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DFB Pokal · ROUND OF 64 · SAT, 22 AUG · 13:30 LOCAL
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FC VIKTORIA KöLN
PEN
1 – 1
AFTER PENALTIES
1. FC NüRNBERG
⚽ 90+6' Meiko Sponsel ⚽ 120+1' Jakob Sachse ⚽ 120+2' Alexander Prokopenko ⚽ 120+3' Pascal Fallmann ⚽ 120+4' Tobias Eisenhuth ⚽ 120+5' Niklas Swider ⚽ 120+6' Noah Le Bret Maboulou ⚽ 120+7' Niklas Jahn
GOALS
⚽ 56' Rafael Lubach ⚽ 120+1' Julian Justvan ⚽ 120+2' Kristian Mandic ⚽ 120+3' Adam Markhiev ⚽ 120+4' Giannis Masouras ⚽ 120+5' Javier Fernandez ⚽ 120+6' Fynn Otto ⚽ 120+7' Can Yahya Moustfa
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 18/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
FC
1 – 1
1.
most likely scoreline · 14.5% probability
AI PICKS FC VIKTORIA KöLN TO WIN 45%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
FC WIN 45%
DRAW 28%
1. WIN 27%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 73% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 73% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Insufficient data — treat as weak baseline; pre-season cup match with no prior form or stats.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY FC VIKTORIA KöLN FAVORED
45%
No recent form, season stats, or H2H history available
+25.0%
DFB Pokal early round (pre-season timing) adds unpredictability
+20.0%
Slight home-venue baseline only; both teams equally opaque
+15.0%
WHY 1. FC NüRNBERG CHALLENGED
27%
No recent form, season stats, or H2H history available
+25.0%
DFB Pokal early round (pre-season timing) adds unpredictability
+20.0%
Slight home-venue baseline only; both teams equally opaque
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • No recent form, season stats, or H2H history available
  • DFB Pokal early round (pre-season timing) adds unpredictability
  • Slight home-venue baseline only; both teams equally opaque
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 56' RAFAEL LUB ⚽ 96' MEIKO SPON ⚽ 121' JULIAN JUS ⚽ 121' JAKOB SACH ⚽ 122' KRISTIAN M ⚽ 122' ALEXANDER ⚽ 123' ADAM MARKH ⚽ 123' PASCAL FAL ⚽ 124' TOBIAS EIS ⚽ 124' GIANNIS MA ⚽ 125' JAVIER FER ⚽ 125' NIKLAS SWI ⚽ 126' FYNN OTTO ⚽ 126' NOAH LE BR ⚽ 127' CAN YAHYA ⚽ 127' NIKLAS JAH
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 16 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.6
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.5
13.5
6.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.8
7.2
3.4
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
2.8
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.5%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.6%
2 — 0 7.8%
Top 5 = 61.8% · rest 38.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.47
45.0%
2.22
+100.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.13
73.0%
1.37
+55.5%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.10
28.0%
3.57
+14.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
72.0%
1.39
-13.5%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.50
52.0%
1.92
-22.2%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.46
48.0%
2.08
-30.1%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.19
55.0%
1.82
-34.8%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.66
27.0%
3.70
-55.2%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.