AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · FAGIANO OKAYAMA 38%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 24 MAY · 03:55 LOCAL
FAGIANO OKAYAMA
6TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L W D
FT
2 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
CEREZO OSAKA
D W W D D
· 2ND · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 71' Leo Gaucho ⚽ 90' Leo Gaucho
GOALS
⚽ 8' Yumeki Yokoyama ⚽ 56' Yumeki Yokoyama ⚽ 81' Satoki Uejo
Yumeki Yokoyama
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yumeki Yokoyama
Cerezo Osaka · 64 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 7% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
J1 League: Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
14
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
71%
PASS ACCURACY %
72%
8
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yumeki Yokoyama · assist Dion Cools
    CER
  2. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ayumu Ohata
    CER
  3. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Takaya Kimura · assist Leo Gaucho
    FAG
  4. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yumeki Yokoyama · assist Motohiko Nakajima
    CER
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kosei Ogura · assist Jun Nishikawa
    FAG
  6. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Towa Yamane · assist Masaya Matsumoto
    FAG
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Werik Popó · assist Lucão
    FAG
  8. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Thiago Andrade
    CER
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Thiago Andrade · assist Solomon Sakuragawa
    CER
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yumeki Yokoyama · assist Shion Homma
    CER
  11. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Leo Gaucho · assist Lucão
    FAG
  12. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yoshitake Suzuki
    FAG
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Masaya Shibayama · assist Satoki Uejo
    CER
  14. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Motohiko Nakajima · assist Kyohei Yoshino
    CER
  15. 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Satoki Uejo · assist Solomon Sakuragawa
    CER
  16. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Yoshitake Suzuki · assist Ryo Takeuchi
    FAG
  17. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hiroshi Omori
    FAG
  18. 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Leo Gaucho
    FAG
  19. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ayumu Ohata · assist Hayato Tanaka
    CER
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FAGIANO OKAYAMA AVG 7.2
CEREZO OSAKA AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
8.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
293.0
PASSES
304.0
71.0%
PASS ACCURACY
72.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
6.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FAGIANO OKAYAMA 9 shots
Léo Gaúcho
3/4
Towa Yamane
2/2
Kosuke Shirai
1/1
Lucão
0/1
Kosei Ogura
0/1
CEREZO OSAKA 4 shots
Yumeki Yokoyama
2/3
Satoki Uejo
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
SUBSTITUTES · FAGIANO OKAYAMA
17
Rui Sueyoshi
M
45
Noah Kenshin...
M
26
Haruka Motoy...
D
1
Lennart Mose...
G
99
Lucão
F
66
Jun Nishikaw...
M
28
Masaya Matsu...
M
9
Léo Gaúcho
F
7
Ryo Takeuchi
M
COACH: Takashi Kiyama
SUBSTITUTES · CEREZO OSAKA
7
Satoki Uejo
M
26
Eiji Kubo
M
8
Shinji Kagaw...
M
3
Hayato Tanak...
D
6
Kyohei Nobor...
D
21
Jin Hyeon Ki...
G
9
Solomon Saku...
F
19
Shion Homma
M
35
Kyohei Yoshi...
M
COACH: Arthur Papas
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ryo Tanimoto, Japan
FAG MANAGER
Takashi Kiyama
head coach
CER MANAGER
Arthur Papas
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
FAG WINS
2
DRAWS
5
CER WINS
12.5%
25%
62.5%
8 12
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 8
FAGIANO OKAYAMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W D
CEREZO OSAKA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
FAGIANO OKAYAMA #5
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
CEREZO OSAKA #2
Won · already at 31 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ayumu Ohata
  • 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Leo Gaucho
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hiroshi Omori
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Yoshitake Suzuki
  • 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Satoki Uejo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Motohiko Nakajima
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Masaya Shibayama
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yoshitake Suzuki
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Leo Gaucho
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yumeki Yokoyama
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Thiago Andrade
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Thiago Andrade
    misses next match
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Werik Popó
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Towa Yamane
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kosei Ogura
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yumeki Yokoyama
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Takaya Kimura
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ayumu Ohata
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yumeki Yokoyama
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
FAGIANO OKAYAMA WIN
2.78
36% implied
↑ best 2.85
DRAW
3.29
30.4% implied
↑ best 3.50
CEREZO OSAKA WIN
2.46
40.7% implied
↑ best 2.56

Market favors Cerezo Osaka. AI projects FAGIANO OKAYAMA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FAGIANO OKAYAMA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.85 3.50 2.33 +3.4%
1xBet 2.76 3.26 2.48 +1.8%
888Sport 2.75 3.10 2.45 +1.6%
Bet365 2.80 3.30 2.50 +2.3%
Betano 2.72 3.25 2.52 +1.2%
Betfair 2.70 3.20 2.30 +1.0%
BetVictor 2.75 3.40 2.50 +2.6%
Dafabet 2.80 3.40 2.50 +2.6%
Marathonbet 2.76 3.26 2.48 +1.8%
Pinnacle 2.84 3.38 2.56 +2.8%
SBO 2.70 3.22 2.45 +1.0%
Superbet 2.82 3.30 2.55 +2.5%
Unibet 2.85 3.35 2.35 +2.9%
William Hill 2.75 3.10 2.45 +1.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.46
2.5 O 1.89 U 1.87
3.5 O 3.22 U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.68 11 bks
NO
2.06 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.57
Away -0.5 1.44
Away -0.75 1.30
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.12
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.