GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ARGENTINA 74% · Value: Over 2.5 75%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · SEMI-FINALS · WED, 15 JUL · 19:00 LOCAL
ENGLAND
1ST · 7 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ARGENTINA
L W W W W
· 1ST · 9 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 55' Anthony Gordon
GOALS
⚽ 85' E. Fernández ⚽ 90+2' Lautaro Martínez
L. Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
L. Messi
Argentina · Captain · 90 mins
🅰 2 assists · 43% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.53
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.84
36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
5
TOTAL SHOTS
15
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
91%
1
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Elliot Anderson
    ENG
  2. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lisandro Martínez
    ARG
  3. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    C. Romero
    ARG
  4. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Anthony Gordon · assist M. Rogers
    ENG
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    L. Paredes · assist N. González
    ARG
  6. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Anthony Gordon · assist Ezri Konsa
    ENG
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    G. Simeone · assist R. De Paul
    ARG
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    N. Molina · assist Gonzalo Montiel
    ARG
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lisandro Martínez · assist Nicolás Otamendi
    ARG
  10. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nicolás Tagliafico · assist Lautaro Martínez
    ARG
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Reece James · assist Dan Burn
    ENG
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Declan Rice · assist Nico O'Reilly
    ENG
  13. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    E. Fernández · assist L. Messi
    ARG
  14. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lautaro Martínez · assist L. Messi
    ARG
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. De Paul
    ARG
  16. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. Stones · assist Ivan Toney
    ENG
  17. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Djed Spence · assist M. Rashford
    ENG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ENGLAND AVG 7.1
ARGENTINA AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
1.8
5.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
2.0
ON TARGET
5.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
324.0
PASSES
590.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
91.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
6.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
15.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ENGLAND 2 shots
Declan Rice
1/1
Anthony Gordon
1/1
ARGENTINA 6 shots
E. Fernández
1/4
Lautaro Martínez
1/1
L. Paredes
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.53 – 1.84
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 55' 85' 90' H 0.53 A 1.84 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
1
J. PICKFO
25
DJED SPEN
6
MARC GUéH
5
J. STONES
 6.9
24
REECE JAM
 7.3
8
ELLIOT AN
 7.2
4
DECLAN RI
 7.0
18
ANTHONY G
10
JUDE BELL
 7.2
17
M. ROGERS
9
HARRY KAN
23
E. MARTíN
3
NICOLáS T
6
LISANDRO
13
C. ROMERO
26
N. MOLINA
 7.2
5
L. PAREDE
9
J. ÁLVARE
20
A. MAC AL
 7.6
24
E. FERNáN
17
G. SIMEON
 8.0
10
L. MESSI
SUBSTITUTES · ENGLAND
21
Eberechi Eze
M
14
Jordan Hende...
M
16
K. Mainoo
M
7
Bukayo Saka
F
20
Noni Madueke
F
12
T. Chalobah
D
13
Dean Henders...
G
23
J. Trafford
G
22
Ivan Toney
F
11
M. Rashford
F
15
Dan Burn
D
3
Nico O'Reill...
D
2
Ezri Konsa
D
19
O. Watkins
F
COACH: Thomas Tuchel
SUBSTITUTES · ARGENTINA
2
M. Senesi
D
16
T. Almada
M
11
Giovani Lo C...
M
14
E. Palacios
M
18
N. Paz
F
8
V. Barco
M
25
F. Medina
D
12
G. Rulli
G
1
J. Musso
G
22
Lautaro Mart...
F
7
R. De Paul
M
4
Gonzalo Mont...
D
19
Nicolás Otam...
D
15
N. González
F
21
J. López
F
COACH: Lionel Scaloni
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ENG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ARG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ismail Elfath, USA
—
ENG MANAGER
Thomas Tuchel
head coach
ARG MANAGER
Lionel Scaloni
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
ENG WINS
1
DRAWS
0
ARG WINS
100%
ENGLAND LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
ARGENTINA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
ENGLAND #1
Lost · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
ARGENTINA #1
Won · already at 9 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Djed Spence
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. Stones
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · R. De Paul
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lautaro Martínez
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · E. Fernández
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Declan Rice
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Reece James
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nicolás Tagliafico
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lisandro Martínez
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · N. Molina
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · G. Simeone
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Anthony Gordon
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · L. Paredes
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Anthony Gordon
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · C. Romero
    Holding
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lisandro Martínez
    Holding
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Elliot Anderson
    Tripping
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ENGLAND WIN
2.69
37.2% implied
↑ best 2.80
DRAW
2.91
34.4% implied
↑ best 3.10
ARGENTINA WIN
3.03
33% implied
↑ best 3.15

Market favors England. AI projects ARGENTINA 74% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ARGENTINA 74% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.64 2.86 2.92 +39.8%
1xBet 2.80 2.97 3.12 +41.9%
Bet365 2.62 2.88 3.10 +41.7%
Betano 2.80 2.85 3.15 +42.3%
Betfair 2.70 2.88 3.10 +41.7%
BetVictor 2.63 2.88 3.00 +40.7%
Dafabet 2.65 3.10 2.95 +40.1%
Marathonbet 2.71 2.88 3.02 +40.9%
Pinnacle 2.72 2.94 3.13 +42.1%
SBO 2.66 2.96 2.96 +40.2%
Superbet 2.75 2.92 3.00 +40.7%
Unibet 2.65 2.85 3.10 +41.7%
William Hill 2.62 2.80 2.90 +39.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.42 U 2.76
2.5 O 2.37 U 1.59
3.5 O 4.21 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.91 10 bks
NO
1.85 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.67
Away -0.5 1.49
Away -0.75 1.33
Away -1 1.18
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.