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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 3 · THU, 30 APR · 00:30 LOCAL
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ESTUDIANTES L.P.
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
:
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MINS
:
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SECS
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
FLAMENGO
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
EST
1 – 1
FLA
most likely scoreline · 13.7% probability
AI PICKS FLAMENGO TO WIN 37%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
EST WIN 34%
DRAW 29%
FLA WIN 37%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — X2

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 66% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 66% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Flamengo slight favourite despite away status; Estudiantes home form solid but limited data.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ESTUDIANTES L.P. CHALLENGED
34%
Both teams scoring likely (51%) — typical Copa Libertadores attacking pattern
+15.0%
WHY FLAMENGO FAVORED
37%
Flamengo slight favourite despite away status; Estudiantes home form solid but limited data.
+30.0%
Flamengo league-leading 6 GF / 1 GA (6 pts vs Estudiantes 4 pts) — clear quality signal
+25.0%
Estudiantes home form DWWWW is strong but only 5-match sample; Flamengo away form completely absent
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Both teams scoring likely (51%) — typical Copa Libertadores attacking pattern
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.7
6.9
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
1
13.4
13.5
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.6
6.7
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
3
2.2
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 13.7%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
1 — 0 13.4%
0 — 2 6.9%
Top 5 = 61.0% · rest 39.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.28
34.0%
2.94
+11.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.50
42.0%
2.38
+4.9%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.04
51.0%
1.96
+3.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.36
71.0%
1.41
-3.3%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.53
63.0%
1.59
-3.5%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
66.0%
1.52
-12.4%
—
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.33
37.0%
2.70
-13.9%
—
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.93
29.0%
3.45
-15.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.