GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · FLAMENGO 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Copa Libertadores · ROUND OF 16 · THU, 20 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
FLAMENGO
1ST · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W D W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
CRUZEIRO
D W D D W
· 2ND · 11 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 35' G. de Arrascaeta ⚽ 62' Samuel Lino
GOALS
⚽ 51' Lucas Romero
Samuel Lino
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Samuel Lino
Flamengo · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 37% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.23
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.48
52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
14
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
3
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    G. de Arrascaeta · assist Pedro
    FLA
  2. 48'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - video review
    Kaio Jorge
    CRU
  3. 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lucas Romero · assist Gerson
    CRU
  4. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Samuel Lino · assist Pedro
    FLA
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    G. de Arrascaeta · assist Lucas Paquetá
    FLA
  6. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    G. Plata · assist J. Carrascal
    FLA
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Wesley · assist João Costa
    CRU
  8. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    William
    CRU
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pedro · assist Bruno Henrique
    FLA
  10. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ayrton Lucas · assist G. Varela
    FLA
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    William · assist Fagner
    CRU
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gabriel Rojas · assist Luciano Rodríguez
    CRU
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jorginho · assist Evertton Araujo
    FLA
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gerson · assist Bruno Rodrigues
    CRU
  15. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bruno Henrique
    FLA
  16. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    João Costa
    CRU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FLAMENGO AVG 7.5
CRUZEIRO AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
0.5
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
9.0
ON TARGET
3.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
4.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
463.0
PASSES
422.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
6.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FLAMENGO 11 shots
G. de Arrascaeta
2/4
Samuel Lino
2/3
Pedro
1/3
Jorginho
0/1
CRUZEIRO 4 shots
Matheus Pereira
1/2
Lucas Romero
1/1
Luciano Rodríguez
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.23 – 0.48
1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 35' 62' 51' H 2.23 A 0.48 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
1
A. ROSSI
 7.7
9
PEDRO
 7.9
16
SAMUEL LI
 7.7
10
G. DE ARR
19
G. PLATA
 7.0
21
JORGINHO
 7.2
5
E. PULGAR
6
AYRTON LU
4
LéO PEREI
3
LéO ORTIZ
22
EMERSON R
 7.0
81
OTáVIO CO
19
KAIO JORG
20
WESLEY
 7.0
10
MATHEUS P
99
KENY ARRO
8
GERSON
 7.3
29
LUCAS ROM
27
GABRIEL R
34
JONATHAN
15
FABRíCIO
12
WILLIAM
SUBSTITUTES · FLAMENGO
13
Danilo
D
7
Luiz Araújo
F
99
Lorran
M
8
Saúl
M
77
Johnny Goes
D
42
Andrew
G
52
Evertton Ara...
M
27
Bruno Henriq...
F
2
G. Varela
D
15
J. Carrascal
M
20
Lucas Paquet...
M
64
Wallace Yan
F
COACH: Leonardo Jardim
SUBSTITUTES · CRUZEIRO
5
Zé Lucas
M
38
Felipe Morai...
M
94
Wanderson
F
16
Lucas Silva
M
25
Lucas Villal...
D
43
João Marcelo
D
1
Cássio
G
9
Bruno Rodrig...
F
97
Luciano Rodr...
F
23
Fagner
D
67
João Costa
F
70
Kaique Kenji
F
COACH: Jorge Artur
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FLA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CRU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
G. Tejera
—
FLA MANAGER
Leonardo Jardim
head coach
CRU MANAGER
Jorge Artur
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
FLA WINS
4
DRAWS
1
CRU WINS
50%
40%
10%
12 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 10
13 Aug 2026
Cruzeiro
1 – 1
Flamengo
D
FLAMENGO LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D W
CRUZEIRO LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
FLAMENGO #1
Won · already at 16 pts
Playoffs
CRUZEIRO #2
Lost · already at 11 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 +5 13
W W L W W
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W W D W
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 +4 11
L D D W W
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 +4 13
W W D W W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 +9 16
W W D W W
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16
W W D W W
1 Rosario Central 5 4 1 0 +9 13
W W W W D
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10
L W W L W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 5 4 1 0 +7 13
W D W W W
1 U. Catolica 5 3 1 1 +3 10
W D W W L
1 Corinthians 5 3 2 0 +6 11
D D W W W
1 Cerro Porteno 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W D W L
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12
W W L L W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 0 8
W W D L L
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W D D W L
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 +1 10
W L D W W
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 +5 11
W L W D W
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 +8 13
L W W W W
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Independiente del Valle 5 3 1 1 +4 10
W L W W D
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 +1 9
W L D D W
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8
D L W W L
2 Bolívar 5 1 2 2 0 5
L D W D L
2 Cruzeiro 5 2 2 1 +1 8
D D W L W
2 Platense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
L D W W L
2 Palmeiras 5 2 2 1 +2 8
L W D W D
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12
L W W W L
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Bolívar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
L L D W D
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 +1 7
L D L L W
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 -1 8
W W D L L
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 -3 6
L L L W L
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
3 UCV 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L W L L
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 UCV 5 2 0 3 -5 6
L W L L W
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7
L W W L D
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8
W D L L W
3 Fluminense 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Boca Juniors 5 2 1 2 +2 7
D L L W W
3 Santa Fe 5 1 2 2 -2 5
W D L L D
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 0 3 -1 6
L L W L W
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 -4 9
W L L W W
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 -7 3
L L D L D
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 -10 3
L L W L L
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 -4 3
L D D L L
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 -6 4
L W L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 5 0 0 5 -8 0
L L L L L
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3
L L W L L
4 Junior 5 1 1 3 -3 4
W L L L D
4 Penarol 5 0 3 2 -3 3
D D L L D
4 Barcelona SC 5 1 0 4 -6 3
L W L L L
4 Deportivo La Guaira 5 0 3 2 -5 3
L D L D D
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6
D D L W L
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1
L L D L L
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 -9 0
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · João Costa
    Foul
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Bruno Henrique
    Foul
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gerson
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jorginho
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gabriel Rojas
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · William
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ayrton Lucas
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pedro
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · William
    Foul
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Wesley
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · G. Plata
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · G. de Arrascaeta
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Samuel Lino
  • 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lucas Romero
  • 48'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - video review · Kaio Jorge
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · G. de Arrascaeta
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
FLAMENGO WIN
1.65
60.6% implied
↑ best 1.72
DRAW
3.71
27% implied
↑ best 3.90
CRUZEIRO WIN
5.25
19% implied
↑ best 5.52

Market favors Flamengo. AI projects FLAMENGO 62%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FLAMENGO 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.66 3.65 5.20 +1.8%
1xBet 1.68 3.78 5.50 +2.5%
888Sport 1.65 3.50 5.00 +1.4%
Bet365 1.65 3.80 5.00 +1.4%
Betano 1.72 3.85 5.40 +3.9%
Betfair 1.60 3.80 5.50 -0.5%
BetVictor 1.62 3.90 5.50 +0.3%
Dafabet 1.67 3.85 5.40 +2.1%
Marathonbet 1.63 3.68 5.35 +0.7%
Pinnacle 1.67 3.82 5.52 +2.1%
SBO 1.64 3.39 4.49 +1.0%
Superbet 1.66 3.85 5.20 +1.8%
Unibet 1.63 3.60 5.50 +0.7%
William Hill 1.65 3.50 5.00 +1.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.47
2.5 O 1.91 U 1.87
3.5 O 3.27 U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.87 11 bks
NO
1.84 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.73
Away -0.5 2.23
Away -0.75 1.97
Away -1 1.69
Away -1.25 1.53
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.