GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 58% · Value: BTTS Yes 78%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 20 · WED, 19 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
FC CINCINNATI
6TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W L W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
NEW YORK CITY FC
D L D W W
· 7TH · 27 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 11' K. Mboma Dem ⚽ 90+1' Evander
GOALS
⚽ 21' Luighi Hanri
Evander
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Evander
FC Cincinnati · Captain · 76 mins
· 36% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.04
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.41
57%
BALL POSSESSION %
43%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
11
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Mboma Dem · assist K. Denkey
    FC
  2. 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luighi Hanri · assist A. Ojeda
    NEW
  3. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matt Miazga
    FC
  4. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Keaton Parks
    NEW
  5. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    O. Nwobodo
    FC
  6. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luighi Hanri
    NEW
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matt Miazga · assist T. Hadebe
    FC
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    E. Echenique · assist Bryan Josías Ramírez León
    FC
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Luighi Hanri · assist Seymour Garfield-Reid
    NEW
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    B. Traoré · assist M. Jones
    NEW
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    O. Nwobodo · assist S. Gidi
    FC
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    K. Denkey · assist Tom Barlow
    FC
  13. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    N. Fernández Mercau
    NEW
  14. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Keaton Parks · assist J. Shore
    NEW
  15. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    K. O'Toole · assist Nico Cavallo
    NEW
  16. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    A. Ojeda · assist Talles Magno
    NEW
  17. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Gidi
    FC
  18. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    K. Smith · assist B. Anunga
    FC
  19. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Evander · assist G. Valenzuela
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FC CINCINNATI AVG 7.4
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
1.4
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
5.0
ON TARGET
5.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
57.0%
POSSESSION %
43.0%
473.0
PASSES
342.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
4.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FC CINCINNATI 7 shots
Evander
1/4
K. Mboma Dem
2/3
NEW YORK CITY FC 5 shots
Luighi Hanri
3/3
Keaton Parks
0/1
N. Fernández Mercau
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.04 – 1.41
1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 11' 90' 21' H 1.04 A 1.41 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 4-2-3-1
3-5-2
4-2-3-1
7.3
18
R. CELENT
24
K. SMITH
21
MATT MIAZ
 7.3
12
M. ROBINS
66
E. ECHENI
 6.9
22
G. VALENZ
5
O. NWOBOD
 7.6
17
K. MBOMA
20
PAVEL BUC
 7.7
10
EVANDER
9
K. DENKEY
49
M. FREESE
22
K. O&APOS
 6.9
34
RAUL GUST
6
J. SANDS
24
T. GRAY
8
A. PEREA
 7.2
55
KEATON PA
9
B. TRAORé
 6.9
7
N. FERNáN
 7.0
26
A. OJEDA
 7.3
20
LUIGHI HA
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
16
Tom Barlow
F
27
B. Anunga
M
29
Bryan Josías...
D
11
S. Gidi
M
2
A. Powell
D
15
T. Hadebe
D
4
N. Hagglund
D
13
E. Louro
G
99
A. Jabbari
F
COACH: Pat Noonan
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
88
M. Jones
F
99
Seymour Garf...
F
15
Kevin Pierre
M
32
J. Shore
M
35
M. Ilenič
D
2
Nico Cavallo
D
23
Maxwell Murr...
D
30
T. Romero
G
11
Talles Magno
F
COACH: Pascal Jansen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Bazakos
—
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
FC WINS
2
DRAWS
4
NEW WINS
40%
20%
40%
16 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
22 Apr 2026
New York City FC
4 – 4
FC Cincinnati
D
23 Aug 2025
FC Cincinnati
0 – 1
New York City FC
L
04 May 2025
New York City FC
1 – 0
FC Cincinnati
L
09 Nov 2024
FC Cincinnati
0 – 0
New York City FC
D
02 Nov 2024
New York City FC
3 – 1
FC Cincinnati
L
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W L W
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
FC CINCINNATI #6
Won · already at 31 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
NEW YORK CITY FC #7
Lost · already at 27 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Evander
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · K. Smith
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Gidi
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · A. Ojeda
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · K. O'Toole
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Keaton Parks
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · N. Fernández Mercau
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · K. Denkey
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · O. Nwobodo
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · B. Traoré
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Luighi Hanri
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · E. Echenique
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matt Miazga
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luighi Hanri
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · O. Nwobodo
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · Keaton Parks
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matt Miazga
  • 21'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luighi Hanri
  • 11'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Mboma Dem
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FC CINCINNATI WIN
1.85
54.1% implied
↑ best 1.88
DRAW
4.03
24.8% implied
↑ best 4.20
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
3.63
27.5% implied
↑ best 3.80

Market favors FC Cincinnati. AI projects DRAW 58% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.86 4.00 3.55 +33.0%
888Sport 1.83 4.00 3.40 +33.0%
Bet365 1.83 4.10 3.75 +33.6%
Betano 1.88 4.05 3.70 +33.3%
Betfair 1.80 4.20 3.80 +34.2%
BetVictor 1.83 4.00 3.70 +33.0%
Dafabet 1.88 4.10 3.75 +33.6%
Marathonbet 1.83 3.98 3.64 +32.9%
Pinnacle 1.88 4.15 3.80 +33.9%
SBO 1.85 3.82 3.50 +31.8%
Superbet 1.87 4.00 3.70 +33.0%
Unibet 1.87 3.95 3.55 +32.7%
William Hill 1.83 4.00 3.40 +33.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.75
2.5 O 1.45 U 2.68
3.5 O 2.13 U 1.69
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 10 bks
NO
2.63 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.26
Away -0.5 1.96
Away -0.75 1.75
Away -1 1.53
Away -1.25 1.43
Away -1.5 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.