GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · IRAN 90% · Value: BTTS Yes 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · SAT, 27 JUN · 03:00 LOCAL
EGYPT
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
IRAN
⚽ 5' Mahmoud Saber
GOALS
⚽ 11' Mehdi Taremi (P) ⚽ 14' Ramin Rezaeian
Mohamed Hany
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mohamed Hany
Egypt · 90 mins
· 42% pass acc
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.81
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.83
61%
BALL POSSESSION %
39%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
12
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
77%
8
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mahmoud Saber · assist Trézéguet
    EGY
  2. 11'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Mehdi Taremi · assist Mehdi Taremi
    IRA
  3. 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ramin Rezaeian
    IRA
  4. 14'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mohamed Abdelmonem · assist Yasser Ibrahim
    EGY
  5. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hossein Kanaani
    IRA
  6. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mahmoud Saber
    EGY
  7. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yasser Ibrahim
    EGY
  8. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Nemati
    IRA
  9. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hossein Kanaani · assist Saleh Hardani
    IRA
  10. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Emam Ashour · assist Omar Marmoush
    EGY
  11. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Mahmoud Saber · assist Marwan Attia
    EGY
  12. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mohamed Salah · assist Zizo
    EGY
  13. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    S. Ghoddos · assist S. Moghanlou
    IRA
  14. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Mostafa Zico · assist Hamza Abdelkarim
    EGY
  15. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Ezatolahi
    IRA
  16. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3
    M. Mohebi · assist A. Jahanbakhsh
    IRA
  17. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mohanad Lasheen
    EGY
  18. 90'+3
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    S. Khalilzadeh
    IRA
  19. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    S. Khalilzadeh
    IRA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
EGYPT AVG 7.4
IRAN AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.8
xG
1.8
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
6.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
39.0%
587.0
PASSES
367.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
77.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
16.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
EGYPT 3 shots
Mahmoud Saber
1/3
IRAN 3 shots
S. Ezatolahi
0/2
M. Mohammadi
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.81 – 1.83
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 5' 11' 14' H 0.81 A 1.83 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-4-1
4-2-3-1
5-4-1
7.2
23
MOSTAFA S
13
AHMED ABO
6
MOHAMED A
5
RAMI RABI
 7.6
3
MOHAMED H
 7.3
21
MAHMOUD S
17
MOHANAD L
7
TRéZéGUET
10
MOHAMED S
8
EMAM ASHO
11
MOSTAFA Z
1
A. BEIRAN
 7.0
5
M. MOHAMM
 7.3
19
ALI NEMAT
4
S. KHALIL
13
HOSSEIN K
23
RAMIN REZ
8
M. MOHEBI
 7.2
6
S. EZATOL
21
M. GHORBA
14
S. GHODDO
9
MEHDI TAR
SUBSTITUTES · EGYPT
26
Mohamed Alaa
G
15
Karim Hafez
D
24
T. Alaa
D
18
Nabil Donga
M
12
H. Hassan
F
16
Al Mahdi Sol...
G
1
Mohamed El-S...
G
9
Hamza Abdelk...
F
25
Zizo
F
22
Omar Marmous...
F
19
Marwan Attia
M
2
Yasser Ibrah...
D
20
Ibrahim Adel
F
COACH: Hossam Hassan
SUBSTITUTES · IRAN
17
A. Yousefi
D
26
A. Razzaghin...
M
10
Mehdi Ghayed...
F
16
M. Torabi
M
11
A. Alipour
F
18
A. Hosseinza...
F
15
R. Cheshmi
M
25
Danial Eiri
D
3
E. Hajisafi
D
22
H. Hosseini
G
12
Payam Niazma...
G
7
A. Jahanbakh...
F
20
S. Moghanlou
F
2
Saleh Hardan...
D
24
D. Eckert Ay...
F
COACH: Amir Ghalenoei
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EGY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

IRA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Szymon Marciniak, Poland
—
EGY MANAGER
Hossam Hassan
head coach
IRA MANAGER
Amir Ghalenoei
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
EGY WINS
1
DRAWS
0
IRA WINS
100%
EGYPT LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D W
IRAN LAST 5 OVERALL
D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
EGYPT #2
Lost · already at 5 pts
Round of 32
IRAN #3
Lost · already at 3 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Khalilzadeh
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 90'+3
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · S. Khalilzadeh
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Mohanad Lasheen
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3 · M. Mohebi
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · S. Ezatolahi
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Mostafa Zico
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · S. Ghoddos
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mohamed Salah
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Mahmoud Saber
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Emam Ashour
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hossein Kanaani
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Nemati
    Tripping
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yasser Ibrahim
    Foul
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mahmoud Saber
    Roughing
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hossein Kanaani
    Tripping
  • 14'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mohamed Abdelmonem
  • 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ramin Rezaeian
  • 11'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Mehdi Taremi
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mahmoud Saber
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
EGYPT WIN
2.62
38.2% implied
↑ best 2.74
DRAW
2.65
37.7% implied
↑ best 2.73
IRAN WIN
3.45
29% implied
↑ best 3.90

Market favors Egypt. AI projects IRAN 90% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS IRAN 90% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.44 2.50 3.85 +64.0%
1xBet 2.73 2.73 3.54 +61.8%
888Sport 2.50 2.63 3.10 +57.7%
Bet365 2.70 2.62 3.25 +59.2%
Betano 2.65 2.67 3.60 +62.2%
Betfair 2.63 2.70 3.40 +60.6%
BetVictor 2.63 2.60 3.30 +59.7%
Marathonbet 2.70 2.71 3.50 +61.4%
Pinnacle 2.74 2.69 3.50 +61.4%
SBO 2.72 2.60 3.33 +60.0%
Superbet 2.47 2.65 3.90 +64.4%
Unibet 2.63 2.70 3.40 +60.6%
William Hill 2.50 2.70 3.20 +58.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.56 U 2.41
2.5 O 2.76 U 1.44
3.5 O 5.29 U 1.14
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.12 11 bks
NO
1.67 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.72
Away -0.5 1.51
Away -0.75 1.34
Away -1 1.20
Away -1.25 1.19
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.