GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · ESTUDIANTES L.P. 48%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · CLAUSURA - 5 · SAT, 15 AUG · 19:45 LOCAL
ESTUDIANTES L.P.
12TH · 6 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D L L
FT
4 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
GIMNASIA L.P.
L W W W L
· 7TH · 9 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 43' E. Mancuso ⚽ 60' T. Palacios ⚽ 70' J. Burgos ⚽ 84' A. Castro
GOALS
A. Castro
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
A. Castro
Estudiantes L.P. · 86 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 64% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.33
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.54
76%
BALL POSSESSION %
24%
20
TOTAL SHOTS
8
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
61%
7
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    I. Miramón
    GIM
  2. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    T. Palacios
    EST
  3. 31'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Benedetti
    EST
  4. 35'
    Card · Red Card
    A. Steimbach
    GIM
  5. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    E. Mancuso · assist J. Burgos
    EST
  6. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Max
    GIM
  7. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Conti
    GIM
  8. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Conti
    GIM
  9. 53'
    Card · Red Card
    G. Conti
    GIM
  10. 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    I. Miramón · assist J. Cortazzo
    GIM
  11. 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    T. Palacios · assist A. Gaich
    EST
  12. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    G. Benedetti · assist E. Meza
    EST
  13. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    B. Gallego · assist J. Correa
    EST
  14. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    A. Gaich · assist G. Carrillo
    EST
  15. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    T. Palacios · assist J. Sosa
    EST
  16. 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Burgos · assist J. Correa
    EST
  17. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lucas Ezequiel Piovi · assist E. Cetré
    EST
  18. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    I. Fernández · assist M. Melluso
    GIM
  19. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    A. Auzmendi · assist M. Panaro
    GIM
  20. 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Castro · assist E. Meza
    EST
  21. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    M. Panaro
    GIM
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESTUDIANTES L.P. AVG 8.2
GIMNASIA L.P. AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.5
20.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
8.0
ON TARGET
3.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
5.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
76.0%
POSSESSION %
24.0%
568.0
PASSES
174.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
61.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
2.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
15.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
0.0
RED CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESTUDIANTES L.P. 6 shots
A. Castro
2/3
J. Burgos
1/2
E. Mancuso
1/1
GIMNASIA L.P. 2 shots
A. Auzmendi
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.33 – 0.54
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 43' 60' 70' 84' H 2.33 A 0.54 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 52%
48% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.7
16
F. MUSLER
13
G. BENEDE
 7.7
24
T. PALACI
4
S. NúñEZ
 8.0
40
E. MANCUS
 9.6
22
A. CASTRO
21
LUCAS EZE
 8.2
17
J. BURGOS
10
T. PALACI
31
B. GALLEG
19
A. GAICH
 6.9
23
N. INSFRá
24
P. SILVA
21
E. MARTíN
13
G. CONTI
31
BAUTISTA
16
A. MAX
5
I. MIRAMó
 6.5
18
M. SEOANE
 7.0
8
I. FERNáN
25
A. STEIMB
 7.3
29
A. AUZMEN
SUBSTITUTES · ESTUDIANTES L.P.
7
J. Sosa
M
32
J. Correa
F
18
E. Cetré
F
27
L. Alario
F
29
F. Pérez Esc...
F
28
B. Aguirre
F
8
G. Neves
M
35
Valente Pier...
D
26
R. Funes Mor...
D
20
E. Meza
D
1
F. Iacovich
G
9
G. Carrillo
F
COACH: Alexander Medina
SUBSTITUTES · GIMNASIA L.P.
10
N. Schelotto
M
26
F. Torres
F
9
M. Zalazar
F
17
L. Janson
F
42
Santiago Vil...
M
33
P. Aguiar
M
7
M. Panaro
F
35
J. Cortazzo
D
22
M. Melluso
D
36
Lucas Lamell...
D
15
H. Castillo
G
19
Agustín Cola...
F
COACH: Mariano Messera
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GIM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Y. Perez
—
EST MANAGER
Alexander Medina
head coach
GIM MANAGER
Mariano Messera
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
EST WINS
6
DRAWS
1
GIM WINS
30%
60%
10%
11 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Feb 2026
Gimnasia L.P.
