GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · GERMANY 54% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 78 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · THU, 25 JUN · 20:00 LOCAL
ECUADOR
4TH · 4 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L D D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
GERMANY
D W W
· 1ST · 6 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' Nilson Angulo ⚽ 77' G. Plata
GOALS
⚽ 2' Leroy Sané
Nilson Angulo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nilson Angulo
Ecuador · 85 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 18% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

39%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
11
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Leroy Sané · assist Florian Wirtz
    GER
  2. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nilson Angulo · assist Pedro Vite
    ECU
  3. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Piero Hincapié
    ECU
  4. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Aleksandar Pavlović
    GER
  5. 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Aleksandar Pavlović · assist Angelo Stiller
    GER
  6. 47'
    Var · Penalty cancelled
    Kai Havertz
    GER
  7. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Franco
    ECU
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kai Havertz · assist Deniz Undav
    GER
  9. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joshua Kimmich · assist Malick Thiaw
    GER
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    E. Valencia · assist Kevin Rodriguez
    ECU
  11. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Franco · assist A. Preciado
    ECU
  12. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Felix Nmecha · assist Maximilian Beier
    GER
  13. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Piero Hincapié · assist P. Estupiñán
    ECU
  14. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Florian Wirtz · assist Pascal Groß
    GER
  15. 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    G. Plata · assist Kevin Rodriguez
    ECU
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. Yeboah · assist F. Torres
    ECU
  17. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nilson Angulo · assist J. Caicedo
    ECU
  18. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Plata
    ECU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ECUADOR AVG 7.6
GERMANY AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
3.0
ON TARGET
3.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
39.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
10.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
RED CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ECUADOR 3 shots
Nilson Angulo
1/1
Moisés Caicedo
0/1
Kevin Rodriguez
0/1
GERMANY 7 shots
Florian Wirtz
0/3
Leroy Sané
2/2
Deniz Undav
0/1
Kai Havertz
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
7.1
1
HERNáN GA
3
PIERO HIN
6
WILLIAN P
4
JOEL ORDó
21
A. FRANCO
 8.2
20
NILSON AN
 7.8
15
PEDRO VIT
 7.6
23
MOISéS CA
9
J. YEBOAH
13
E. VALENC
19
G. PLATA
1
MANUEL NE
22
DAVID RAU
2
A. RüDIGE
4
JONATHAN
 6.8
6
JOSHUA KI
5
ALEKSANDA
23
FELIX NME
 7.1
17
FLORIAN W
10
JAMAL MUS
 7.3
19
LEROY SAN
 6.7
7
KAI HAVER
SUBSTITUTES · ECUADOR
18
Denil Castil...
M
26
Yaimar Medin...
D
14
Alan Minda
F
24
Jeremy Aréva...
F
8
A. Valencia
F
11
Kevin Rodrig...
F
25
Jackson Poro...
D
22
G. Valle
G
5
J. Alcívar
M
17
A. Preciado
D
12
M. Ramírez
G
16
J. Caicedo
F
7
P. Estupiñán
D
2
F. Torres
D
10
Kendry Páez
M
COACH: S. Beccacece
SUBSTITUTES · GERMANY
26
Deniz Undav
F
21
Alexander Nü...
G
20
Nadiem Amiri
M
8
Leon Goretzk...
M
13
Pascal Groß
M
3
W. Anton
D
16
Angelo Still...
M
14
Maximilian B...
F
11
Nick Woltema...
F
9
Jamie Leweli...
F
24
Malick Thiaw
D
25
Assan Ouédra...
M
12
O. Baumann
G
COACH: J. Nagelsmann
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ECU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Tori Penso, USA
—
ECU MANAGER
S. Beccacece
head coach
GER MANAGER
J. Nagelsmann
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
ECU WINS
1
DRAWS
0
GER WINS
100%
ECUADOR LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D D
GERMANY LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
ECUADOR #3
Won · already at 4 pts
Round of 32
GERMANY #1
Lost · already at 6 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Plata
    Foul
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nilson Angulo
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. Yeboah
  • 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal · G. Plata
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Florian Wirtz
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Piero Hincapié
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Felix Nmecha
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Franco
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · E. Valencia
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joshua Kimmich
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kai Havertz
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Franco
    Time Wasting
  • 47'
    Var · Penalty cancelled · Kai Havertz
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Aleksandar Pavlović
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Aleksandar Pavlović
    Foul
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Piero Hincapié
    Foul
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nilson Angulo
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Leroy Sané
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ECUADOR WIN
4.76
21% implied
↑ best 5.40
DRAW
4.57
21.9% implied
↑ best 4.85
GERMANY WIN
1.62
61.7% implied
↑ best 1.87

Market favors Germany. AI projects GERMANY 54% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS GERMANY 54% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.40 4.45 1.62 +5.3%
1xBet 4.88 4.84 1.66 +7.5%
888Sport 4.50 4.40 1.57 +5.8%
Bet365 5.00 4.75 1.55 +8.0%
Betano 5.10 4.50 1.65 +8.4%
Betfair 4.75 4.75 1.60 +6.9%
BetVictor 4.80 4.33 1.60 +7.2%
Marathonbet 4.75 4.70 1.61 +6.9%
Pinnacle 4.90 4.85 1.62 +7.6%
SBO 5.40 4.55 1.52 +9.5%
Superbet 3.85 4.10 1.87 +2.0%
Unibet 4.90 4.70 1.58 +7.6%
William Hill 4.60 4.50 1.57 +6.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.33
2.5 O 1.64 U 2.26
3.5 O 2.59 U 1.47
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.68 11 bks
NO
2.10 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.26
Away -0.5 1.26
Away -0.75 1.13
Away -1 1.04
Away -1.25 1.06
Away -1.5 1.03
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.