GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · FRANCE 74% · Value: Over 2.5 68%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · ROUND OF 32 · TUE, 30 JUN · 21:00 LOCAL
FRANCE
1ST · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W W W
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SWEDEN
D L W
· 2ND · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45' Kylian Mbappé ⚽ 53' B. Barcola ⚽ 74' Kylian Mbappé
GOALS
Kylian Mbappé
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kylian Mbappé
France · Captain · 85 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 34% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
9.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

3.16
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.56
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
25
TOTAL SHOTS
6
12
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
9
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 21'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Kylian Mbappé
    FRA
  2. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kylian Mbappé · assist Ousmane Dembélé
    FRA
  3. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    B. Barcola · assist Michael Olise
    FRA
  4. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Elliot Stroud · assist Taha Abdi Ali
    SWE
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Bergvall · assist Besfort Zeneli
    SWE
  6. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kylian Mbappé · assist Michael Olise
    FRA
  7. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    J. Koundé · assist Malo Gusto
    FRA
  8. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ousmane Dembélé · assist Désiré Doué
    FRA
  9. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lucas Digne · assist Theo Hernández
    FRA
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Daniel Svensson · assist M. Svanberg
    SWE
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Y. Ayari · assist Benjamin Nygren
    SWE
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kylian Mbappé · assist J. Mateta
    FRA
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Michael Olise · assist Rayan Cherki
    FRA
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Alexander Isak · assist Gustaf Nilsson
    SWE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FRANCE AVG 8.3
SWEDEN AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.2
xG
0.6
25.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
12.0
ON TARGET
2.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
4.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
551.0
PASSES
343.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
1.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
GK SAVES
9.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FRANCE 15 shots
Kylian Mbappé
4/5
Michael Olise
3/5
B. Barcola
2/3
Aurélien Tchouaméni
0/1
Ousmane Dembélé
0/1
SWEDEN 2 shots
Viktor Gyökeres
1/1
M. Svanberg
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 3.16 – 0.56
2.5 1.9 1.3 0.6 3.2 0.0 HT 45' 53' 74' H 3.16 A 0.56 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 64%
36% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
16
MIKE MAIG
3
LUCAS DIG
17
WILLIAM S
4
DAYOT UPA
5
J. KOUNDé
14
A. RABIOT
 7.7
8
AURéLIEN
 7.9
12
B. BARCOL
 8.9
11
MICHAEL O
 7.5
7
OUSMANE D
 9.6
10
KYLIAN MB
 8.7
1
JACOB WID
5
G. GUDMUN
3
VICTOR LI
2
GUSTAF LA
8
DANIEL SV
24
ELLIOT ST
 6.7
18
Y. AYARI
7
LUCAS BER
11
A. ELANGA
9
ALEXANDER
 6.9
17
VIKTOR GY
SUBSTITUTES · FRANCE
24
Rayan Cherki
M
25
Maghnes Akli...
M
18
Warren Zaïre...
M
13
N'Golo Kanté
M
22
J. Mateta
F
20
Désiré Doué
F
6
Manu Koné
M
19
Theo Hernánd...
D
15
Ibrahima Kon...
D
26
Maxence Lacr...
D
21
Lucas Hernán...
D
2
Malo Gusto
D
1
Brice Samba
G
23
R. Risser
G
9
Marcus Thura...
F
COACH: Didier Deschamps
SUBSTITUTES · SWEDEN
13
Ken Sema
M
16
Jesper Karls...
M
19
M. Svanberg
M
10
Benjamin Nyg...
F
25
Gustaf Nilss...
F
6
H. Johansson
M
15
Carl Starfel...
D
20
E. Smith
D
14
H. Ekdal
D
12
Viktor Johan...
G
23
K. Nordfeldt
G
26
Taha Abdi Al...
M
22
Besfort Zene...
M
21
A. Bernhards...
F
COACH: Graham Potter
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FRA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SWE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
—
FRA MANAGER
Didier Deschamps
head coach
SWE MANAGER
Graham Potter
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
FRA WINS
0
DRAWS
2
SWE WINS
60%
40%
8 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 5 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
FRANCE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W W
SWEDEN LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
FRANCE #1
Won · already at 9 pts
Round of 32
SWEDEN #2
Lost · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Alexander Isak
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Michael Olise
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kylian Mbappé
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Y. Ayari
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Daniel Svensson
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lucas Digne
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ousmane Dembélé
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · J. Koundé
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kylian Mbappé
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Bergvall
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Elliot Stroud
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · B. Barcola
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kylian Mbappé
  • 21'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Kylian Mbappé
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
FRANCE WIN
1.27
78.7% implied
↑ best 1.31
DRAW
6.03
16.6% implied
↑ best 6.52
SWEDEN WIN
10.60
9.4% implied
↑ best 13.00

Market favors France. AI projects FRANCE 74% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FRANCE 74% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.25 6.00 9.80 +1.3%
1xBet 1.31 6.52 9.90 +2.7%
Bet365 1.25 6.00 11.00 +1.3%
Betano 1.30 5.80 11.75 +0.8%
Betfair 1.25 5.50 13.00 +0.3%
BetVictor 1.25 5.75 11.00 +0.6%
Dafabet 1.29 6.00 10.00 +1.3%
Marathonbet 1.31 6.30 9.60 +2.1%
Pinnacle 1.29 6.20 11.50 +1.9%
SBO 1.28 6.20 9.20 +1.9%
Unibet 1.25 6.25 11.00 +2.0%
William Hill 1.25 5.80 9.50 +0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.95
2.5 O 1.41 U 2.89
3.5 O 2.02 U 1.81
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.72 9 bks
NO
2.04 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.71
Away -0.5 3.74
Away -0.75 3.25
Away -1 2.95
Away -1.25 2.40
Away -1.5 2.09
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.