0 – 0
Estudiantes L.P.
D
08 Dec 2025
Gimnasia L.P.
0 – 1
Estudiantes L.P.
W
19 Oct 2025
Estudiantes L.P.
2 – 0
Gimnasia L.P.
W
13 Apr 2025
Gimnasia L.P.
1 – 1
Estudiantes L.P.
D
28 Jul 2024
Estudiantes L.P.
4 – 1
Gimnasia L.P.
W
ESTUDIANTES L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D L L
GIMNASIA L.P. LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–0 · result locked
ESTUDIANTES L.P. #1
Won · already at 31 pts
Playoffs
GIMNASIA L.P. #6
Lost · already at 26 pts
Knockout Phase
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
1 Instituto Cordoba 6 4 1 1 +3 13
D W W W W
1 Sarmiento Junin 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W W W L
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
L D W D W
1 Boca Juniors 89 0 159
L W W W D
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 +14 34
D L W L W
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W L L W
2 River Plate 89 0 152
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
D D D W D
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
D W L L L
2 Gimnasia M. 6 4 0 2 +4 12
W W L W L
2 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 +12 31
L W D W W
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
2 Argentinos JRS 5 4 0 1 +4 12
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 89 0 144
L D D D W
3 Belgrano Cordoba 6 3 1 2 +3 10
L W W D L
3 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 +13 30
L W W W D
3 Velez Sarsfield 6 3 3 0 +4 12
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W W W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
D D D W W
3 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L L W L L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
W W W D L
4 River Plate 16 9 2 5 +10 29
L W W W L
4 Rosario Central 5 3 1 1 +2 10
W W W D L
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
4 Racing Club 89 0 144
L W D D D
4 Defensa Y Justicia 6 3 2 1 0 11
W D W L W
5 Atletico Tucuman 6 2 3 1 +2 9
D W L D W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
D W L L W
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L W W D L
5 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
5 Independiente 6 3 1 2 +3 10
D W L L W
5 Argentinos JRS 16 8 5 3 +4 29
L W W L W
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
5 Argentinos JRS 89 0 142
L W W L W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
6 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 +6 28
L D D D W
6 Barracas Central 6 3 0 3 -1 9
L L L W W
6 Newells Old Boys 6 3 1 2 +2 10
W W L D L
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L L W W W
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L W L L W
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
6 Rosario Central 89 0 141
L W W D W
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
D W L L W
7 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 +4 28
L W W D W
7 Estudiantes L.P. 89 0 136
L W D W W
7 Gimnasia L.P. 6 3 0 3 -2 9
L L W W W
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
D L W D L
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
7 Platense 6 2 2 2 -3 8
W D W L L
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
8 Independiente 89 0 134
L W L W D
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
W L L W L
8 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
D L L L D
8 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
L D D W W
8 Deportivo Riestra 6 2 1 3 +1 7
D L W L L
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
8 Tigre 5 2 2 1 +2 8
D W D W L
9 Huracan 6 2 2 2 0 8
D L W D L
9 Union Santa Fe 6 2 1 3 -1 7
W L L W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
D W W W W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L L L W W
9 Belgrano Cordoba 16 7 5 4 +4 26
W W W W W
9 Lanus 89 0 133
L D D L W
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
9 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
10 Boca Juniors 6 1 4 1 -2 7
D D D W D
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
W D W L W
10 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 0 26
L W W W W
10 Independ. Rivadavia 6 2 2 2 -1 8
D L W L W
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
10 Talleres Cordoba 89 0 132
L D D W W
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D W D W L
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W W L W L
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
W W W W L
11 San Lorenzo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
D W L L W
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
11 Huracan 89 0 131
L W D L D
11 Banfield 6 2 1 3 -2 7
L W L D W
11 Independiente 16 6 6 4 +4 24
L W L W D
11 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
12 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 0 4 0 6
L W L L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
L W L D W
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
W D W L L
12 Lanus 16 6 6 4 +3 24
L D D L W
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
12 Racing Club 6 1 2 3 -3 5
D L L L D
12 Independ. Rivadavia 89 0 123
L D W D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L W W L L
