GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · ENGLAND 92% · Value: Over 2.5 85%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · ROUND OF 32 · WED, 01 JUL · 16:00 LOCAL
ENGLAND
1ST · 7 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
CONGO DR
W L D L
· 1ST · 4 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 75' Harry Kane ⚽ 86' Harry Kane
GOALS
⚽ 7' B. Cipenga
Harry Kane
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Harry Kane
England · Captain · 90 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 9% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.04
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.80
60%
BALL POSSESSION %
40%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
7
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
5
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    B. Cipenga · assist C. Mbemba
    CON
  2. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jude Bellingham
    ENG
  3. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Noah Sadiki
    CON
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Rashford · assist Anthony Gordon
    ENG
  5. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Noni Madueke · assist Bukayo Saka
    ENG
  6. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    N. Mbuku · assist M. Elia
    CON
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Djed Spence · assist Eberechi Eze
    ENG
  8. 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Harry Kane · assist Anthony Gordon
    ENG
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ngal'ayel Mukau · assist Edo Kayembe
    CON
  10. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    B. Cipenga · assist T. Bongonda
    CON
  11. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Harry Kane · assist Anthony Gordon
    ENG
  12. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Arthur Masuaku · assist J. Kayembe
    CON
  13. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    S. Moutoussamy · assist F. Mayele
    CON
  14. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Declan Rice · assist J. Stones
    ENG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ENGLAND AVG 7.7
CONGO DR AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
0.8
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
7.0
ON TARGET
2.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
60.0%
POSSESSION %
40.0%
517.0
PASSES
365.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ENGLAND 6 shots
Harry Kane
3/4
Elliot Anderson
0/1
Anthony Gordon
0/1
CONGO DR 2 shots
B. Cipenga
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.04 – 0.80
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 75' 86' 7' H 2.04 A 0.80 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
1
J. PICKFO
3
NICO O'RE
 7.3
6
MARC GUéH
2
EZRI KONS
25
DJED SPEN
4
DECLAN RI
 7.7
8
ELLIOT AN
11
M. RASHFO
10
JUDE BELL
 7.9
20
NONI MADU
 8.3
9
HARRY KAN
 7.5
1
L. MPASI
26
ARTHUR MA
4
AXEL TUAN
 7.2
22
C. MBEMBA
 7.6
2
A. WAN-BI
14
NOAH SADI
 7.0
8
S. MOUTOU
6
NGAL'AYEL
 7.0
9
B. CIPENG
20
Y. WISSA
7
N. MBUKU
SUBSTITUTES · ENGLAND
24
Reece James
D
26
Jarell Quans...
D
14
Jordan Hende...
M
17
M. Rogers
M
16
K. Mainoo
M
19
O. Watkins
F
15
Dan Burn
D
12
T. Chalobah
D
13
Dean Henders...
G
23
J. Trafford
G
5
J. Stones
D
21
Eberechi Eze
M
7
Bukayo Saka
F
18
Anthony Gord...
F
22
Ivan Toney
F
COACH: Thomas Tuchel
SUBSTITUTES · CONGO DR
24
G. Kalulu
D
3
S. Kapuadi
D
11
G. Kakuta
M
18
C. Pickel
M
15
A. Tshibola
M
17
Cédric Bakam...
F
5
Dylan Batubi...
D
16
Timothy Fayu...
G
21
M. Epolo
G
19
F. Mayele
F
12
J. Kayembe
D
25
Edo Kayembe
M
10
T. Bongonda
M
13
M. Elia
F
23
S. Banza
F
COACH: Sebastien Desabre
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ENG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CON · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Adham Mohammad, Jordan
—
ENG MANAGER
Thomas Tuchel
head coach
CON MANAGER
Sebastien Desabre
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
ENG WINS
1
DRAWS
0
CON WINS
100%
ENGLAND LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W W
CONGO DR LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
ENGLAND #1
Won · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
CONGO DR #1
Lost · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Declan Rice
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · S. Moutoussamy
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Arthur Masuaku
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Harry Kane
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · B. Cipenga
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ngal'ayel Mukau
  • 75'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Harry Kane
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Djed Spence
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Mbuku
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Noni Madueke
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Rashford
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Noah Sadiki
    Tripping
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jude Bellingham
    Tripping
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · B. Cipenga
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
ENGLAND WIN
1.30
76.9% implied
↑ best 1.34
DRAW
5.05
19.8% implied
↑ best 5.60
CONGO DR WIN
12.65
7.9% implied
↑ best 15.00

Market favors England. AI projects ENGLAND 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ENGLAND 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.30 4.70 11.50 +15.1%
1xBet 1.33 5.35 12.60 +16.8%
Bet365 1.30 4.75 12.00 +15.1%
Betano 1.34 4.90 13.00 +17.4%
Betfair 1.29 5.00 15.00 +14.5%
BetVictor 1.29 5.00 12.00 +14.5%
Dafabet 1.28 5.60 12.00 +13.9%
Marathonbet 1.32 5.30 12.50 +16.2%
Pinnacle 1.30 5.25 14.75 +15.1%
SBO 1.29 5.10 10.50 +14.5%
Unibet 1.29 4.90 14.00 +14.5%
William Hill 1.29 4.80 12.00 +14.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.33 U 3.21
2.5 O 2.05 U 1.78
3.5 O 3.60 U 1.27
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.72 9 bks
NO
1.43 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.81
Away -0.5 3.57
Away -0.75 3.18
Away -1 2.70
Away -1.25 2.16
Away -1.5 1.85
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.