist Andrea Franzoni
    VIR
  2. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mattia Compagnon
    HEL
  3. 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Amin Sarr · assist Domagoj Bradarić
    HEL
  4. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Niccolò Squizzato
    VIR
  5. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Stefano Di Mario
    VIR
  6. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tommaso Annoni · assist Leonardo Benedetti
    VIR
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Niccolò Squizzato · assist Lucas Felippe
    VIR
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Amin Sarr · assist Samuele Mulattieri
    HEL
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dailon Rocha Livramento · assist Kacper Sezonienko
    HEL
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Abdou Harroui · assist Leorat Bega
    HEL
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Stefano Di Mario · assist Mattia Tirelli
    VIR
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Francesco Forte · assist Giacomo Corona
    VIR
  13. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Luca Parodi · assist Nicolas Previtali
    VIR
  14. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Domagoj Bradarić · assist Noe Mael Tagne
    HEL
  15. 85'
    Goal · Penalty
    Andrea Franzoni
    VIR
  16. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Mattia Compagnon · assist Salvatore Cerbone
    HEL
  17. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolas Previtali
    VIR
  18. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Lucas Felippe
    VIR
  19. 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty
    Samuele Mulattieri
    HEL
  20. 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Bernat Guiu
    VIR
  21. 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty
    Grigoris Kastanos
    HEL
  22. 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty
    Andrea Franzoni
    VIR
  23. 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Antoine Bernede
    HEL
  24. 120'+4
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Giacomo Corona
    VIR
  25. 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Andrias Edmundsson
    HEL
  26. 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Mattia Tirelli
    VIR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
HELLAS VERONA AVG 7.7
VIRTUS ENTELLA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
4.0
ON TARGET
4.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
455.0
PASSES
378.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
7.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
17.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
HELLAS VERONA 8 shots
Amin Sarr
2/3
Mattia Compagnon
1/2
Abdou Harroui
1/2
Grigoris Kastanos
0/1
VIRTUS ENTELLA 5 shots
Bernat Guiu
2/3
Andrea Franzoni
1/1
Francesco Mezzoni
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
15
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-5-2
4-2-3-1
3-5-2
1
NICOLA LE
6
DOMAGOJ B
5
ANDRIAS E
28
TOBIAS SL
2
DANIEL OY
 7.7
20
GRIGORIS
24
ANTOINE B
14
DAILON RO
 7.3
21
ABDOU HAR
 8.2
11
MATTIA CO
 8.3
9
AMIN SARR
 6.9
22
FEDERICO
27
MATTIA AL
6
ANDREA TI
23
LUCA PARO
26
STEFANO D
18
TOMMASO A
5
NICCOLò S
 7.7
24
ANDREA FR
 6.7
94
FRANCESCO
 7.6
11
BERNAT GU
32
FRANCESCO
SUBSTITUTES · HELLAS VERONA
70
Fallou Cham
D
48
Seid Korać
D
31
Charlys
M
71
Davide De Ba...
D
38
Ruben Akale
M
37
Nicolò Calab...
D
34
Simone Peril...
G
22
Giacomo Toni...
G
35
Salvatore Ce...
F
33
Noe Mael Tag...
D
19
Samuele Mula...
F
18
Leorat Bega
M
79
Kacper Sezon...
F
90
Ioan Vermesa...
F
COACH: Marco Baroni
SUBSTITUTES · VIRTUS ENTELLA
91
Simone Colom...
G
16
Riccardo Tur...
M
39
Mattia Motol...
D
15
Ivan Marconi
D
12
Edoardo Torr...
G
9
Giacomo Coro...
F
3
Nicolas Prev...
D
17
Mattia Tirel...
F
55
Lucas Felipp...
M
80
Leonardo Ben...
M
28
Mattia Valor...
M
COACH: Andrea Chiappella
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VIR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
E. Manedo Mazzoni
—
HEL MANAGER
Marco Baroni
head coach
VIR MANAGER
Andrea Chiappella
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
HEL WINS
0
DRAWS
0
VIR WINS
100%
3 – 1
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 120'+5
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Mattia Tirelli
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Andrias Edmundsson
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+4
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Giacomo Corona
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Antoine Bernede
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+3
    Goal · Penalty · Andrea Franzoni
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Penalty · Grigoris Kastanos
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Bernat Guiu
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Samuele Mulattieri
    Penalty Shootout
  • 120'+1
    Goal · Penalty · Lucas Felippe
    Penalty Shootout
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolas Previtali
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Mattia Compagnon
  • 85'
    Goal · Penalty · Andrea Franzoni
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Domagoj Bradarić
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Luca Parodi
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Francesco Forte
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Stefano Di Mario
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Abdou Harroui
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dailon Rocha Livramento
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Amin Sarr
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Niccolò Squizzato
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tommaso Annoni
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Stefano Di Mario
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Niccolò Squizzato
  • 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Amin Sarr
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mattia Compagnon
  • 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bernat Guiu
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
HELLAS VERONA WIN
1.75
57.1% implied
↑ best 1.83
DRAW
3.54
28.2% implied
↑ best 3.80
VIRTUS ENTELLA WIN
4.66
21.5% implied
↑ best 5.25

Market favors Hellas Verona. AI projects HELLAS VERONA 52% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HELLAS VERONA 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.50 4.85 +19.4%
1xBet 1.77 3.48 4.54 +19.3%
Bet365 1.80 3.50 4.50 +19.4%
Betano 1.78 3.75 5.10 +21.3%
Betfair 1.75 3.50 4.60 +19.4%
BetVictor 1.75 3.40 4.33 +18.6%
Dafabet 1.76 3.75 4.90 +21.3%
Marathonbet 1.75 3.48 4.55 +19.3%
Pinnacle 1.83 3.57 4.64 +20.0%
SBO 1.68 3.35 4.24 +18.1%
Unibet 1.65 3.80 5.25 +21.7%
William Hill 1.75 3.40 4.40 +18.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.20
2.5 O 2.03 U 1.76
3.5 O 3.59 U 1.25
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.89 9 bks
NO
1.82 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.45
Away -0.5 2.07
Away -0.75 1.78
Away -1 1.55
Away -1.25 1.42
Away -1.5 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.