13 Lanus 5 2 0 3 0 6
L W L L W
13 Huracan 16 5 7 4 +4 22
L W D L D
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
D W L D W
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
13 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
13 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 6 1 2 3 -4 5
D L L D L
13 Union Santa Fe 89 0 120
L W D D L
14 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 0 22
L L W D D
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago 5 2 0 3 -2 6
L W W L L
14 River Plate 6 1 1 4 -2 4
D W L L L
14 Barracas Central 89 0 119
L D D W L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
L D L L L
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
W W L D L
15 Aldosivi 6 0 2 4 -5 2
L D L L L
15 Talleres Cordoba 5 1 0 4 -4 3
L L W L L
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
15 San Lorenzo 89 0 118
L L W D D
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
D L L D L
15 Union Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 +4 21
L W D D L
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D L W L L
16 Defensa Y Justicia 89 0 115
L L L L L
16 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 +2 21
L W D D D
17 Belgrano Cordoba 89 0 112
W W W W W
17 Instituto Cordoba 16 6 3 7 0 21
W D L W W
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 0 21
L D D W L
18 Gimnasia L.P. 89 0 112
L W W W W
19 Deportivo Riestra 89 0 111
D W L L L
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 +3 20
D L D D L
20 Instituto Cordoba 89 0 108
W D L W W
20 Defensa Y Justicia 16 4 7 5 -3 19
L L L L L
21 Tigre 89 0 108
D L D D L
21 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 -7 19
L W L L W
22 Gimnasia M. 16 5 4 7 -8 19
W L W D W
22 Platense 89 0 108
L L L D D
23 Gimnasia M. 16 0 19
W L W D W
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 -2 18
W D D L L
24 Central Cordoba de Santiago 89 0 100
L D W L L
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 -5 16
L L L D D
25 Atletico Tucuman 89 0 98
W D L D L
25 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 4 4 8 -10 16
L D W L L
26 Newells Old Boys 89 0 97
D D W D W
26 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 -12 15
D D W D W
27 Atletico Tucuman 16 3 5 8 -5 14
W D L D L
27 Banfield 89 0 94
W D D L L
28 Sarmiento Junin 89 0 89
L W L L W
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 -7 11
D W L L L
29 Aldosivi 48 0 41
D L D L D
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 -13 8
D L D L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 0 5
L L L L D
30 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 -19 5
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · M. Panaro
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Castro
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · A. Auzmendi
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · I. Fernández
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
  • 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Burgos
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · T. Palacios
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · A. Gaich
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · B. Gallego
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · G. Benedetti
  • 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal · T. Palacios
  • 54'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · I. Miramón
  • 53'
    Card · Red Card · G. Conti
    Foul
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Conti
    Foul
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Conti
    Handling
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Max
    Foul
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · E. Mancuso
  • 35'
    Card · Red Card · A. Steimbach
    Serious foul
  • 31'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Benedetti
    Foul
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · T. Palacios
    Foul
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · I. Miramón
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ESTUDIANTES L.P. WIN
2.06
48.5% implied
↑ best 2.12
DRAW
2.94
34% implied
↑ best 3.10
GIMNASIA L.P. WIN
4.07
24.6% implied
↑ best 4.51

Market favors Estudiantes L.P.. AI projects ESTUDIANTES L.P. 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ESTUDIANTES L.P. 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 2.96 3.80 +0.8%
1xBet 2.08 2.92 4.37 +1.1%
888Sport 2.05 2.80 3.90 -0.8%
Bet365 2.05 3.00 4.20 +0.2%
Betano 2.10 3.05 4.05 +0.4%
Betfair 2.00 2.88 4.33 +0.9%
BetVictor 2.05 3.10 4.00 -0.8%
Dafabet 2.07 2.95 4.00 -0.3%
Marathonbet 2.04 2.88 4.30 +0.7%
Pinnacle 2.11 2.96 4.51 +1.8%
SBO 2.08 2.90 3.50 -0.1%
Unibet 2.02 3.05 4.10 -0.4%
William Hill 2.05 2.80 3.90 -0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.52 U 2.47
2.5 O 2.60 U 1.46
3.5 O 5.19 U 1.14
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.15 10 bks
NO
1.63 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.10
Away -0.5 1.76
Away -0.75 1.54
Away -1 1.33
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.