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Europa Conference League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 30 JUL · 16:30 LOCAL
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FC LEVADIA TALLINN
AET
1 – 3
AFTER EXTRA TIME
IFK GOTEBORG
⚽ 120+1' Maksimilian Skvortsov
GOALS
⚽ 45+2' Tobias Heintz ⚽ 57' Adam Bergmark Wiberg ⚽ 88' Sam Larsson ⚽ 93' Adam Bergmark Wiberg ⚽ 103' Saidou Alioum Moubarak
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
FC
1 – 0
IFK
most likely scoreline · 17.1% probability
AI PICKS FC LEVADIA TALLINN TO WIN 52%
FT 1 – 3
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
FC WIN 52%
DRAW 32%
IFK WIN 16%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 84% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 84% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Very early in match (2') with sparse data; Levadia slight home favourite but low confidence — treat as weak heuristic.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY FC LEVADIA TALLINN FAVORED
52%
Levadia's recent form (WWW) and home advantage vs Goteborg's single-game loss sample
+25.0%
H2H split: 2-1 Levadia win 9 days ago suggests home edge, though sample tiny
+20.0%
Extreme data sparsity: no season stats, no lineups, no xG — confidence floor is low
+15.0%
WHY IFK GOTEBORG CHALLENGED
16%
Levadia's recent form (WWW) and home advantage vs Goteborg's single-game loss sample
+25.0%
H2H split: 2-1 Levadia win 9 days ago suggests home edge, though sample tiny
+20.0%
Extreme data sparsity: no season stats, no lineups, no xG — confidence floor is low
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Levadia's recent form (WWW) and home advantage vs Goteborg's single-game loss sample
  • H2H split: 2-1 Levadia win 9 days ago suggests home edge, though sample tiny
  • Extreme data sparsity: no season stats, no lineups, no xG — confidence floor is low
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 47' TOBIAS HEI ⚽ 57' ADAM BERGM ⚽ 88' SAM LARSSO ⚽ 93' ADAM BERGM ⚽ 103' SAIDOU ALI ⚽ 121' MAKSIMILIA
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 6 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.4
4.3
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
17.1
13.0
4.9
1.3
0.2
·
·
2
9.7
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.7
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.1%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.0%
0 — 1 11.4%
2 — 0 9.7%
Top 5 = 66.1% · rest 33.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.02
52.0%
1.92
+57.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.67
84.0%
1.19
+40.1%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.58
32.0%
3.13
+14.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
68.0%
1.47
-15.5%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
48.0%
2.08
-36.1%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.58
38.0%
2.63
-40.0%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.49
28.0%
3.57
-58.2%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.10
16.0%
6.25
-66.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.