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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · FC TOKYO 62% · Value: BTTS Yes 61%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SUN, 10 MAY · 06:00 LOCAL
FC TOKYO
2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D L W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
TOKYO VERDY
D L W D L
· 5TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 41' Sei Muroya ⚽ 90+5' Motoki Nagakura
GOALS
⚽ 29' Koki Morita
Yuya Nagasawa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yuya Nagasawa
Tokyo Verdy · 97 mins
· 7% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

68%
BALL POSSESSION %
32%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
12
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
60%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kento Hashimoto
    FC
  2. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Koki Morita · assist Yuan Matsuhashi
    TOK
  3. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sei Muroya · assist Ryunosuke Sato
    FC
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Issei Kumatoriya · assist Yuta Arai
    TOK
  5. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Keita Endo
    FC
  6. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yuan Matsuhashi · assist Yuya Fukuda
    TOK
  7. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Yuto Nagatomo · assist Kento Hashimoto
    FC
  8. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Marcelo Ryan · assist Motoki Nagakura
    FC
  9. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alexander Scholz
    FC
  10. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ryunosuke Sato · assist Teruhito Nakagawa
    FC
  11. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Masato Morishige · assist Hayato Inamura
    FC
  12. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Koki Morita · assist Kosuke Saito
    TOK
  13. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Keita Endo · assist Fuki Yamada
    FC
  14. 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Motoki Nagakura · assist Kein Sato
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FC TOKYO AVG 7.4
TOKYO VERDY AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
9.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
68.0%
POSSESSION %
32.0%
505.0
PASSES
230.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
60.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
14.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FC TOKYO 6 shots
Sei Muroya
3/3
Kein Sato
0/2
Motoki Nagakura
1/1
TOKYO VERDY 5 shots
Itsuki Someno
0/2
Daiki Fukazawa
2/2
Koki Morita
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 71%
29% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
4
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 3-4-2-1
4-4-2
3-4-2-1
81
KIM SEUNG
5
YUTO NAGA
3
MASATO MO
24
ALEXANDER
 7.5
2
SEI MUROY
 6.9
22
KEITA END
27
KYOTA TOK
18
KENTO HAS
 7.5
16
KEIN SATO
 7.0
23
RYUNOSUKE
9
MARCELO R
 8.0
21
YUYA NAGA
5
INOUE RYO
4
NAOKI HAY
15
KAITO SUZ
 7.2
23
DAIKI FUK
 7.9
10
KOKI MORI
16
REI HIRAK
 6.9
22
YOSUKE UC
25
ISSEI KUM
7
YUAN MATS
 7.5
9
ITSUKI SO
SUBSTITUTES · FC TOKYO
39
Teruhito Nak...
F
28
Leon Nozawa
F
8
Takahiro Ko
M
71
Fuki Yamada
M
42
Kento Hashim...
D
17
Hayato Inamu...
D
15
Rio Omori
D
1
Hayate Tanak...
G
26
Motoki Nagak...
F
COACH: Rikizo Matsuhashi
SUBSTITUTES · TOKYO VERDY
27
Ryosuke Shir...
F
24
Shion Nakaya...
M
8
Kosuke Saito
M
35
Shuto Tanabe
D
6
Kazuya Miyah...
D
1
Matheus Vido...
G
14
Yuya Fukuda
M
40
Yuta Arai
M
45
Shimon Teran...
F
COACH: Jofuku Hiroshi
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Kamimura
—
FC MANAGER
Rikizo Matsuhashi
head coach
TOK MANAGER
Jofuku Hiroshi
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
FC WINS
5
DRAWS
0
TOK WINS
16.7%
83.3%
6 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
1.83
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 6
22 Mar 2026
Tokyo Verdy
0 – 0
FC Tokyo
D
15 Sep 2025
FC Tokyo
1 – 0
Tokyo Verdy
W
02 Apr 2025
Tokyo Verdy
2 – 2
FC Tokyo
D
17 Aug 2024
FC Tokyo
0 – 0
Tokyo Verdy
D
13 Apr 2024
Tokyo Verdy
2 – 2
FC Tokyo
D
FC TOKYO LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L W
TOKYO VERDY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
FC TOKYO #2
Won · already at 37 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
TOKYO VERDY #4
Lost · already at 28 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Motoki Nagakura
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Keita Endo
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Koki Morita
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Masato Morishige
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ryunosuke Sato
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alexander Scholz
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Marcelo Ryan
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Yuto Nagatomo
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yuan Matsuhashi
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Keita Endo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Issei Kumatoriya
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sei Muroya
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Koki Morita
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kento Hashimoto
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FC TOKYO WIN
1.84
54.3% implied
↑ best 1.91
DRAW
3.28
30.5% implied
↑ best 3.49
TOKYO VERDY WIN
4.43
22.6% implied
↑ best 4.75

Market favors FC Tokyo. AI projects FC TOKYO 62% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC TOKYO 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.83 3.30 4.40 +7.4%
1xBet 1.82 3.34 4.57 +7.1%
888Sport 1.85 3.20 4.20 +7.9%
Bet365 1.85 3.30 4.50 +7.9%
Betano 1.85 3.30 4.40 +7.9%
Betfair 1.80 3.25 4.20 +6.4%
BetVictor 1.85 3.30 4.75 +7.9%
Dafabet 1.91 3.30 4.50 +9.6%
Marathonbet 1.80 3.34 4.60 +6.4%
Pinnacle 1.88 3.49 4.62 +8.8%
SBO 1.85 3.00 3.92 +7.9%
Unibet 1.77 3.35 4.70 +5.5%
William Hill 1.85 3.20 4.20 +7.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.43 U 2.66
2.5 O 2.34 U 1.56
3.5 O 4.48 U 1.18
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.11 10 bks
NO
1.65 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.32
Away -0.5 1.96
Away -0.75 1.70
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.36
Away -1.5 1.27
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.